Chuck_Penner

LeftField is your research department for 16 Canadian crop markets - small grains, oilseeds & special crops - adding confidence to marketing decisions

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

For 48 weeks a year, @leftfieldcr and @JonDriedger cover 8 special crops, 2 oilseeds and 6 grains focused on Canada but with a global view. For a free 4-week trial of any of our four reports, go to https://t.co/hpOikWEMVZ

[AB Pulse Growers @AlbertaPulse]

Chuck Penner examines how the Indian monsoon outcome is key for pulse outlooks in the latest Pulse Market Insight https://t.co/Jjg7zc42FB #westcdnag

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

That should keep us going for a while

[RealAgriculture @realagriculture]

Tune in today on #RealAgRadio at 4:30 E on @Ruralradio147! On today's show, your host, @ShaunHaney, is joined by @LeftFieldCR and @CropProCory of Croptimistic! Plus, Haney talks about last week's RealAg Poll and listener feedback! #cdnag #ontag #westcdnag

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

That’s going to leave a mark.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Impressive 35 point gain in Sask canola planting. A lot of long hours.

Still, at 73% complete as of Jun 1, still trailing 10-yr avg of 89%

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

@GrainShark Fair enough. Should have learned by now to avoid "never" and "always".

And didn't mean to imply it goes straight down without any bounces along the way.

And 2010, 2012, and 2021 were dramatic crop events. Nothing in 2026 shaping up like that (yet).

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

I'm always amused at this time of year, when people think the wheat market is falling apart.

But it's just doing what it always does in summer.

Plan around it.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Shared this chart with our special crops subscribers yesterday.

Indian Meteorology Department has been more reliable with monsoon forecast the last few years. Haven't seen a 90% of LTA forecast in at least 20 years.

Even if it's off by a couple of percent...

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Some welcome rain in dry parts of the western prairies. Some welcome dryness in the wet parts that are trying to finish planting. Would welcome more in the east, especially after last week's heat.

[AB Pulse Growers @AlbertaPulse]

Chuck Penner expects a better outlook for pea demand in 2026-27. While not all restrictions have gone away, prospects are looking brighter & should mean better movement & prices, he stated in the latest Pulse Market Insight https://t.co/dBvWgndNwi #westcdnag @leftfieldcr

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

If basis is the sum of costs (like the textbooks say), it should be nearly $15 better than a few months ago.

Alas!

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Heard a few comments about comparisons with 2021.

Not the same.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Important to recognize, wet conditions and planting delays are a regional issue in western Canada.

Now, with 30-35 degree temperatures, dryness becoming a concern elsewhere.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

@brian_perillat Not as long as I can remember. But Chinese imports have been growing at an impressive rate. Mostly Aussie with some Russian.

FYI, we calculate FOB Vcr oats at US$230-235 currently.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Wouldn't it be great if Mr. Carney could use his friendly relations with China to open its doors to Cdn oats.

Another large (and growing) buyer would help diversify demand.

How many EVs would it take?

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

@brian_perillat Not sure about ocean freight on a fluffy crop like oats. Trade data shows Aussie oats at US$280/t in Apr, but not sure if that's FOB or CNF.

Problem is it's just theoretical. China has barred Cdn oats other than "planting seed", which amounts to about 1,000 tonnes per month.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Sask canola planting struggling.

Only 15% done as of May 18 vs 47% average.

Will need ideal conditions to get it done.

[Ed White @EdWhiteMarkets]

Prairie farmers: How is seeding going?

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

@Stampseeds Absolutely love that sound

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

@sizov_andre Here are the last few years.

Planting window closes around June 10, give or take.

[Chuck_Penner @LeftFieldCR]

Rain/snow over the last 7 days.

Not ideal for catching up from planting delays in Sask.