🧵1/ Polling from a couple weeks back from UC Berkeley’s IGS shows Karen Bass with surprisingly high support from older voters in LA. But dig deeper, and you’ll find the numbers may not be what they seem…
@mikehtrujillo Really thoughtful take—agree the IGS poll doesn’t dig into why. Some of it’s partisan, some tied to recent events or policy views, and some is just vibe-based dislike—like with Gascón. Would love to see deeper polling that unpacks those layers.
🧵1/ Polling from a couple weeks back from UC Berkeley’s IGS shows Karen Bass with surprisingly high support from older voters in LA. But dig deeper, and you’ll find the numbers may not be what they seem…
9/ Which means the real takeaway might be this:
Karen Bass isn’t just struggling with LA voters.
She may be doing even worse than the poll suggests.
🧵/end
Would love your thoughts @BerkeleyIGS
8/ The 65+ surge in support just doesn’t square with the rest of the story. If that group was disproportionately skewed, then the poll may be overstating her favorability across the board.