๐ข๐ท๐บ #GAZP#gas#Russia Russia and China may reach commercial deals on the "Power of Baikal" pipeline by end-2026. Damaged Nord Stream lines can technically be restored โ Novak
A China deal would help Gazprom offset lost EU volumes; the Nord Stream line is a signal to Europe.
๐ข๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ธ #fuel#Russia#USA
The first tanker with diesel will be sent from Russia to the US on October 22 โ Novak
A striking sign of thawing energy trade. The real question is whether this becomes a regular route or stays a one-off.
โฌ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ#SPCX = +9%
SpaceX posted its first-ever quarterly profit, and Musk is talking about a merger with Tesla.
Profitability changes the story from cash burn to cash flow. A Tesla tie-up would be huge, but expect plenty of governance questions first.
โ๏ธ๐ท๐บ #SIBN#GAZP#NIS Hungary's MOL signed a deal to buy out the Russian stake in Serbia's NIS, Serbian FinMin Siniลกa Mali told Bloomberg Adria TV. Gazprom Neft holds 44.9%, Gazprom 11.3%.
A forced exit under US sanctions, so don't expect a generous price.
โ ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ #IPO#AI#earnings
Anthropic reported an $80B net loss for H1 2026 vs $13B a year ago (RTRS, pre-IPO prospectus), blaming convertible bond revaluation, not operations.
Roadshow starts Nov 9; target valuation $2T+.
Mostly a paper loss, but at $2T the profit math matters.
โ ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran#geopolitics
Netanyahu is pushing to resume large-scale military operations against Iran โ FT
With Tehran also ruling out talks with the US, the Middle East risk premium could creep back into oil prices fast.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ #event#USA#Russia#Ukraine
Putin will host Witkoff in St. Petersburg. Dmitriev will attend, Kushner is ill. The Ukraine conflict will be the main topic โ Ushakov
Another face-to-face round keeps peace-deal hopes alive; watch the ruble and oil for the market's verdict.
๐บ๐ธ #DataCenters#USA#Trump
Trump: data centers will have to generate their own power and sell the surplus to local communities or the grid to cut electricity prices โ Truth Social
AI's power hunger is now political; on-site generation could lift demand for gas turbines.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ #USA#Russia#Ukraine
Witkoff is in St. Petersburg: Dmitriev meets him, then a restaurant, then talks with Putin. Then a Ukraine peace deal, and all will be fine!
Markets have priced 'imminent peace' before. Watch oil and the ruble for real signals.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ #SPCX#TSLA#MandA
Musk says SpaceX and Tesla have set up special committees to weigh a merger that could be the biggest corporate deal in history. Barclays said a plan may come by end-December, SpaceX as buyer, all-stock.
Governance will be the real test.
โ ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran#geopolitics
Netanyahu planned a major multi-day strike on Iran's nuclear sites and power plants for Oct 10, but Trump blocked it, fearing a renewed war before the Nov 3 midterms โ FT
Domestic politics is now a real brake on escalation.
๐ข๐บ๐ฆ #Ukraine#geopolitics#fuel
The US has again demanded that Ukraine stop striking Russian oil refineries โ Axios
Washington wants calm fuel markets while peace talks are on. Fewer refinery hits could ease the squeeze on Russian fuel exports and global diesel prices.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ #event#US#Russia#Ukraine
Witkoff is heading to St. Petersburg โ Rubio
(Kushner to join remotely due to the flu)
Rubio: as I understand it, the meeting with Zelensky was constructive.
Another shuttle round; markets want a concrete framework, not soundbites.
๐บ๐ธ #Musk#US#geopolitics
POLITICO: Musk, with Trump's OK, limited Starlink in Ukraine; Democrats plan a probe if they win the midterms.
WSJ: Musk cut Ukraine's Starshield access alone, no order from Trump. Rubio declined comment.
Mixed stories, real political risk for Musk.
โ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran#geopolitics#Trump
White House: US and Israel don't plan to strike Iran before the midterms.
Iran's FM: US must accept Tehran's terms to reopen Hormuz.
US forces in the region to be fully ready by end-Nov.
A pause until the vote, but oil's risk premium stays.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ณ๐ท๐บ #US#China#Russia#geopolitics
WSJ op-ed: Trump seeks a new "Yalta" summit with Putin and Xi that could split the world into spheres of influence. Recent easing of US sanctions on Russian oil may hint at a bigger deal.
Just an op-ed, but oil traders will notice.
โ๏ธ๐บ๐ฆ #Ukraine#geopolitics
US, Ukraine and Europe agreed a coordinated position on talks with Russia โ Axios
Kyiv brought new proposals; the White House hopes Putin will be more open to compromise.
A united front just before Witkoff meets Putin raises the stakes.
๐บ๐ธ #SPCX#earnings SpaceX Q3: revenue +161% YoY to $14.58B (est. $12.87B), adj. EBITDA $8.81B (est. $6.59B), net income $4.40B (est. $1.88B), AI revenue $7.56B (est. $6.3B).
A blowout beat, and AI is now over half of revenue.
๐บ๐ธ #NFLX#earnings Netflix sees Q4 revenue at $13.44B vs est. $13.51B; Q3 free cash flow $2.88B vs est. $3.22B.
A soft guide plus an FCF miss is a tough combo after the stock's big run. Expect pressure in after-hours trading.