LLama Research LLP

SEBI RIA · INA000018780
Clarity beats cheer. Institutional research and advice for people who want the thesis, not the tips. For portfolios of every size.

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

September argued that a fixed deposit protects the number and not what the number buys. But in what order do you actually move them? That is this session.
Next Market Action Pulse is this Saturday, 3 October, 11:30.
Register for free: https://t.co/kWW4NWuo3V

#fd #nifty #Investor

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

In 2022, the acid price index gave back ~40% within four months of peaking.
Tight markets loosen faster than they tighten.
What breaks this squeeze first: Hormuz, export bans, pass-through or plant outages?

#Sulphur #Commodities #Chemicals #sensex

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Market Action Pulse (MAP), live this Saturday, 3 Oct. Free.
60 minutes on sequencing: what moves first, what waits, with two worked cases.

Register for Free: https://t.co/7X45x55fFb

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Smooth is not safe. A 20% fall in equities arrives on a date. A 3% loss of purchasing power arrives on no date at all.
No bank app ever says: "Your money bought 3% less this year."

Which risk do you actually lose sleep over?

#Investing #Risk #PersonalFinance #niftyfifty

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@oldschoolinvest September argued that a fixed deposit protects the number and not what the number buys. Someone in the room then asked the obvious follow-up: fine, so in what order do I actually move them? That is this session.
Register for free: https://t.co/kWW4NWuo3V

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@suritalreja September argued that a fixed deposit protects the number and not what the number buys. Someone in the room then asked the obvious follow-up: fine, so in what order do I actually move them? That is this session.
Register for free: https://t.co/kWW4NWuo3V

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@CaVivekkhatri September argued that a fixed deposit protects the number and not what the number buys. Someone in the room then asked the obvious follow-up: fine, so in what order do I actually move them? That is this session.
Register for free: https://t.co/kWW4NWuo3V

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@gjyadnya Very true. Looking at historical performance, the investors keep chasing new assets and new markets. Based on our analysis on different assets and markets, the ones that have recently performed generally do not continue to do so. While the underperforming assets join the rally.

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Same record margin cycle. Very different share prices.
Large US refiners roughly doubled this year. One listed Indian refiner is down ~8% over six months.
Markets price the last 12 months. Supply shocks land in the next 3. Where else is it open?

#price #Refining #India #nifty

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@zerodhacapital The increasing power demand not just for consumption but also for upcoming data centres is clearly reflected in this chart. Interesting part is that India is at all-time low of coal reserves for power generation currently.

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@REDBOXINDIA Supply disruptions

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

@BaluGorade SIPs are for the long term. Judge returns against average felt inflation over the holding period, not one year's print. That's your real return. Fund choice matters too.
For alpha generation, direct equity through a registered adviser can be a good option to achieve your goals.

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Sulphuric acid isn't a refinery by-product. Sulphur is. The acid is made downstream from it.
Supply follows refinery timelines, not price signals, so price does the adjusting.
Which end-market absorbs the cost best?

#Chemicals #SupplyChain #Sulphur #nifty

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Market Action Pulse (MAP), live this Saturday, 3 Oct. Free.
60 minutes on sequencing: what moves first, what waits, with two worked cases.

Register for Free: https://t.co/7X45x55fFb

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Your FD is judged against India's lowest inflation number.
CPI: 4.82%. Households say they're living through 7.8%. WPI: 9.92%.
Swap in the household number and the best FD goes from +0.86% to -2.12% real.
Which one matches your grocery bill?

#Inflation #RBI #India #sensex

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Market Update- 29th Sept, 2026

#nifty #sensex #crude #marketupdate

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

One barrel in six.
Russia's export curbs pulled ~1.4 mb/d out of an 8–9 mb/d seaborne diesel market. Crude eased from its wartime peak; diesel didn't.
That gap is the refiner's margin. How long can it last?

#Diesel #Commodities #Energy #niftyfifty

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

~50% of seaborne sulphur trade moves through Hormuz. Add China's acid export ban and Russia's sulphur ban, and India's landed sulphur hit ~$1,100/t by May.
Three chokepoints, one price.
Which one reopens first?

#Sulphur #Hormuz #Commodities

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

Market Action Pulse (MAP), live this Saturday, 3 Oct. Free.
60 minutes on sequencing: what moves first, what waits, with two worked cases.

Register for free: https://t.co/7X45x55fFb

[LLama Research LLP @LLama_Research]

India's best FD rate is 8.25%.
After tax (30% slab): 5.68%.
After 4.82% CPI inflation: 0.86% a year.
At a large bank's 6.50%, it's -0.35%. Nothing went wrong, and you still lost purchasing power.

What's your FD earning after tax?

#FixedDeposit #Inflation #PersonalFinance #nifty