Even if you did hit the sell button.. That imaginary portfolio in your head doesnt exist
You dont have to make it back. What you have right now is what you have, so rather focus on the right decisions. And trying to make back what you had a day, week, month or a year ago aint it...
In my past, whenever i tried to rush things, it only gotten longer and whenever i just focused on the present, things actually were the quickest. Focus on right decisions
Without thinking too much on how much it can yield me. You know that feeling - oh it can only give me 5x? I aint interested, even if it was a great buy at the time, and then you end up buying high risk shit because there is a super tiny chance of 100x but in reality it resulted in -50% instead of 5x realized... Just a single example
👁️ Key market signals: posts to monitor for spotting potential tops 👁️
I decided to create a compilation of the most important posts I made (key metrics) that will help you to potentially spot the top or at least taking (hopefully) good decisions.
Almost each post will be updated step by step with my considerations and analyses, serving as proof of my work, so make sure to save this compilation giving it a look from time to time.
1⃣ USDT D: https://t.co/RaNOZo8p3U
2⃣ Altcoins:
https://t.co/v35eahG0qP
3⃣ BTC D:
https://t.co/zPMTQDGjym
4⃣ Imbalances:
https://t.co/NcJa6mwSBM
5⃣ ETH:
https://t.co/EYApxQ07W6
6⃣ ETH/BTC:
https://t.co/dtDKQFZWWb
7⃣ Mining companies:
https://t.co/SQTu608NXf
8⃣ External top signals:
https://t.co/xEAgWwoLSs
"Lars your BTC expectations from a macro distributive perspective are going to get invalidated!!!"
"These perma bears don't understand fundamentals"
"See you at 200K BTC with your little Wyckoff range"
Guys, I have been talking about an altcoin outperformance March 8th within the Market Maker manipulation playbook and have been buying spot starting in April, all documented.
If BTC goes higher than initially expected that simply means I am making more money on my spot positions.
Personal exit triggers for altcoin spot positions:
- BTC.D: 46.77% - immediate exit if hit
- TOTAL3: 1.6T - immediate exit if hit
- Final targets getting hit on the individual pairs
- HTF distributive price on the individual pairs
- Sentiment - created from multiple variables
In the meantime I do not care how high BTC goes since I am not allocated in spot BTC and I am guessing most of the people leaving these comments aren't either ;)
Bitcoin is attempting to go parabolic as it breaks out of the 7-year resistance level. In less than 18 days, we'll have an answer to this macro move. 🚀
→ Reshare for future reference 🔁
BTC.D literally have not moved down this entire "cycle" yet.
People dont get it and are lost looking at the trees instead of seeing the forest
The next bear market lows might still be higher than the current prices for lots of these digital assets
$SUI took a lot of liquidity, and is now on its way to the 45 minute supply zone
We could see a local top forming in this area, which is why I took some profits on my spot position
Leverage long positions are still open to take the liquidity above
Truly built different
At the moment, this environment is being postponed.
We had a strong BOS above the previous 3rd drive at 88.8K confirmed by an HTF closure and this is a clear hint: liquidity is being frontrun.
Now, what this means for the market?
This is a classic case of liquidity being anticipated rather than reacted to, and the market participants who move size aren’t waiting for obvious lows or highs to get tagged.
They’re acting in advance, building in areas where they know others will be forced to react later, essentially front-running both the liquidity and the narrative.
This kind of behavior changes the entire structure of expectation.
We now have a fractured landscape where price might not revisit previously marked inefficiencies in the same way.
Retracements become shallow or fragmented, and the zones that should act as magnets for liquidity may instead become springboards for further continuation without the usual confirmation.
It also raises the probability of engineered deviations.
Price could momentarily dip below key intraday levels to bait in breakout traders or trap early shorts, only to snap back with velocity.
These moves don’t violate the broader trend structure, but they do punish indecision or lagging entries.
Now coming back to the PA, we have 2 scenarios:
Whether we get the breathless push or a more structured pullback, the endgame in both scenarios revolves around that pivotal SH at $99,520.
That’s the magnet, the level that carries narrative weight, psychological pressure, and, most importantly, the liquidity that hasn't yet been tapped.
It's the point where the market will have to decide: continuation or collapse.
If price surges directly into the HTF supply without meaningful retracement, especially through that first TP zone around $96K, caution is needed.
That kind of aggressive move often lacks the structural integrity required for sustained trend development.
It's momentum-driven, yes, but not always supported by volume flowing in from "deeper pockets".
Without the necessary liquidity injections, (the kind typically collected during pullbacks into inefficiencies or reclaimed OBs) the structure becomes top-heavy.
When that happens, even minor levels can trigger an exaggerated response, leading to cascade liquidations and forced exits.
Think of it as a tower without a foundation: the higher it goes, the harder it falls when instability sets in.
On the other hand, a pullback into the $89.5K–$90K region would be technically healthier.
That zone holds the imbalance left behind by the breakout and still contains untapped liquidity.
If price revisits this area with a clean reaction , ideally a wick into demand followed by immediate absorption and reclaim, it would offer a strong base to support the next leg up.
It’s in these zones that institutional players typically re-engage, either to add to existing positions or to trap shorts.
A rally from this region would likely carry more legitimacy, especially if volume confirms the move and price respects the reclaimed structure on LTFs.
But again, the real inflection point is that swing high.
A powerful close above $99,520 on HTF would signal not just a break of structure, but a potential invalidation of the February bearish narrative.
It would flip the script, turning resistance into support and likely opening the door for a push toward psychological round numbers, $100K and beyond.
However, if we fail to close above it, or worse, get a clean rejection with signs of distribution, the warning signs will be impossible to ignore.
In that case, this whole move could unravel quickly.
Without a solid base beneath the current price, and with liquidity having already been taken from below, the drop could be fast, violent, and indiscriminate.
Regardless, remember that those zones will be surely tapped sooner or later.
The real question is: can you stay disciplined enough to plan ahead, stay patient, and strike when the opportunity presents itself?
$SUI
Simply trailing stoplosses when I get the opportunity to do so and letting the markets decide how much profit will be realised.
Max profit target is a new ATH.
Do not forget that trading is all about execution and I guarantee you that most of the ‘traders’ on here fail miserably in the execution process.
You can have different support/resistance POI’s such as OB’s, breaker blocks, fibs and trendlines and they all could deliver amazing pivot points on the chart but it still says nothing about the profitability of the trader.
What does one do when price approaches his level? Is there a systematized entry process? What are the confirmations? Where are the invalidations?
What are the follow up actions if you get stopped out but the level is still holding?
Is your mental game strong enough to handle back to back losses before getting in the winning position?
Does one stick to his initial trading plan or is he cutting his winners short because he is scared of losing profits?
Posting a level and then flexing that the level gave a reaction without any elaboration on the execution process is making most trader look better than they actually are.
There is a lot that goes on behind closed doors that you don’t see, don’t be fooled.
$SUI
The stoploss on SUI can be trailed to the most recent higher low allowing us to have a swinglong risk free position.
My technical target is the range high but I am looking to take this to new all time highs if the market allows it.
This was shared to every single one of you publicly so I hope you are all enjoying your guaranteed winning position ;)
$ETH
ETH's current chart is developing in a complete opposite way of most other altcoin pairs showcasing signs of a potential distribution in the making.
If the third tap confirms we will most likely see a flash move down towards $1470 and probably a mitigation of demand at $1350.
A bearish PO3 here is also a possibility.
I will however be longing the accumulative charts such as $DOGE & $SUI if the confirmations are present and treat the charts individually (hedge trade opportunities).
If no confirmations are present = no trade.