Jingled JJ🎲🤹‍♂️🌵

Internaut 👨🏼‍🚀 / KeaneVergys alum / semi-retired state worker / crockpot crack-pot / elevator aficionado / my opinion is vaporware / 👍, RT ≠ Endorsements

[TCG Beacon @TCGBeacon]

@Rossst_03 Trying to describe a stormy ocean with a formula designed for a kiddie pool-the ultimate illusion of control.

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

Detroit hit an air quality index of 724 today. Hazardous, the worst category on the scale, starts at 301. Delhi, the most polluted major city on Earth, makes global headlines around 400.

The source is 858 wildfires burning across Canada right now, 113 of them officially out of control. That label undersells the situation. Canada's boreal forest covers 552 million hectares, an area larger than India, and most remote fires there get monitored rather than fought, because no country on Earth owns enough crews, aircraft, or roads to reach them. For a large share of these fires, the suppression plan is winter.

What traveled 800 miles from Ontario to Michigan is PM2.5, particles about a thirtieth the width of a human hair, small enough to pass from your lungs into your bloodstream. Berkeley Earth's conversion puts 22 micrograms of PM2.5 per cubic meter at one cigarette a day. At Detroit's peak concentration this afternoon, a day outside penciled out to roughly a pack.

The pattern is the part worth sitting with. 2023 was Canada's worst fire season ever recorded, 18.5 million hectares burned, and it was treated as a freak year. This is now the third summer in four years that Great Lakes cities have topped the global pollution rankings. The boreal is drying faster than almost any forest on the planet, and some fires now survive winter underground and reignite in spring. Fire scientists call them zombie fires.

American cities spent 50 years cleaning their air. Catalytic converters, scrubbers, the Clean Air Act. All of it worked. Then the air quality crown started moving to whichever city sits downwind of a forest no fire crew will ever reach.

[Rossst.03 @Rossst_03]

Benoit Mandelbrot, Yale professor and father of fractals:

"The bell curve Wall Street trusts says a crash like 2008 happens once every 10,000 years. It keeps happening every decade. I spent forty years proving the market is wild, not mild, and most 'edge' is just that wildness fooling you."

this free lecture holds the entire "risk model" the quant funds sell, and the man who gave it away was an IBM Fellow and Yale professor who could have cashed any Wall Street check and never did.

at the board it's simple. the standard models assume price moves are mild and independent, like coin flips, so a giant crash is basically impossible. Mandelbrot measured real markets and found the opposite: prices move in wild, clustered jumps, and the calm stretches are the illusion. that's the whole "risk management" pitch, minus the marketing.

he started publishing this in 1962. it's been free ever since. same point as my article above: the market hands out calm-looking runs and violent breaks, and both fool you into a story about your own skill.

the equations are public and every fund already has them. what they can't sell you is the discipline to size for the wild days instead of the calm ones. that is the part that actually keeps you alive, and no course can put it in a formula.

[Isaac Palmquist (Swift in some places) @isaac_palmquist]

@SlopeOfHope Ringing the bell on his desk 😅

[Jingled JJ🎲🤹‍♂️🌵 @Kvetsh]

@PeteHegsLiver 🙄🙄🙄

[tastylive @tastyliveshow]

Down 35% from the peak and hitting lifetime lows, and the selling has not even started yet. Tim Knight @SlopeOfHope says every single share sold so far in $SPCX has come from people who bought after the IPO.

Not one insider has been allowed to sell. When that lockup expires, hundreds of billions in stock becomes eligible to hit the market. That is the part most traders are not thinking about yet.

[Brian Krassenstein @krassenstein]

ANOTHER TRUMP FAIL:

Water turns brown at another Trump renovation project in Washington DC

This is Malcolm X Park.

[GOP Ls @GOP__Ls]

🚨 Republican Party Chairman Matthew Reilly was found passed out in his car with a crack pipe in his hand.

Police recovered crack cocaine. He has now resigned.

[Rep. Jack Kimble @RepJackKimble]

The Islamic Republic of Japan is now threatening to block The Strait of Hormuz following hostilities with the United States.

[Steve @oldguy_steve]

Okay, enough with the rumors. He's alive. I snapped this picture myself. 🤣

[Spencer Hakimian @SpencerHakimian]

Trump: "We had 11 missiles shot by the Islamic Republic of Japan"

[Science girl @sciencegirl]

Exactly a year ago

Ozzy Osbourne's final performance at Villa Park in Birmingham on July 5, 2025

[Paul Medica @PaulMedica]

Incredible category 5 super typhoon! #guwx

[Jason Lewris @jasonlewris]

BREAKING: As of tonight, 1 in 7 homes for sale in America is in Florida - a state with only ~8% of the nation's homes.

The Florida for-sale market is flashing warning signs:

45% of listings have taken a price cut (6.6 pts above the national rate)

1 in 10 homes are selling for less than the original owner paid

[Mia Bryant 🇨🇦 @MiaBryant374659]

Definitely worth reposting….

[Slope of Hope @SlopeOfHope]

It should also be noted that if SpaceX continues to do poorly as a public company, this will completely throw ice water on the perspective IPOs for Anthropic and OpenAI.

[tastylive @tastyliveshow]

Full breakdown: https://t.co/opEPbpEOE5

[Wimar.X @DefiWimar]

🚨THIS IS NOT NORMAL AT ALL

I checked the biggest IPO cycles since 1929.

The pattern has been the same for almost 100 years.

→ GOLDMAN SACHS, 1929

$SPX later crashed 86%.

Markets were running on margin debt and pure speculation.

Then credit disappeared.

→ INTEL, 1972

$SPX later crashed 50%.

Inflation exploded and easy money started disappearing.

Valuations had nothing real supporting them.

→ AT&T WIRELESS, 2000

$SPX later crashed 48%.

Tech and telecom were trading on stories instead of profits.

Then funding dried up.

→ SPACEX, 2026

$SPX later crashed **%.

Almost nobody is prepared for what happens when liquidity gets tighter.

1929 → 1972 → 2000 → 2026

→ Four mega IPOs
→ Four bubbles
→ Four market reckonings

THIS IS NOT A COINCIDENCE.

Everything is going exactly as planned.

Most people only understand these calls after the crash has already happened.

Not this time.

I've studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

Follow and turn notifications on.

I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

[Teddy - PolyBackTest.com @Bitcoin_Teddy]

In 1998, Warren Buffett gave a 1-hour masterclass on how to never lose money investing.

His frameworks:
• The 10% ownership test
• Castle & moat thinking
• Circle of competence
• Why smart people go broke

12 timeless lessons from his masterclass:

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

President Trump admits he's manipulating the stock market with fake news... Incredible