Marcus Ellison

Semiconductors, AI infrastructure, capital spending, and U.S. equities. I follow execution, cash flow, and risk. Educational only.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

@_MHJr_ AI demand is growing, but cash flow will separate the winners from the losers. $NBIS $CRWV $IREN $SPCX

[Brandon Wells @_MHJr_]

$NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are all connected to AI infrastructure and computing demand. If $SPCX plans to deploy AI computing capacity at scale, these companies’ GPUs, data centers, and computing resources are certainly worth watching.

However, their business models, financing structures, and customer relationships are not identical, so I wouldn’t treat them as direct competitors in exactly the same way.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

Retail is buying the dip while hedge funds are reducing exposure. That divergence is worth watching.

AI demand may still be growing, but the real question is whether earnings can justify current valuations. I’m watching whether retail buying turns into sustained momentum or becomes liquidity for the next selloff.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

JPMorgan says retail investors just bought a record ~$540M in tech stocks over five days.

Pretty interesting seeing retail rush back into tech while hedge funds cut exposure despite AI demand and earnings continuing to grow.

[Barchart @Barchart]

AI Bubble hits 2nd largest concentration level in history, only behind the railroad mania of the 1880s 🚨 🚨

[Goldman Sachs @GoldmanSachs]

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[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

US semiconductor stocks are experiencing massive volatility:

The Semiconductor Index, SOX, to S&P 500 ratio is down to 1.45 points, its lowest since April 2026.

This ratio has declined -0.46 points, or -24%, from its mid-June peak.

Over this period, SOX has fallen -24%, while the S&P 500 has gained +2%.

The relative decline is comparable to the one seen following the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble burst.

However, the ratio is still up +142% since the 2022 bear market low of 0.60.

Meanwhile, SOX has also declined for 8 consecutive trading sessions, its longest streak since the 2008 Financial Crisis.

Semiconductor stocks are more volatile than ever.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

The contrast is striking. While major stocks remain relatively close to their all-time highs, many crypto assets have suffered significant drawdowns.

Bitcoin is 36% below its peak, Ethereum is down 52%, and several meme coins have lost more than 90%.

Being far below an all-time high doesn't automatically mean an asset is undervalued. Recovery depends on fundamentals, liquidity, demand, and market sentiment.

The key question: which assets can recover, and which may never reclaim their previous highs?

#Investing #StockMarket #Bitcoin #Crypto

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

% Below All-Time High
Apple: 0%
S&P 500: -2%
Microsoft: -4%
Meta: -11%
Nvidia: -12%
Palantir: -12%
Amazon: -13%
Google: -17%
AMD: -20%
Gold: -26%
Tesla: -29%
SpaceX: -36%
Bitcoin: -36%
Netflix: -47%
Ethereum: -52%
Dogecoin: -90%
Fartcoin: -94%
Trump Coin: -98%
Melania Coin: -99%

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

@TheProfInvestor @Rachaeljme

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

@cryptorover @Rachaeljme

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

BREAKING: Crypto Leverage Flush Hits the Market

Bitcoin has dropped to $81,000, while Ethereum has fallen below $2,400. More than $115 million in long positions were reportedly liquidated in just 60 minutes.

The weekend sell-off highlights how quickly leveraged traders can get squeezed when prices move against them.

Key takeaways:

BTC falling toward $81,000 puts market support under pressure.

ETH below $2,400 adds to the weakness across major crypto assets.

Rapid long liquidations can accelerate downside momentum as leveraged positions are forcibly closed.

The key question is whether this is a short-term leverage reset or the beginning of a deeper correction.

Watch BTC price stability, liquidation activity, and whether buyers step in after the flush. A liquidation spike alone does not confirm a market bottom.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #Liquidations

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

🚨 THE MARKET IS SENDING A MESSAGE. ARE YOU PAYING ATTENTION?

Tech stocks are under pressure, and the heatmap tells the story.

🔴 AMD: -5.95%
🔴 Intel: -5.79%
🔴 Broadcom: -4.52%
🔴 Micron: under pressure
🟢 Apple: +0.43%
🟢 GE: +0.59%
Not every stock is moving in the same direction. While some names are facing heavy selling, others are holding up.
This is why smart traders watch market breadth, sector rotation, and price action — not just the headlines.
Volatility creates risk, but it can also create opportunities for disciplined traders.
📊 Don't chase the noise. Read the market. Manage your risk.
Are we seeing a temporary pullback or the start of a bigger tech correction?

👇 What's your take?

#StockMarket #NASDAQ #Stocks #Trading #TechStocks #SPX #MarketAnalysis

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

Don't buy my SPX 0DTE algorithm if you're looking for a magic button.

Don't buy it if you expect to win every trade.

Don't buy it if you can't handle risk.

And definitely don't buy it with money you can't afford to lose.

This is trading.
Not a lottery.
If you understand the difference, let's talk. 🎯

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

The market is testing EVERYONE right now.

Retail investors are panicking.
Hedge funds are cutting exposure.
Weak hands are being shaken out.
And the fear? It's everywhere.
But here's what most people fail to understand:

The biggest opportunities often emerge when sentiment is at its WORST.

Volatility doesn't mean the bull market is over.
A brutal selloff doesn't automatically mean a crash is coming.

The next few weeks could be critical.

Watch liquidity.
Watch market breadth.
Watch how stocks react to bad news.
If selling pressure fades and fundamentals hold up, a year-end rally could catch a LOT of investors off guard.

Don't confuse fear with opportunity.
And don't confuse confidence with certainty.

Stay disciplined.
Protect your capital.
Be ready when the market gives you a reason to act.
The next move could change everything. 📈

[Ted @TedPillows]

I projected a $BTC move toward $92,000 while most expected $100,000 to hold.

Perfect execution. 🎯

Never fade my analysis.

[Ted @TedPillows]

$1,000,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in last 3.5 hours.

Holy Shit.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

AI isn’t breaking.

The valuation math is.

The 30Y Treasury hit 5.704% today — a fresh 24-year high — while Brent pushed back above $100 and tech came under pressure.

That doesn’t kill the AI thesis.

It raises the bar.

When capital gets this expensive, revenue growth alone is worthless. I want to know who can turn massive AI capex into durable FCF and high returns on capital.

That’s where this trade gets interesting.

The next AI winner won’t be whoever spends the most.

It’ll be whoever earns the most on what they spend.#AI #Markets #Treasuries #Investing

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

The Fed hasn’t even spoken yet and the bond market is already doing the tightening.

The 30Y Treasury hit 5.704% today — a fresh 24-year high — while Brent pushed back above $100.

That’s the setup people are underestimating.

Higher energy → more inflation pressure.
Higher long-end yields → higher cost of capital.
Higher cost of capital → less room for valuation mistakes.
AI can still win here.
But “growth” isn’t enough anymore.

The companies that survive this tape will be the ones turning AI demand into real FCF and ROIC.

The Fed may not need to tighten. The market is doing it for them.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

Wall Street just got a reminder that AI doesn’t trade in a vacuum.

Brent is back above $100. The 30Y Treasury just touched a fresh 24-year high around 5.70%. Stock futures are lower after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at records yesterday.

And now everyone’s waiting on the Fed minutes at 2 p.m. ET.

Here’s what matters:

AI earnings can absolutely keep carrying this market.

But they now have to outrun a rising cost of capital AND a fresh inflation shock from energy.

That’s a much higher bar.

The market doesn’t need another AI story.

It needs cash flows strong enough to beat the math.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

@RoundtableSpace Interesting build. The real test is whether it can separate an actual signal from a narrative that just happens to be getting louder.

[Marcus Ellison @KeyundriaK]

The market isn’t ignoring 5%+ yields.

It’s making a much bigger bet:

that earnings will be strong enough to make them irrelevant.

Nasdaq at a record. AI names still leading. Q3 earnings around the corner.

At this point, “good” numbers won’t be enough.

When multiples are this rich and the risk-free rate is this high, you need companies to beat, raise, and prove the AI capex cycle is actually turning into earnings power.

That’s what I think a lot of people are missing.

The next move isn’t about whether AI is real.

We already know it is.

It’s about whether the earnings can catch up to what the market has already priced in.

That bar just got a lot higher.