I honestly won't be surprised if #Bitcoin reaches 250k-500k within the first 12 months following #BTC Spot ETF approval.
#Bitcoin's Potential Valuation Based on "Global Wealth" using the "multiplier effect"
Assumptions,
1. Global wealth: $400 trillion
2. Maximum number of Bitcoins: 21 million
3. Percentage of Bitcoins lost: 12%
4. Multiplier effect: 2x (is this a lot or conservative?)
Calculations:
Available #Bitcoin,
To calculate the number of available Bitcoin, we consider the 12% loss rate.
Available Bitcoins = 21 million x 0.88 = 18.48 million Bitcoins
Captured Global Wealth,
The next step is to calculate the amount of global wealth that could potentially be captured by Bitcoin, under various scenarios.
Without Multiplier
For instance, if Bitcoin captures 5% of global wealth:
Captured Global Wealth without Multiplier = $400 trillion x 0.05 = $20 trillion
With Multiplier
The multiplier effect can then be applied to this amount:
Captured Global Wealth with Multiplier = $20 trillion x 2 = $40 trillion
Value of One #Bitcoin
The value of a single Bitcoin can be estimated using the following formula:
Value of One Bitcoin = Captured Global Wealth with Multiplier / Available Bitcoins
Therefore, with the multiplier, if #Bitcoin were to capture:
A conservative 5% of Global Wealth,
One Bitcoin would be approximately = $40 trillion / 18.48 million Bitcoins = $2,167,567
A reasonable 10% of Global Wealth
Captured Global Wealth with Multiplier = ($400 trillion x 0.10) x 2 = $80 trillion
One Bitcoin would be approximately = $80 trillion / 18.48 million Bitcoin = $4,335,135
An outrageous 20% of Global Wealth
Captured Global Wealth with Multiplier = ($400 trillion x 0.20) x 2 = $160 trillion
One Bitcoin would be approximately = $160 trillion / 18.48 million Bitcoins = $8,670,270
This is all speculative and intended solely to understand the multiplier effect.
Most importantly, what is your opinion? could we see similar numbers within a couple of decades?
Breaking News:
The iShares Bitcoin Trust has been officially listed on the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC).
The ticker symbol for BlackRock's Bitcoin Spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been designated as $IBTC. This marks a significant advancement toward its official launch.
Weekly Recap
1) 🇺🇸 US judge rules Ripple XRP is not a security.
2) 🇺🇸 US inflation falls to 3%, lower than expectations.
3) 🇪🇺 Europe to launch first spot #Bitcoin ETF this month.
4) 🇺🇸 Former SEC Chairman says Spot Bitcoin ETFs should be approved.
5) Coinbase relists Ripple XRP.
6) $9 trillion asset manager BlackRock CEO says crypto will transcend international currencies due to global demand.
7) 🇺🇸 SEC acknowledges BlackRock's Spot Bitcoin ETF application.
8) 🇺🇸 SEC acknowledges Fidelity, VanEck, WidsomTree, and Invesco Spot Bitcoin ETF applications.
9) 🇺🇸 Bank of America ordered to pay $250 million for charging illegal fees and opening credit-card accounts without customer consent.
10) 🇦🇺 Australian Securities Exchange receives its first spot Bitcoin ETF application.
The highly sought-after first edition of #Bitcoin Trading Cards will be available tomorrow!
Here's what you need to know:
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2. Floor price: $200.
3. Release time: July 14, 11am PST. Only 3 packs will be available.
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The most important part of this ruling:
“XRP, as a digital token, is not in and of itself a “contract, transaction[,] or scheme” that embodies the Howey requirements of an investment contract.”
This is a now a matter of law (not up for trial.)
I disagree with the $BTC chart idea below
The "$24k, then up" sentiment seems to be quite popular
I think people are overthinking it
Similar was said about Bitcoin needing to sweep $20k first
IMO, pullbacks won't be this deep now and if we manage to see $25k again it won't be until later on in the year after more upside before so
Only an ETF denial can cause pain but I think BlackRock gets approved this time
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Do you ever wonder why they print money?
- To keep the economy running?
Money printing gets you high.
In a crisis, they flood the market with currency, making you feel rich.
Suddenly, you become euphoric, docile, as if the problems are solved. You accept their control.