LP

Trader | Reformed

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

My 4–6th pivot is approaching...

An area that has consistently aligned with major trend shifts.

Over the next 2 weeks, pay close attention to the sentiment heading into this pivot. If bearish sentiment persists, it will likely mark a local low. Conversely, if sentiment turns bullish into the pivot, it could signal a local high.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

My 4–6th pivot is approaching...

An area that has consistently aligned with major trend shifts.

Over the next 2 weeks, pay close attention to the sentiment heading into this pivot. If bullish sentiment persists, it will likely mark a local high. Conversely, if sentiment turns bearish into the pivot, it could signal a local low.

[LP @LP_NXT]

@peachmustard Low leverage long.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC — Swing Long #3

I'm still holding my swing long from 82.5K...

Price has been hovering around the entry for the past two weeks, but nothing about the overall trade idea has changed. The goal remains the same: catch the next major leg to the upside. This can take time, and there's no reason to rush the process.

I still don't expect price to sweep 75K. That remains the consensus trade, with most waiting for lower prices before entering longs. However, some more LTF volatility to shake out longs and create doubt before the next move higher is definitely possible.

The goal was never to catch the exact bottom. It's to position for the next big move, and I remain convinced that the upside offers the greater opportunity from here.

In the rare event this trade gets invalidated, I'll look to re-enter another swing long around the invalidation level. Until then, nothing has changed. Patience. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC — Swing Long #3

Entry tapped... ✔️

I'm prepared to hold this trade until new highs or invalidation.

Now is not the time to lower targets. It's time to act. Most were waiting for a dip before buying, but now that the dip has come, they've lowered their targets once again. The same thing happened when I entered my previous swing longs at 76.2K and 59.4K, both of which I'm still holding.

Sentiment is already very bearish, and most are fearful of opening a swing long, still waiting for a sweep of 74K.

Let the games continue higher... 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Absolutely nothing has changed...

This is another buying and longing opportunity.

The goal is never to catch the exact bottom. It's to catch the next big move, which I still expect to be to the upside.

Higher prices will come. This price action is designed to make most people afraid to long the market and miss the next move.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Tick tock... ⏳

This remains a buying and longing opportunity.

Buy the dips and sell the rips. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

If you're looking to add to your position, I'd only consider adding at 82.5K and below (range lows). Anything above those levels isn't worth adding to.

If price doesn't revisit 82.5K, wait for the next range to form and look for another swing long on a deviation below the range lows.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Don't. Bet. Against. Me.

Sweep. ✔️
Pump. ✔️

I'm in my 3rd swing long from 82.5K.

A small retrace before higher. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Price is sweeping most of the highs while leaving most of the lows unswept, building liquidity below the range lows.

This makes participants feel psychologically safe in local longs, but price will likely eventually sweep some of the lows and take that liquidity.

Ultimately, I'm still bullish on the HTF. Just waiting for 82–78K before potentially entering another swing long.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Peak fear. ✔️

Bears were extremely loud at the lows, shorting and waiting for lower prices before entering longs. This type of sentiment typically forms near range lows and offers great swing long opportunities.

Price is now sitting near the mid-range, where a little caution is warranted. However, I still expect the range highs to be next, where hedge shorts could potentially be opened.

Until then, higher. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Pullback. ✔️

Bears are getting loud, and most are waiting for lower prices before opening swing longs. This is what peak fear looks like, and during bull markets, it often creates some of the best swing long opportunities.

I'm in my third swing long from 82.5K.

Higher prices are coming...

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

"This zone gets retested again soon..." ✔️

Price could reject here initially, but will likely reclaim the zone and head towards the range highs.

87.3K. 🧲

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

This zone gets retested again soon...

Most likely, price reclaims it and heads towards the range highs.

These dips are good opportunities for swing longs.

87.3K. 🧲

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Quant warned you...

Higher. Leave the fools behind. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Quant said if you aren’t swing long by the end of this week...

You’re a fool. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Thoughts remain unchanged. 🃏

Hold above 82.5–82.2K.

Next push towards 84–85K.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Dips are for buying...

Thoughts remain unchanged. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

The next pump will be expected, yet most will still miss the move.

This price action is making participants question their positioning and capitulate their long positions.

It's called time-based capitulation.

Higher. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

During the previous range between 81–76K, the order book consistently showed buy pressure just below price throughout the entire range, eventually leading to another expansion.

We're seeing the same thing now, with buy pressure stepping in below the lows. This could lead to another breakout over the coming weeks, especially with very little sell pressure sitting above.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

During bull markets, "perfect retests" typically get front-run.

This is where consensus forms and where most are waiting before buying or entering a position. Right now, that area is 75K.

Since this rally began around 58K, these consensus areas have repeatedly been front-run, yet most are still waiting for that perfect retest before buying. This is why so many fail to make money during a bull run.

Every swing long I've entered since the bear market bottom was criticized for being too early, with the consensus expecting price to go lower and stop me out.

My most recent swing long sits at 82.5K.

See you higher over the coming months. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

"This weekly candle might be followed by another bearish candle, but this dip is made for buying." ✔️

They are not the same. This is re-accumulation before another expansion, with consistent sweeps of the lows making shorts expect lower prices.

All that's needed now is a bullish engulfing candle, which could form this week or next, before price heads towards the range highs.

My bias remains unchanged. Dips are made for buying.

Bears have until the end of this week to push price lower. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

They are not the same, Pt 2...

Those wanting lower prices will soon start comparing this weekly candle to the two scenarios that occurred during the bear market. Unlike the previous times this happened, I expect an expansion back to the upside.

Although this weekly candle might be followed by another bearish candle, this dip is made for buying, and I don't expect 75K to get swept.

This remains bullish, and 90K is coming in November/December. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Don't hate the messenger...

81.7K. ✔️

Target hit.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

81.7K 🧲

This LTF magnet will likely be swept within the next few days.

Higher.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

81.7K 🧲

This LTF magnet will likely be swept within the next few days.

Higher.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

This zone gets retested again soon...

Most likely, price reclaims it and heads towards the range highs.

These dips are good opportunities for swing longs.

87.3K. 🧲

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Reclaim 83.8–84.5K,

87.3K will be next. 🧲

Any dip is an opportunity to swing long.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

During a bear market, price typically targets short positions, making longs feel psychologically safe before eventually making a big move to the downside.

During a bull market, it's the opposite. Price tends to continuously sweep the lows, pushing participants into shorts as they target lower prices before making a big move to the upside.

Price is currently in a bull market. Sweeps are for buying.

Long your longs. 🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Keep shorting...

88–90K before 75K.

Most remain short, and they will get taken out soon.

Higher into November.🃏

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

Price is following the same time pattern as the early stages of the previous bull market.

If this correlation continues, price could push higher over the next 35 days.