My June newsletter is out now!
I reflect on the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, why the stalemate in Ukraine has shifted in Kyiv's favor, and the leadership qualities that made President Obama the best boss I've ever worked for.
Read it here:
https://t.co/yWgJuBGclS
ICE has been absolutely relentless in Kansas City since the World Cup started, just as we expected, and not a single local media outlet has reported on it once.
They took everyone from an agua Fresca stand in Olathe this morning. Just a total dragnet. Fucking pigs.
Have weather forecasts seemed less accurate lately? There's a major contributing factor: nearly half the morning weather balloons in the Lower 48 are "missing."
This is an ongoing crisis that is degrading critical severe weather forecasts that we all rely on. It's having real, tangible impacts on degrading forecast quality.
If you work in transportation, agriculture or commerce, this should matter to you.
Regardless of the causes, this negatively affects people of ALL political backgrounds. Weather affects everyone. And it's impacting ALL of us negatively.
We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.
This is especially concerning for severe weather forecasts. We can't go 18 hours without ascertaining how the atmosphere is layered, how much storm fuel has built up and if severe thunderstorms are going to erupt. The Storm Prediction Center has even acknowledged forecasting frustrations in at least one public bulletin.
As an atmospheric scientist myself, I can say firsthand – the forecasts I'm able to offer you are less accurate than they would otherwise be. I'm not able to predict severe weather with the confidence I normally would. That is extremely concerning.
The United States is "supposed" to launch balloons at 0Z and 12Z ideally – a.k.a. around 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Eastern time. That's not happening. Many sites, due to staffing issues stemming from broader political and organizational issues, have pushed to 18Z, or early afternoon. That's not helpful for morning severe weather forecasts. In other words, you get less lead time. Less advanced notice. Quicker ramp-ups and ramp-downs to the forecast.
We're not able to get jet stream, temperature, moisture or wind profiles of the atmosphere each morning like we otherwise would.
Moreover, the World Meteorological Organization encourages 12Z soundings; that data is shared via the Global Observing System (GOS) under the World Weather Watch (WWW). That's not happening.
🥵 Hot weather continues through Monday
🌡️ Highs soar into the low-mid 90s with "feels like" temps around 100°-107 °F during the afternoon hours this weekend, with potential Heat Advisory levels on Monday.
Stay indoors 🏠with the AC on, stay 💧hydrated & stay in the 🌳shade.
A dangerous heat wave will impact the central & eastern U.S. starting Sun and continue through the Jul 4 weekend. Highs will be in the 90s-100s with heat indices of 100–110° (locally 115°). Warm nights will offer little relief. Stay hydrated, limit outdoor activity, and seek A/C.
I wonder if this could be the narrative that finally changes the conversation around the HPV vaccine.
1 in 4 U.S. boys still haven’t received even a single dose.
If you ever doubt how magical this world is, one day you will decide to go to a World Cup watch party in Oakland that you found online to root for a country where you spent two years trying to coax English out of the mouths of Cape Verdean teenagers. 1/7
In addition to being an amazing human being, former President Jimmy Carter was able in 1976 to see & speak to the future. Read this & know he’s talking about us right now.
And we don’t have to be this way. This fake tough garbage. It’s weakness bragging how strong it is.
Four years ago, the Supreme Court stripped away a fundamental Constitutional right and put abortion care out of reach for millions of Americans.
Today, we're sending a different message. With New York State, we are investing $495,000 to expand the NYC Abortion Access Hub, connecting more people to abortion care, medication, transportation, lodging and support services, no matter where they live.
Abortion is health care. Health care is a human right. We're protecting that right in New York City.
America has gotten to that last part of Monopoly where the game is effectively over and we’re all just watching the Elites suck up all the money, nobody else is allowed to really keep playing the game & we’re all getting more pissed by the minute
Flip the damn board over already