Elijah Kipkech

Alum @SaveChildrenSO → @BRACworld
Alma mater @Maseno_Uni → @Makerere → @tcdeconomics
Statistician → Development Economist
4th

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

1/6: Thrilled, our Somalia paper with Arays Abdullahi, @ibnukhaalid (@DalaUniversity) and @munshisulaiman (@BIGD_bracu) has a permanent home at @Oxford_CSAE Journal of African Economies.

https://t.co/iei243NuOB

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@EAukot Why are you rejecting something you have not seen? Doc much better is expected of you!

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@Itswambuaa Ignorance bliss. SHA provider portal is being integrated into the wider HMIS. That's how complex systems are built, sub-component by sub-component.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@Kenlelekoiten Unfortunately, the assertions are wrong. Adjusting for county demographic profiles changes the pattern considerably

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@sam_odera @Adele_lide Adjust for the demographic profile and the table changes considerably

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@Adele_lide Demographic profiles explain a lot of the difference

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals @IanECox @miminiyusufu @abzak_ And who captures the consumer surplus from increasing walalo wholesalers? Reallocation ~ efficiency gain.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals @IanECox @miminiyusufu @abzak_ Would you even remotely entertain the idea that some shop closures could be an efficient way to improve retail? You are stuck on anecdotes.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals @miminiyusufu @abzak_ @IanECox

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@amenya_nelson The whole sector is growing. The 3 is just a snippet.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@MwanaWaGiningi (c) Snoop Dog.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals @miminiyusufu @abzak_ @IanECox If it is decelerating, what is driving retail sector growth? It is not inflation, definitely. Volumes are up.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals @miminiyusufu @abzak_ @IanECox It is simplistic to argue that the whole growth in supermarkets is from cannibalising dukas. Inefficiency will always give way to efficient enterprises. But if the whole retail sector is growing, is that not a welfare improvement?

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals Oops an even better metric, the whole sector isn't shrinking

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals No slump in volumes either. Cannibalism is not the entire story.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals Then aggregate spending should be nearly flat.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals How high is inflation? Barely 2024 levels.

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals And with a leaner model, they pushed more sales, no?

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@mytradesignals The other two competitors have not adopted the lean model. If they had, substitution could be the main story. Maybe aggregate consumption is going up (albeit with some substitutions on the margins).

[Elijah Kipkech @KipkechElijah]

@DaltonPato @ParmutiaMakui check this out.