We are exactly 1 month from the September 2026 equinox on Wednesday, September 23, 2026, at 00:06 UTC, when the sun is expected to go overhead the Equator marking the change of seasons.
With a very strong El Nino (could be the strongest ever recorded) properly established in the Equatorial Pacific, and a +ve IOD coming up in the Indian Ocean nearer home, #Kenya & the greater Horn of Africa are anticipating an Oct-Nov-Dec rainy season with highly enhanced precipitation and, probably an extension of the season into Jan 2027.
Going forward, our focus shifts to:
* Monitoring the southward shift of the Inter-Tropical-Convergence-Zone (ITCZ) from the Sahel region & the Ethiopian highlands into Equatorial Africa including Kenya
* Watching out for any tropical activity & disturbances in the Western Indian Ocean adjacent to the East African coastline
* Change in direction and strength of the trade winds in the Indian Ocean (zonal upper & lower level wind anomalies)
These parameters will help us ascertain with precision the exact onset hours, dates & weeks of the much-awaited rains.
Keep on following!
turns out, reading voraciously, moving your body, loving people without keeping score, protecting your solitude, chasing nothing but your own growth, and occasionally staying out too late with people who make you laugh until it hurts is not a bad way to build a life.