I started learning how to trade at 15
This is me at 17. Trading full time.
Still attending zoom class during Covid
Anything is possible lol. I thought I was going to become an investment banker
a Chinese quant from Citadel drew 3 formulas on a napkin that replaced my entire salary
rooftop dinner in lower manhattan. friend's colleague. four drinks in he started talking about work.
"weather is pure physics. no sentiment. no politics. just math against a forecast model"
he grabbed a napkin. drew three formulas.
> edge = p_model - p_market.
> kelly f* = (W/65 - (1-W)/17) = 0.750.
> EV = p_model(0.420) - p_market(0.452) = -3.2c.
"three formulas. that's the whole weather desk. six analysts. $400K/year in data. doing exactly this"
i pocketed the napkin. went home. opened Claude Opus 4.7.
"build a weather arbitrage engine using these formulas. pull NOAA, GFS, ECMWF. enter when edge exceeds 2 cents"
https://t.co/xywgRNlvyc
2,900 stars. 36GB. every trade on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Opus built it overnight. 49 city pairs. 520 markets. 8 data feeds.
the edge is real, this account proves it.
every trade on-chain. every P&L public. pure weather. consistent returns:
https://t.co/4ioTQBcu2n
current positions all green:
Chicago 82-83F. entry $0.184. now $1.59. +$6.
Dallas 84-85F. entry $0.200. now $0.74. +$156.
Seattle 52-53F. entry $0.312. now $0.59. +$114.
London 18C. entry $0.267. now $2.10. +$73.
Paris 20C. entry $0.300. now $1.43. +$111.
10 edges found live:
> Chicago 82.4F GFS. PM odds 0.80. edge +2.3c.
> Dallas 84.8F HRRR. PM odds 0.67. edge +5.3c.
> London 17.9C ECMWF. PM odds 0.70. edge +8.2c.
> Madrid 22.8C AEMET. PM odds 0.82. edge +6.7c.
817 trades. 84.2% win rate. kelly f+ 0.78.
+$4,818 from $600 seed. Claude $20 + VPS $5.
i copied his entire setup here: https://t.co/PTZuvewZE6
texted him a week later with a screenshot.
"you built this from the napkin?"
Claude built it. i just typed what you wrote.
"that napkin had our entire desk on it"
i know. it's in my drawer.
RIP Bloomberg Terminal.
Someone just open-sourced a desktop app that does most of what a $24,000-a-year Bloomberg seat does, and it runs on Windows, macOS, and Linux.
Fincept Terminal ships with:
→ Full CFA Level 1, 2, 3 analytics implemented in Python
→ 20+ investor AI agents (Buffett, Dalio, Graham, Soros, Lynch, Klarman)
→ Hedge fund presets: Bridgewater All-Weather, Citadel multi-strat, Renaissance stat models
→ 100+ data connectors including Polygon, Kraken, DBnomics (100M+ series), World Bank, IMF, OECD
→ Visual node editor to wire data sources to Python agents to MCP tools
→ 3D globe with live AIS ship tracking, aircraft paths, and satellite orbits
→ Local LLM support so your positions never leave your machine
2.6K stars. AGPL-3.0. 100% Opensource.
https://t.co/2D2lqijhY5
Highkey tempting to just start shit posting on LinkedIn lmfao.
No one from highschool / college know abt my career.
I already have a goofy ass selfie as my PFP so it seems fitting atp.
Quick 35% today!
I missed the BOS + FVG gap entry on $SPY
Entered off the opening range break out as usual.
$SPYC$6247/11/25 .85 -> 1.15
Not bad considering I missed the first entry.
Guys the key is tight stop, and small lot sizes with these types of trades. Even tho losses could potentially be catastrophic, these measures prevent you from blowing up. Since the win rate is high, you’ll be profitable. Free sauce is crazy
Bro 445% on $SPY weekly’s today ☠️
Super covid vibes. But the setups have such high win rate you can take these weekly’s confidently
.33 -> $1.85
Just from opening range break out, and mapping PDH, Asia, and London session.
Life is so good
Lowkey shitty trade but still 150% lol.
Bad RR it is what it is. Kinda strayed away from my strategy today bc I didn’t trade yesterday.
But after years in the market, trader intuition is definitely a thing