Kieran

The fox provides for itself, God provides for the lion

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

If you don’t know how to use Claude code, start today

The amount of leverage a single individual can accrue is insane

We will soon live in a two tier society

Those whose are ‘AI enabled’ at the top

And everyone else at the bottom

The disparity is only going to compound and grow with time

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

Flow State Model™

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@j_intradaytrade Agreed

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@j_intradaytrade SS

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis If you did it once you can do it again

Head up keep pushing bro - take a little break to re-assess then get back to it

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @Tradeify @tradecopia Killer

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

Your model only needs to tell you if buyers or sellers are in control

Literally that simple

The less confluences needed the better

No need to complicate it like most do (including myself previously)

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @Topstep @Tradeify Time to cook

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @Topstep @Tradeify @tradecopia It really as simple as looking at who is where you want to be - and then reverse engineering and doing what they do

Congrats

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

A genuinely good edge is by far the most important variable

It can still carry you even if you fail at everything else (which you won’t unless you’re a total beginner)

Literally everything else is secondary to having a genuine edge

You might not be a bad trader, your edge just might not be that good …

Moral of the story:

SPEND MORE TIME FINDING AND REFINING YOUR EDGE

(what I’m currently doing)

[Memphis🔱 @IamM3mphis]

The hardest part of trading?

It’s not discipline

It’s not psychology

It’s not risk management

It’s having an actual edge

My little brother started paper trading 3 weeks ago (I started teaching him in Dec)

Results: Consistently positive

His confession to me:

“I make mistakes every day”

“I don’t follow the system 100%”

“When I break the rules, I lose”

“But I’m still profitable each week”

That’s what a real edge looks like

It wins DESPITE imperfect execution

Like a pro athlete having an off day but the team strategy carries the win

That’s what you need

An edge so strong it survives your human errors

Not flawless execution of a losing strategy

Without an edge:

Your discipline is wasted
Your psychology work is pointless
Your risk management protects nothing

My brother has mediocre discipline and makes money

You have perfect discipline and lose

The difference?

He has an edge

You don’t

Stop optimizing execution on a losing strategy

Build an actual edge first

Then your discipline will matter

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis Takes years to become an overnight success 🤝

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @Topstep @Alpha_Futures_ Yeah this is an insane way to start Feb fair play

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

Absolutely

Even without a payout - if you know your win rate and how many times per week your model presents

You can extrapolate and plot out:

- how many trades to pass an eval
- how many trades to payout
- appropriate size required at each stage
- how long this will all take
- how long this will all cost
- what return you’ll get

I’ve only recently started thinking like this

It literally is just a numbers game that relies on you executing properly

And the extra juice you can squeeze out comes from refinements that:

- Increase win rate
- Increase frequency

The whole thing is a system - you need to identify where in the chain you have weak links and fix them

Then the whole thing runs smoothly

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

This is objectively the correct mental model for props

But you can only have the confidence to blow through challenges like this to reach payout IF you know your numbers and IF you don’t take random trades outside your model which skew the stats

High r:r also supports this approach massively

[Memphis🔱 @IamM3mphis]

You’re a prop trader and not tracking your stats?

You’re playing, not building

Example of mid stats:
• Avg 1 payout per account
• Avg $3k payout
• $800 in eval costs before payout

That’s $2,200 profit per account

The stats prove it works

Now SCALE

Most don’t run this like a business

That’s why most stay broke

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @Tradeify Cooking 🔥

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis The winning formula 🤝

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@FPX500 Crazy

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis Setup goes hard, got the same monitor 🤝

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@IamM3mphis @fnfutures Already up massive on them, onto the next

[Kieran @KieranCapital]

@Flynn3624 @fnfutures funded next is one the best firms out there, I’m sure they’ll get this sorted