Fans laughing at #Blackhawks offering the #Leafs 4th overall pick for Matthew Knies suffer from serious "Mystery Box Syndrome."
People get hung up on draft pedigree because Knies was a late 2nd-rounder, completely ignoring the player he actually became.
Knies is a 6'3", 235lb power-forward unicorn on a trajectory for 30+ goals and 70+ points. He’s young, cost-controlled, and exactly what every contender starves for.
Meanwhile, some fans think a 4th overall pick is a potential superstar. Sure, but not always, there's just as many busts there as players that end up as good or better than Knies.
You could easily be getting someone like these 4th overall picks:
• Griffin Reinhart
• Thomas Hickey
• Jesse Puljujarvi
Yes you could also draft a Mitch Marner, Cale Makar, Brady Tkachuk etc
Draft picks are lottery tickets. Knies is a proven, top-line modern power forward. Kyle Davidson trading an unknown asset to put a guaranteed monster next to Bedard isn't crazy.. it’s just smart asset management.
Gamble vs the guarantee.
I love Knies, i wouldn't be jumping for joy to lose him even for 4th overall.
4th overall means the Leafs can draft a potential #1C in Maholtra or #1D potentially in Verhoeff or Carels, smidts etc..
But there's no guarantee any of those guys reach that type of ceiling . That's what chicago is avoiding in making a deal like that. It also cccelerates their window in hoping to keep Bedard long term by starting to win now vs waiting 2-3 years for the 4th overall pick to be ready to be a difference maker in the NHL.
Interesting proposal either way.