6 months ago, Raoul Pal said we are in an elongated business/debt cycle and that bitcoin would climb higher and then we would see a -35% drawdown and “everyone will be sure that it is over… and it won’t be over.”
You need to watch this again.
https://t.co/KYG9OR4gHI
I think we go up here soon. Before we do. This needs to be addressed.
Lotta people try to yell at me for screaming "ALT SEASON". If you follow me I need you firmly know this when we go up.
A) I am DEADLY serious when I state if my bet fails the coins in it will get wiped out.
DEADLY. People like to focus on the fact that I think alts can 20x and ignore me saying "if eth fails, micros will be wiped out"
I state this for 3-4 minutes every video. Its literally written in 1000+ words before my alt list on my website. Its in the WRITTEN warning I tell you to pause the video and read every video.
I actively state I'm willing to go to zero with the gamble.
This isn't a tongue and cheek disclaimer. I literally mean all the above in the most literal sense.
B) You need to be PREPARED for both options. I truly mean it when I say this is a roulette table.
IMO the risk to reward is incredible. This does not mean this risk is not present. I state the odds are 50/50 each video. That truly means there's a 50% chance that BAD outcome where micros get wiped out occurs.
I am completely unsure of which outcome happens and willing to take the risk.
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I just wanted to state this because I think we will be going up very soon.
People will then buy coins that are up. This is crypto the coins will eventually go down.
They will then get mad.
So this is my "tap the sign" post reminder.
A) These coins crash HARD when the bet is wrong
B) It's a BET...Not a sure thing.
C) You need to be SUPER prepared for if the bet goes bad...which it WILL 50% or more of the time. It's a gamble.
I absolutely promise not to act bullish when I am not or act bullish on coins I am not and then turbo dump coins/do sketchy shit to manipulate my following.
But when we are up 20x here next year and then we inevitably crash again... I will not entertain people who are mad...
You cannot say you listened to me when you completely ignored that I stated
-These coins will go to hell at some point
-There's a huge chance they will
-That this is a bet
-You absolutely shouldn't bet if you are new to this
-You absolutely should be prepared for the bet to go bad
I don't just subtly suggest this. Its WRITTEN in bold and extreme detail in almost every form of content I make.
I am sitting here doing exactly what I'm stating in the post below.
BURN THE BOATS. To glory or zero.
If you are not prepared to burn the boats and can't tolerate the "zero" outcome...DO NOT TRADE MICRO CAPS OR IMITATE ME BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT I'M DOING.
Hugs/Kisses. Let's ride to glory now.
🚨 Everyone says “the 4-year cycle is back” and the bull market is over.
It’s not. They’re looking at the wrong cycle. 📉➡️📈
Crypto isn’t random — it follows liquidity.
And liquidity follows something most people never look at:
US debt refinancing cycles. 💸🔁
Here’s the simple version 👇
From 2010–2021, the US issued tons of 3–4 year bonds.
When those bonds matured, the Treasury had to refinance them:
💵 Old bonds paid back → investors get a cash wave
📅 New bonds issued later → temporary liquidity surge
⚡ Those surges lined up almost perfectly with past crypto bull runs
That’s why the “4-year cycle” looked so real.
It wasn’t magic — it was debt maturity timing.
But according to macro legend @RaoulGMI (Raoul Pal), something HUGE changed:
In 2021, the US Treasury extended maturities →
the refinancing window stretched to 5 years.
Meaning the biggest liquidity flood is now shifted toward 2025–2026. 🌊
And it gets even bigger…
We’re entering a phase where:
🔽 Fed rate cuts are coming
💵 QE is expected to return
🧾 Trillions in debt must be refinanced
⏳ All at the same time
Rate cuts + QE + refinancing =
the largest liquidity wave of the entire cycle.
So what’s really happening now?
Market manipulation + the old 4-year narrative is scaring people out early.
The goal: make you believe the bull market is finished. 🐻🧟♂️
But the truth?
The real run hasn’t even started. 🚀
Crypto isn’t breaking the cycle —
the cycle shifted, and most people haven’t noticed.
Don’t get trapped here.
Don’t get shaken out.
The liquidity super-cycle is still ahead.
There are only 2 indicators for the cycle to be over
1. 50 MA was crossed
2. End of 4-year cycle
There are 20 why it’s not over
1. Cycles depend on the business cycle, not the 4-year cycle
2. SP500 at ATHs
3. Gold at ATHs
4. M2 at ATHs
5. Death cross that has always doubled the Bitcoin price in the 6 months following in this cycle
6. None of the 20 bull run top indicators has hit
7. There was no euphoria
8. More rate cuts are coming
9. Government shutdown just ended, which pumped Bitcoin for 6 months straight last time
10. ETFs
11. $12.5T Retirement funds integrating Bitcoin
12. Altcoins extremely oversold
13. Fear index is at 10 - extrem fear, which always marked the bottom
Overall, only 2 micro indicators would speak for a top, but all the indicators, both micro and macro speak against it.
Is your altcoin portfolio down?!
ok.. typically that's because you bought when coins had been going up a lot (i've done it from time to time too! take ownership, understand the error and learn from it)...
If you are buying into coins that are going up a lot right now while the rest of the market is at lows (MASSIVE DISCOUNTS!) then you are effectively like a kid that touches the hot stove, burns his fingers and then goes back and touches it again.... because you've not learned from your painful experience..
Coins that are rallying up right now are doing it because of market makers and strategic moves by projects to re inject capital to try and get people to fomo back into them. Eventually all crypto alt coins with cash in reserves will begin to do this..
If you got into coins that are pumping now when they were at lows. Congratulations! you nailed it... however if you're not holding coins in the big green bubbles, then don't worry.. Your project's market makers will be planning to deploy capital and turn the marketing wheels once the market is greedy again... This is the most effective time to do it, since people like to buy when markets are greedy...
Do not be fooled, price moves on charts the majority of the time because of 1 thing... Market making.. They use big juicy media headlines to tell you the reason it's going up... It's not true. It's going up because market makers are reinjecting funds. When markets are greedy big influencer shoutouts on youtube / X also drive price, (but not right now, since markets in fear.. )
Now you can see behind the curtain... Just be patient. Don't chase green candles. They always end up burning you. Buy low sell high...
Dont sell your coins that are low to buy coins that are high...
$zec $btc $aia $dash $icp $fil $eth $sol $sui
I am only asking for a 10x on the following coins. $0x0, $ATH, $OGPU, $DSYNC, $HASHAI, $NEURAL, $GPU, $BLENDR, $ANDY (BASE), $REDO, $BRETT (BASE), $SPX
Is that to much to ask ?