NFL 2026 Week 6 results. All 14 games are graded.
Picking winners, we won 8 and lost 6, a rate of 57.1%. The 95% range for that rate is 33% to 79%.
The market picking winners won 9 and lost 5, a rate of 64.3%. Its 95% range is 39% to 84%.
Against the spread, we won 7 and lost 7, a rate of 50.0%. The 95% range is 27% to 73%.
On totals, we won 8 and lost 6, a rate of 57.1%. The 95% range is 33% to 79%.
Our Brier score was 0.245. The market's was 0.251. Our numbers were 2.3% more accurate than the market.
The live engine had a Brier score of 0.187 over 12,513 moments. The market had 0.189. The engine was 1.4% more accurate than the market.
Our plays won 6 and lost 8, a rate of 42.9%. The 95% range is 21% to 67%. We staked $70.00, and the result was a loss of $9.34.
A hit: LAC at KC. Our pick was KC at 78.4%. The final was LAC 6, KC 22.
A hit: WAS at SF. Our pick was SF at 75.1%. The final was WAS 17, SF 23.
A miss: ARI at LA. Our pick was LA at 82.5%. The final was ARI 18, LA 16.
A miss: TEN at IND. Our pick was IND at 77.8%. The final was TEN 26, IND 20.
https://t.co/RLCoEHs7fr
Our lines for NFL 2026 Week 7 are on the LazyEdge terminal for 14 games.
Our line on each game moves with injury news through the week. We post those moves here.
TB at CAR is the game where our line and the market line are furthest apart.
The first kickoff is Thursday 8:15 PM ET.
https://t.co/CooI9tRotv
SF beat WAS 23 to 17 on Monday night.
The live engine had 35 hot plays in WAS at SF. It won 19 and lost 16. Held to the final, the hot plays made 1.6c on average on a $1 contract.
With 0:15 left in the third quarter, a touchdown had just been scored. The engine had WAS to win or lose by less than 7.5 at 21c on Kalshi. It made 78c after the fee.
With 4:09 left in the first quarter, a touchdown had just been scored. The engine had under 52.5 total points at 28c on Kalshi. It made 71c after the fee.
With 10:53 left in the first quarter, a touchdown had just been scored. The engine had SF to win at 84c on Kalshi. It made 15c after the fee.
https://t.co/RLCoEHs7fr
GB beat DAL 23 to 13 on Sunday night.
The live engine had 31 hot plays in DAL at GB. It won 31 and lost 0. Held to the final, the plays made 25.9c on average on a $1 contract.
With 4:43 left in the first quarter, after a touchdown, the engine had under 53.5 total points at 50c on Kalshi. It made 48c after the fee.
With 8:58 left in the first quarter, after a big play, the engine had GB to win by more than 1.5 at 56c on Kalshi. It made 42c after the fee.
With 8:58 left in the first quarter, after a big play, the engine had GB to win at 58c on Kalshi. It made 40c after the fee.
https://t.co/RLCoEHs7fr
DAL at GB, NFL 2026 Week 6, kicks off Sunday 8:20 PM ET. Our line is GB by 6.2. The market line is GB by 1.5. That is a gap of 4.7 points. Our number gives GB a 66% chance to win.
GB ranks 8th in the league in passing efficiency this season, and DAL ranks 32nd in pass defense.
DAL scores 23.0 points a game and allows 26.6. GB scores 20.2 points a game and allows 22.4.
Jordan Love starts at quarterback for GB. Dak Prescott starts at quarterback for DAL.
Our record this season for line gaps of 3 to 5 points is won 14, lost 7 and pushed 1. Every call is graded here: https://t.co/RLCoEHs7fr
LAC at KC, NFL 2026 Week 6. Kickoff is Sunday 4:25 PM ET.
Our line is KC by 12.3. The market line is KC by 7.5. That is a gap of 4.8 points. We give KC an 84% chance to win.
LAC ranks 28th in the league in rushing efficiency this season, and KC ranks 4th in run defense.
LAC has turned the ball over 2.4 times a game this season.
LAC scores 16.2 points a game and allows 25.4. KC scores 28.8 points a game and allows 19.3.
Patrick Mahomes starts at quarterback for KC. Justin Herbert starts at quarterback for LAC.
This season, our calls on games with a gap of 3 to 5 points have won 14, lost 7 and pushed 1. Every call is graded at https://t.co/RLCoEHs7fr
NFL 2026 Week 6 plays
There are 4 plays this week. A play is a game where our line and the market line are 3 to 5 points apart. This season, plays in that range have won 14, lost 7 and pushed 1. Market lines are from Sunday 10:11 AM ET.
https://t.co/pN21mz1TL7