Lab4crypto

On-chain & quant metrics, insights, risk management, education.

📺 YT:

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Bitcoin's recent drop triggered $1.65 BILLION in liquidations.

While everyone is focused on the crash, several key indicators are approaching levels historically associated with major BTC bottoms.

🎥 Full analysis 👇
https://t.co/SFVXnngKXu

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Imagine what will happen to Bitcoin when Satoshi resigns😃

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Nvidia stock, $NVDA, plunges over -10% after Jensen Huang officially resigns as CEO.

The stock has now erased -$750 billion in market cap since the scandal began.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

#Bitcoin : Spot Buying vs. Perps Selling!
An interesting divergence is emerging:
Spot CVD: +$308M in net aggressive buying.
Perps CVD: -$3.6B in net aggressive selling.

Two possible scenarios:
1. Spot demand persists: Buyers absorb the selling pressure, potentially setting up a short squeeze.
2. Spot demand fades: Perps selling takes control, potentially pushing BTC into the long liquidation cluster and accelerating the downside.
📷$BTC bottom floor is at $70K

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

We are sitting right at the Bull Market Support Band ($73.4K), with the Lab4crypto RANSAC bottom floor acting as the ultimate structural support just below at $70.3K.

This tight $70.3K - $73.4K window historically presents a highly favorable, asymmetric risk/reward setup for spot accumulation and DCA.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

@JoshMandell6 I feel you🥲

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Update your iphone

[Binance @binance]

A vulnerability (worse_query) affecting iOS 26.7.1, 27.0.1, and 27.2 allows malicious apps to read local files from other apps, putting seed phrases, private keys, and login credentials at risk across the entire ecosystem. This is an iOS-level issue, not unique to Binance.

Immediate Action Required:
- Delete any apps installed from untrusted sources (such as sideloaded or manually signed IPAs).
- Update iOS and all apps to the latest official versions.
- If you suspect a breach, transfer funds to a new wallet created on a clean device and reset all active login sessions.

Never install unauthorized packages, and keep your software up to date.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Waiting for lower Bitcoin lows? The mathematical probabilities are heavily stacked against you.

If we look back at the explosive recovery from the cycle bottom, Bitcoin gave us a clear blueprint. After the supply in profit initially dropped below 50%, it triggered a massive 74% rally over the following months, which eventually cooled off to a supply in profit of 59.2% by March 2023 before grinding much higher. Fast forward to today, and we are witnessing a nearly identical structural setup on the charts. As of November 8, 2026, Bitcoin's supply in profit has settled right back into that same critical pivot zone at 58.5%.

Here is the real wake-up call for the bears. Look at the RANSAC Floor Fit model, which tracks the asset's absolute historical baseline. Right now, the mathematical bottom for bitcoin:native sits at exactly $70,249. Historically, Bitcoin spends 99% of its entire lifecycle above this red line. If you are sitting on your hands hoping for a catastrophic dip below $70K, you are literally betting your portfolio on a 1% anomaly.

At current levels, any Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) between the $70K mathematical floor and the $73.3K Bull Market Support Band is an absolute gift. The trend is clear, and the data is staring us right in the face. Don't let a 1% probability shake you out of a 99% setup.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

The post-election messaging from Democrats is clear: an aggressive crackdown on AI capital expenditures and development is on the horizon.

As an investor, the ultimate question isn't just "what gets regulated"; it’s "where does that capital flow instead?"

If big tech and speculative AI capital face regulatory headwinds, liquidity needs a new home. Looking at the Total Crypto Market Capitalization Power Law model, crypto is sitting right near its historical support baseline, severely undervalued compared to its long-term adoption curve.

In hindsight, a crackdown on AI might be the exact catalyst liquidity needs to rotate into crypto.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

I hope you listen

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

bitcoin:native update: The Lab4crypto Price vs. Risk metric is currently sitting at an incredibly low 25.1%, with price around $76.6k. The risk-to-reward ratio is looking highly favorable for considering DCAing now.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

bitcoin:native update: The Lab4crypto Price vs. Risk metric is currently sitting at an incredibly low 25.1%, with price around $76.6k. The risk-to-reward ratio is looking highly favorable for considering DCAing now.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Security, especially now in the AI era, needs to be increased dramatically. Technology did not fail; it worked as it was supposed to.

[David Marcus @davidmarcus]

In 2014 I went nearly a week without sleep. I was running PayPal and attackers were inside our corporate network. They'd compromised an eBay employee's laptop, got onto the VPN, taken over a domain controller and made themselves domain admins. eBay and PayPal were one company then, on one Windows network. They stole 145M eBay user records, then came for the segregated vault holding PayPal's card credentials. We fought them off. They never got in, but they got close. Too close.

Yesterday Binance lost ~$6.3B in what looks like the same way. A DevOps engineer's laptop, then a service inside the withdrawal stack, then withdrawals the signer approved because they came from a trusted source. Hot wallets emptied in under four hours. No key was stolen.

Nobody broke cryptography or a ledger. They found someone with access and used the trust that came with it. Banks get hit exactly the same way.

2016: attackers inside Bangladesh Bank used its own SWIFT access to send $951M of payment orders to the NY Fed. $81M was lost. The rest was held because an unrelated sanctions filter tripped on the word "Jupiter". That was luck, and it only worked because wires took days to settle.

June 2025: an IT employee at C&M Software, which connects Brazilian banks to Pix, sold his credentials for about $2,700. Attackers used them to send fake Pix transfers out of six institutions' reserve accounts at the central bank. ~$140M in under three hours.

August 2025: stolen vendor credentials at Sinqia, another Pix connector. ~R$710M out of HSBC and one other institution in a single afternoon. The central bank froze most of it, after it had already moved.

Same attack every time. Speed is what changed. When settlement took days, a filter, a correspondent bank or someone in ops could catch a bad payment. Pix, FedNow, SEPA Instant and blockchains settle in seconds. Payment security was mostly built for the slow world.

PayPal's card and user data survived 2014 because domain admin on the corp network couldn't unlock it quickly enough, and our alerting caught the unusual activity on the network. That's the model. Approval policy no laptop or vendor login can reach. Velocity and anomaly limits enforced outside the system that sends. Dynamic caps on what any one wallet, account or service can move per hour. All of it in real time.

About $3B of what left Binance has been frozen, almost all of it stablecoins. The $1.4B in bitcoin is sitting in 19 wallets and nobody can touch it. I don't think that's the problem. For decades the ability to reverse a wire or a card charge let a lot of weak security slide. You either stop the transfer before it's signed or you eat the loss.

Nothing about the technology failed here. The chains processed exactly the transactions they were handed. Binance's own systems handed them the wrong ones because an engineer's laptop was compromised. That's operational security. eBay in 2014, Bangladesh Bank and two Pix connectors all failed at it on their own rails.

In 2014 the attackers never reached the vault. If they had, the fraud losses would have been the small part. PayPal existed so people could pay without handing their card details to every merchant on the internet. We held those details so they didn't have to. Losing them would have broken the one thing the company was built on, and I'm not sure we would have recovered.

I expect blockchains and digital assets to become the standard way money moves. Every custodian of digital assets, or of fiat on a real-time rail, is in that position now. The controls have to adapt to settlement in seconds, crypto or not.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Great educational anime

[Tether @tether]

On 31 October 2008, Satoshi published nine pages that explained Bitcoin to the world.

Today we’re explaining it to everyone else.

Two pizzas, 10,000 BTC, 21 million coins, and one key you never share. Everything you need to know, in a comic.

Happy 18th birthday, Bitcoin whitepaper.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Already 90% covered. The remaining 10% soon, due to low liquidity of those altcoins.

[Binance @binance]

https://t.co/FJazWAxnQX

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Already 18 years have passed

[Adam Back @adam3us]

happy bitcoin white paper day. 18 years.
onwards and upwards.

[Adam Back @adam3us]

happy bitcoin white paper day. 18 years.
onwards and upwards.

[Binance @binance]

https://t.co/eeLPCUjIxR

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

Did not have this on my bingo card

[Bitcoin News @BitcoinNewsCom]

BINANCE’S CZ CLASHES WITH ELON MUSK OVER $6 BILLION HACK

Binance founder CZ asked Elon Musk to stop trolling after Musk reacted to a post comparing Binance’s assurances to FTX’s claims before its collapse.

“Elon, have a lot of respect for you, but bad time to troll. Please stop,” CZ wrote.

CZ added that Binance’s $500 million investment in Musk’s Twitter acquisition is now worth more than $1 billion.

Binance co-CEO Yi He also weighed in, saying the exchange generates enough annual revenue to cover the losses without selling its SpaceX shares.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

If you get one more chance, do not screw it up. These opportunities happen in less than 1% of Bitcoin's history. The current $BTC bottom floor is $69.5K.

[Binance @binance]

Binance has begun recovering affected assets for users and continues to work with law enforcement, issuers, blockchain intelligence firms and industry partners to trace, freeze and recover additional funds.

The company has already publicly committed to cover losses through company funds in the prior announcement.

Binance has already reserved over $6.34B of company funds to cover this incident. $5B of these funds are already held in the exact token assets that were impacted. We are completing the purchase of the remaining amount by buying token assets through market channels and OTC channels. We are doing this to match the format of the remaining token assets and address any asset shortfalls. This step can take longer because some tokens may have low liquidity and OTC settlement also takes time. We will share more progress as soon as we can.

These figures do not include frozen or protected assets, which remain subject to ongoing recovery and verification. Currently, $3bn has been frozen, with thanks to our industry partners. We are working with partners and law enforcement to recover the frozen assets.We will continue to use company resources to cover confirmed shortfall and will provide further verified updates as recovery efforts progress. Ultimately, all user funds will be verified publicly through our Proof of Reserves.

We will weather this storm. Thank you for the support.

[Lab4crypto @Lab4crypto_]

The most expensive laptop in human history 👀

[Binance @binance]

Binance's initial investigation suggests that the security incident may involve a compromised DevOps engineer’s laptop, which allowed an attacker to gain access to a service container and submit unauthorized withdrawal transactions. We have found no evidence of any wallet private key leak. We will share a detailed technical post-mortem once the investigation is complete and the facts are fully verified.

The estimated total impact sits at around $6.3B. We have worked with blockchain partners to freeze affected assets, with ~$3 billion frozen on-chain so far.
Binance will cover all losses from the SAFU fund and the company’s funds. User funds are safe. We will also publish an updated Proof of Reserves once the remediation is complete.

As an immediate precaution, Binance has:

- temporarily suspended deposits and withdrawals while security checks are completed;
- revoked the affected address authorisation;
- engaged law enforcement and blockchain intelligence partners to trace and recover funds.

Our teams are working around the clock to resolve this issue safely and thoroughly. We are working closely with our law enforcement partners to confirm the identity of these criminals and bring them to justice.

Please rely only on official Binance channels for updates. Please feel free to contact Binance Customer Support if you have any further questions.

https://t.co/ywB2mKFy0p