KnovaWave

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Japanese debt slid to fresh lows for the year ahead of tomorrow’s 20-yr JGB auction.
Bank of Japan is expected to meet with #JGB investors on Thursday and Friday.
Q1 GDP 0.5% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; prior 0.2%); 2.1% yr/yr (expected 1.7%; last 0.8%).
Q1 GDP Price Index 3.4% yr/yr (expected 3.1%; prior 3.4%) #USDJPY #NIkkei
https://t.co/kOQ9I7NmJz

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

U.S. 10Y yields are compressing near highs, with higher lows forming.

👉 Pressure is building at elevated levels

A breakout reinforces the move higher.

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Oil prices moved higher for the second consecutive session this week,
WTI crude oil futures settling today's session $3.56 higher (+3.7%) at $99.95 per barrel.
#OOTT $CL_F $UCO $XLE $XOM

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

NVIDIA $NVDA 209.78, -6.83, -3.2% & other prominent AI names lower premarket after The Wall Street Journal reported #OpenAI missed its own revenue and user targets, prompting concerns the company may not be able to pay for future computing demands.
$SMH $SOX $INTC $ORCL $META
We were warned: What are the odds Altman asks fora bailout @elonmusk ?
S&P futures vs fair value: -53.00.
Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -387.00.

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Gold futures settled $85.30 lower (-1.8%) at $4,608.40/oz
1. Stronger U.S. dollar, U.S. Dollar Index up +0.1% to $98.63.
2. Profit-taking followed recent gains ahead of multiple upcoming central bank policy signals.
3. Renewed inflation concerns tied to elevated energy prices have kept expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates in focus, weighing on non-yielding assets like #gold.
$GC $GDX $GDXJ $GDXU

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

We have seen verbal intervention in the Yen overnight, similar to what we saw last year as we sell #USDJPY near 160 mark once again & surging #EURJPY & #AUDJPY.
Japan finance minister Katayama said:
We have a "free hand" in conducting interventions
Our deputies in US, Japan are in close contact on forex matters
All we can say is that past interventions have made an impact
NB: The yen itself is struggling with the Japanese economy from surging energy prices.

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead?
War Game Theory
- Monetary Disorder showing the consequences of extraordinarily loose financial conditions.
- #JGBs and #yen under attack in a highly indebted Japan.
- Deja Vu with popular levered European bond trades blowing up.
CB: #Powell #Columbia
#PMI #IranWar #JobsReport #hormuz #Easter #NFP
Energy Crisis #Fertilizer #LNG #Coal
Earnings: $NKE $MKC $CAG $LW $CALM
#ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas #Gold #VIX #SPX #BTC $SLV #Silver #Platinum $GDX #ETH #USDJPY #EURJPY #AUDUSD
https://t.co/OKqc1R4kwR

[KnovaWave @KnovaWave]

We have multiple questions about #gold:
We remain clear there are 3 alts. Basically, the high was either a 5 or 3
If a 5 then this is a 3 of a 1-2
The other alts are of degree as marked 1-2 and ABC
$GDX $GDXU $GC $NEM

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

#Bond Update: U.S. Treasuries longer tenors' new lows as 2-yr note outperforms after lagging throughout week. 10yr yield back above its 50dma (4.155%)
30yr yield just below its 50dma (4.799%) & 200dma (4.804%)
#Yields
2-yr: -3 bps to 3.57%
3-yr: -2 bps to 3.60%
5-yr: UNCH at 3.75%
10-yr: +3 bps to 4.18%
30-yr: +5 bps to 4.80%

[KnovaWave @KnovaWave]

@TradersCom @jedimarkus77 @NRL @brisbanebroncos

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Oil powered by the double bottom @knovaWave cited months ago sliced above the long corrective channel today developing for 3+ years
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) Mar 2026
81.31+6.65 + 8.91%
Brent Crude (ICE)Apr 2026
85.57 +4.17 +5.12%
RBOB Gasoline (Nymex) Mar 2026
267.83 +16.34 +6.50%
USD stronger across the board ....
#OOTT $XLE $USO $CL_F

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Ahead Tuesday Apple will hold its annual meeting.
$APPL +2.12 (+0.80%) green on a day of heavy market selling as Weekly Kijun holds 266.70
Shareholders will vote on a National Center for Public Policy Research proposal requesting a board-level report on risks and costs of #Apple’s reliance on & operations in China (supply chain, tariffs, rare earths, & security/espionage concerns).
A vote on director re-election will include chair Art Levinson & director Ron Sugar, with the board explicitly waiving its usual age-75 guideline for them

[KnovaWave @KnovaWave]

Venture Global $VG resistance:
3X Confluence
1. Downtrend line from Bounce High
2. Triple Gap Down Balance
3. 23.6% Fib
NB: Testing Kijun in B or II alts in line with $XLE #natgas related as pointed out by @OilStockTrader
gap above the magnet which begins near the 38,2% Fib

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Venture Global reports March 2. Has pulled back hard after trying to break weekly range resistance from ~10.25 to ~9.03
- Note from $GS gives the fundamental case
$VG 9.18 -0.25 (-2.60%)
#LNG #natgas #ONGT $XLE

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead?
Tariffs On, Tariffs Off
Casino in a more uncertain phase in terms of what’s next? #SOTU #PPI #PMI
Random risk: #Iran assault?
Earnings: $D $FANG $DPZ $HD $MELI $AMT $KDP $WDAY $NVDA $CRM $LOW $TJX $SNOW $RDW $AI $RY $TD $MNST $INTU $DELL $WBD $DUOL $FIGS $PSO
#ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas #Gold #VIX #SPX #BTC $SLV #Silver #Platinum $GDX #ETH #USDJPY #EURJPY #AUDUSD
https://t.co/Q2ko5ruwdG

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Now that's a Bounce...
From down in the hole with near record shorts on software names & fear meter flashing red off support we get:
#Dow 49562.14 +62.42 (0.13%)
#Nasdaq 22561.37 +14.68 (0.07%)
#SP500 6846.90 +10.74 (0.16%)
Strong: Financials, Health Care, Utilities, Industrials, Information Technology, Real Estate
Weak: Consumer Staples, Energy, Materials, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary

[Grok @grok]

In Q4 2025, Berkshire Hathaway opened new positions in Liberty Live (LLYVK, ~$908M) and New York Times (NYT, ~$352M). They added significantly to Chubb (CB, ~$910M) and Chevron (CVX, adding ~8M shares). Minor increases in Domino's (DPZ) and Lamar Advertising (LAMR). Sources: SEC 13F via QuiverQuant, https://t.co/apfgx4vg1I, WhaleWisdom.

[POSTCODE - London Unfiltered. @postcodeldn]

Buffett’s moves in the last 6 months:

Q3 2025: Sold 50% of Apple position
Q4 2025: Sold another chunk of Apple ($2.7B)
Q4 2025: Sold 77% of Amazon ($1.7B)

Berkshire’s cash position: $325+ billion (record high)

For context, Buffett builds massive cash positions before:
∙Dot-com crash (1999-2000): Sold equities, held cash
∙Financial crisis (2007-2008): Reduced positions

He’s not a market timer, but when he sells THIS aggressively and holds record cash…

He’s seeing something.

Meanwhile retail: ‘Buy the dip’ 💀

[Traders Community @TradersCom]

Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Valentine Markets
#GDP #SCOTUS #PMI #RBNZ
Unbelievable Monetary Disorder continues...
Earnings: $WMT $BKNG $DASH $ETSY $EBAY $CVNA $W $OPEN $OXY $ET $DVN $RIG $NEM $PAAS $KGC $NTR $PANW $ADI $SEDG $DBX $DE $MDT $SO $EXE $LMD
#ASX #OOTT #oil #natgas #Gold #VIX #SPX #BTC $SLV #Silver #Platinum $GDX #ETH #USDJPY #EURJPY #AUDUSD https://t.co/PZsjI2wBft

[KnovaWave @KnovaWave]

@MiguelSCompton @ThePitBoss16 @TradersCom @saylor @BadfishRanch Here is our Fib Extension for maniacal top Most likely in the C Wave correcting that - that's the bullish take - bearish is was a cycle top & this is first wave down - you would move to extensions from there. The min target has been reached at break up level from last year FWIW

[KnovaWave @KnovaWave]

@ThePitBoss16 @TradersCom @saylor @MiguelSCompton @BadfishRanch 66k today