H.K.LAW💫💫💫

#STARLIGHT I #Save12HongKongYouths I #奶茶聯盟 but quit milk tea long time ago😂l #HongKonger l baby steps are always hard | may glory to 🇭🇰🇲🇨🇺🇦

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Western Union Solana-based stablecoin $USDPT goes lives.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

😬 Parking gone wrong: At Shanghai airport, a plane rammed a jet bridge with its wing

The incident happened during landing — the aircraft overran the stop line and hit the so-called “tube” that passengers use to board the plane directly from the terminal.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

🎈 The US Air Force mistook party balloons for cartel drones

Military officials believed the festive balloons were drones launched by Mexican drug cartels — and shot them down.

The “operation” led to the region’s airspace being shut down for several hours — reportedly for the first time in modern US history.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

🇨🇳The Chinese have invented the perfect smartphone for the apocalypse

Inside the Tank X, there’s a strobe flashlight, a camera with night-vision mode, and even a built-in laser projector. The battery lasts up to a week.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

A massive competition for the Indian Guard: a large-scale exam was held in the country

In India, 8,000 people filled the airport's runway to take the exam for a position in the national guard.

Thousands of candidates were competing for 187 positions. Due to the large number of applicants, there were logistical issues.

Ultimately, it was decided to conduct the written test directly on the runway. In other areas, stadiums or large playing fields were used for the exam.

Drones and law enforcement personnel were monitoring the testing process.

[Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress]

We put Putin's 19 December speech next to Hitler's 1939 Reichstag address.

Seven steps. Same sequence. Same wording.

"I wanted peace." "They rejected everything." "I was forced to act."

The formula aggressors use to make conquest sound like self-defense hasn't changed in 86 years. Will the response? https://t.co/qQvDbkpDnE

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

Russia is preparing to cooperate with the U.S. in the Arctic — Kremlin representative Kirill Dmitriev

Earlier, Dmitriev also spoke about the possible construction of an intercontinental tunnel between Alaska and Russia.

Wait, how is this possible? Isn't it the cunning America that wants to steal all the resources from proud Russians, and, according to the Dulles plan, send them into slavery at McDonald's?

No? But this was exactly the narrative you pushed for the last 30 years.

How are you now going to explain your geopolitical "flexibility" to the masses? Even the most die-hard supporters won't understand why existential enemies have become respected partners.

[Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress]

Russia is accelerating development of the International North–South Transport Corridor, a trade network through Iran designed to bypass sanctions

The corridor reduces Russia's economic isolation, while transforming Iran into major Eurasian trade hub
https://t.co/lSvh0Nz3Uk

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

😅Trump mocked Putin for talking Steve Witkoff’s ear off

“I sent Witkoff to meet with Putin thinking it would take 15 or 20 minutes,” Trump said while speaking in Israel’s parliament. He noted that ending the Russia–Ukraine war turned out to be harder than achieving peace in the Middle East.

“Witkoff didn’t really know much about politics. But his meeting with Putin lasted five hours. I asked, ‘What the hell could you have talked about for five hours?’ And he said, ‘We discussed many interesting things.’”

A quick alternative history lecture from Putin about the Polovtsians and Rurik, maybe? Tucker Carlson already fell for that trap once.

[Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham]

A quiet bombshell in Europe’s tech world

The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere

https://t.co/ynIdMylpnI

[Scott｜Monsterblockhk @0xScottlai]

Bitcoin Asia 期間回港超多工作和訪問，待會主會場誰要見一下？

分享昨天的香港 web3 事情：

1️⃣ 跟全港首批持牌 crypto 劵商副行政總裁 Kennix 做訪談

2️⃣ 去了 @MEXCZH 周邊活動和 @Xverse_CN VIP Dinner 還拿了不錯的周邊禮物✅

3️⃣ MEXC 那邊見了很多線上幣圈朋友😂 不放合照了！還是謝謝 @leochang_MEXC @Mollie_MEXC @EvaHung1223 籌辦這場活動，已經很久沒有在一個場合看到那麼多熟悉的人😂

今天 Bitcoin Asia 會在現場做訪問、拍一下內容，想要碰面的話在 TG 找我！！

[猫总 @catmangox]

花了九牛二虎之力，把冰箱冷冻室里的千年老冰块扣了下来，特别爽。

[Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress]

A fire was also spotted in a military unit in Slavyansk-na-Kubani, Krasnodar Krai.

Ukraine's Kiberboroshno geolocated the footage, confirming that "As a result of the drone attack, fuel and lubricants were hit at the site of the 76th Separate Repair and Recovery Battalion in the settlement of Slavyansk-na-Kubani."
📹TG/Exilenova+, КіберБорошно

[Scott｜Monsterblockhk @0xScottlai]

你可能不相信，但我認為 $BTC 四年週期說法仍然生效✨

我找不回之前寫下的週期分析，所以直接重新寫一次，當時我有提到過去兩個大牛市發生了什麼

自從比特幣在 2016 年減半後，經歷 16 個月到達 2017 年牛市頂峰，之後進入約 12 個月的深熊

下個牛市週期是 2021，也會 2020 年減半後的一年，比特幣價格迎來頂峰 69,000，之後也是同樣維持一年左右的熊市

從前 2 次牛熊週期中，我們可以觀察到：

💡 減半後 1–2 年內最強勢，上漲後 1 年回調
💡每一輪週期約 1060 天（含牛市與回調）
💡紅色區間約 360–400 天的熊市結構反覆出現

現在正在發生什麼事？

自從 2024 年 4 月 15 日減半後，行情已進入上升趨勢，目前 $BTC 價格在 11 萬美元以上也是符合時間節奏

但問題是，我相信大家都感受到散戶的氣氛完全沒有爆炸性，也不像過去 2021 年時的那種瘋牛 FOMO

就連「山寨幣季節」也被指已經被改變，以前是大幣 > 小幣，現在卻是版塊輪動資金，先炒 Meme 版塊再炒 Solana 生態

我自己是歸納 2 個原因：
1. 市場資金熱度不足
2. 市場結構已經改變

自從 ETH 和 BTC ETF 通過後，資金流入以億為單位，大量機構與大戶進場，像是 @saylor @MicroStrategy 已經增持比特幣至 628,791 枚

其實 Strategy 從 2021 年牛市時已公開表示以 BTC 作為公司儲備，但很明顯當時的他是走得很前，其他公司也只是一直觀望，直到最近才進入 Crypto 市場

可是一直以來也只是大戶進場，再加上 Trump 上任後深度參與加密市場，讓 ETF 資金進場更穩定、週期更長，而不是短期投機性 FOMO

正是這層大型資金特性，徹底改變典型週期的節奏

分析還分析，我還是覺得 四年週期 說法仍然生效，如果你從宏觀窗口來看價格走勢，其實節奏還是一致，雖然這個牛市不是瘋牛，但價格還是在以往節奏裡面

＝已從減半過後的第 12 個月左右進入上漲期✅

當我們有這個假設後，那未來牛市頂峰價格高點會到哪裡？

我仍然預測如果 2025 年 10 月至 2026 年 3 月 還是沒出現高峰的話，有機會推延 6–9 個月，但整體走到 1060 天內結構還是合理

一般牛市頂峰出現時，當然我們看價格會看不出，但還是有跡可尋，最明顯的就是大戶流出的利好訊息

我自己會特別持續關注：
1. 美國降息
2. 川普政策
3. 鏈上散戶資金流進
4. 名人合作
5. PayFi 整合拓展的發展進度

之後回來看看這篇分享能否驗證，如果我錯了，我會刪推的😂 在車上打字很辛苦，先寫到這裡！

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

💔 Flowers, toys, and tears: Kyiv mourns the victims of the strike

People are bringing candles, flowers, and children's toys to the destroyed apartment building in the Sviatoshynskyi district.

▪️ On the night of July 31, Russian forces launched a combined strike on the Ukrainian capital. As a result, 31 people were killed in the city, including five children. (source)

It was one of the deadliest attacks on Kyiv since the beginning of the war.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

❌ Free internet in Russia is dead today

Putin signed a law imposing penalties for VPN ads and the search for extremist materials.

A fine of up to 5,000 rubles now applies for intentional interest in "banned content." For spreading VPN ads — up to half a million rubles.

🤗 Welcome to 1984! Or the digital dark ages.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

✈💥Russian airline giant Aeroflot plunged into chaos

Russia’s Prosecutor General’s Office confirmed that a hacker attack was behind the failure of Aeroflot’s IT systems.

The airline has asked passengers on cancelled flights not to come to the airport.

Massive lines have already formed at Moscow’s Sheremetyevo and St. Petersburg’s Pulkovo airports.

Aeroflot says refunds or ticket changes will only be possible “once services are restored.”

🤗Welcome aboard the meltdown.

[Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress]

On the third day of protests against a law to gut Ukraine's anti-corruption agencies, mysterious young masked men appeared with signs inciting action against Ukraine's government—not demanding to repeal the law, like everybody else.

Appearing right before the protests dispersed, the men lit up flares and disappeared. Ukraine's intelligence warned that "Moscow may inspire provocative actions aimed at escalating protests, deepening divisions, and creating chaos in Ukrainian society - ultimately to weaken state stability during this war for Ukraine's survival."

[Scott｜Monsterblockhk @0xScottlai]

最近市況超好，很多幣都漲上去，當然少不了持倉比較大的 $SUI $SOL 還有一些小注提前佈局的迷因幣

PS: 前幾天分享的 bonk 生態在虧損但沒關係，也是在佈局熱點，可以再等一下

這週剛好需要出金一些 U 來改本田，不想用香港那套銀行出金繁瑣流程，這次就直接試用 @ether_fi 推出的 U 卡刷卡搞定

我用這張 U 卡的體驗跟大家看到其他文章分享的是一樣，我直接簡單總結好處就行了：

💡 綁 Apple Pay 超方便，消費會直接扣 Crypto
💡 每次消費平均 2–3% 返現
💡 最新優惠：7/31 前會保底給你 3% 返現

然後可以特別關注的是 EtherFi 最新推出的活動
「The Mint, Spend, Ear Promo」

獎池一共有 600k 枚 $ETHFI 分為 2 個獎池

詳細不寫了，直接告訴你一般用戶最需要知道的東西去賺最多的豬腳飯😂

💡每刷 $1000 美金會拿到 13.3 枚 ETHFI，大概價值 $17 美金左右

但會有消費返現上限，主要是以你入金金額為準，比如說你 mint 了 1000U 的 LiquidETH 就最多只能拿 1000U 返現

U 卡其他功能還有 Vault 理財功能，最實用方便的就是 USDC Vault，目前給到 8.3% APY，有閒錢拿去放放其實也不錯！

有興趣可以玩玩看，這是註冊入口
https://t.co/or1Upqktbf

[Scott｜Monsterblockhk @0xScottlai]

你們有想過，香港和美國監管穩定幣，其實並不是為了推動加密貨幣嗎？

有人會說是陰謀論，但背後更有可能是一場利用加密貨幣來啟動下一場的貨幣爭奪戰👇🏻

作為一個香港幣圈人，我先簡單講一下最近香港政府的動作：

香港《穩定幣條例》將於 8 月 1 日正式上路，首度為穩定幣活動引入發牌制度，與美國幾乎同步公布了針對穩定幣的監管框架《GENIUS Act》

表面看來皆為保障金融穩定與消費者安全，你卻沒有想過這是反映著 2 個金融體系的戰略動機？

首先，美帝一直面對的問題是美債。

美國《GENIUS Act》要求穩定幣儲備必須包含短期美國國債，很明顯這可能成為美國財政部應對長期債務壓力的策略之一。

USDT 和 USDC 在美債需求逐漸被全球去美元化趨勢削弱的當下，若能將穩定幣儲備變成【內循環買盤】，將應該有助延緩債市失衡。

可是真的有用嗎？

美國財政部長貝森特提過，預計到 2028 年，穩定幣可以帶來 2 萬億美債新需求，金額很大對嗎？但要是對比美國國債總規模 37 萬億美元呢？

還有，用來支持穩定幣儲備的美債，大部分是短債，而在整體債務來說，還有大小部分是長債。

簡單來說，穩定幣能幫助減輕美債壓力，但效果不大。

現在我們來看看香港這邊市場👇🏻

條例內容涵蓋發牌制度、儲備資產管理、贖回機制、反洗錢審查及透明度要求，整體監管架構與 GENIUS Act 類似，但關鍵差異在於其【去美元化】的潛在取向。

香港這個條例未明確排他性地支持 USDT 或 USDC，反而強調法幣掛鈎（包括港元、人民幣等）與「全額儲備」原則。

很明顯想要為港元穩定幣或數碼人民幣鋪路，而且政策導向也跟人民幣國際化目標一致。

香港擁有面向國際市場的地理優勢，推出穩定幣發牌制度的確可以視為「數位人民幣」國際化的試驗平台之一，而背後的目的，很有可能是想要重奪東方貨幣的主權。

——————————

最後我們重新看一下幣圈，十年前，比特幣的核心理念是去中心化、抗審查、無國界。而今天我們所見的卻變成各國制定穩定幣標準，並意圖掌控發行架構，甚至把 $BTC 和各種穩定幣納入國家儲備

當加密貨幣逐步納入國家管治架構，你們覺得還能實現去中心化嗎？

我自己的看法是：別再發夢了，現實一點吧。