๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
There is currently no better stat:
THE QLD WINTER PREP:
Below is Part 2 โฌ๏ธ where I cover:
- 2x basic (but key) factors that past Cup winners have in common from their QLD prep
- all the horses from the 2026 QLD carnival that met those 2x key factors
Follow along & TURN ON notifications as we get closer to the Melbourne Cup!
๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
Overseas Raiders in the Cup
Since 08, its been fairly even: horses with 1โ2 Aus leadup runs & those straight off the plane โ๏ธ have won 3 Cups each.
No-Aus-run horses also have more 2nds & Top 5s.
In short: ratings & form >having an Aus run or not
๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
There is currently no better stat:
THE QLD WINTER PREP:
Over the past 7 years, from under 2 runners per year it has produced:
- 2x Caul/Melbourne cup doubles
- 2x Caul/Melbourne cup โnear missโ doubles
- 4x Melbourne cup winners
๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
In the past 12 Melbourne Cups, 18 of the 24 quinella horses (75%) had a race start between 10 June & 2 Aug.
So, 3/4 of the horses that finished 1st/2nd had already raced in this small 54 day window.
Is this an important Cup preparation pattern? ๐ง
๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
Since 2003, 82 horses have come into the Cup off a LS non-G1 Aus run where they were beaten 2.5L+
Only ONE horse finished in the First 4 - Knights Choice.
The Average Melbourne Cup finishing position of those 82 horses: 16th
๐ MELB CUP STAT OF THE DAY๐
Do you need an Aus leadup to run well in the Melbourne cup?
Last 18yrs: โOseas raider with NO Aus leadup runโ
3x wins
9x 2nd
5x 3rd
24x Top 5 finishes
From only a Vsmall No. of runners each year โ๏ธ โ๏ธ =๐ฅ ๐ฅ
๐๐ผโโ๏ธ QUESTION TIME ๐ค
Are there any Melbourne cup or Caulfield cup queries/topics you want to see stats/trends on?
Let me know in the comments and Iโll post them in the coming days!
Fantastic to see I Am Unstoppable remain undefeated in winning the Listed Redouteโs Choice Stakes at Sandown.
Great ride from Zac and congratulations to the many owners involved.
He is a lovely colt and will now spell in preparation for the Spring Carnival ๐