Leighton V_Williams

Leighton Vaughan Williams. Professor with a passion for probability, paradoxes, and prediction. BlueSky: @ Threads: leightonvw

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

My latest book. Now available. The perfect armchair companion.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@UKVoiceoverWR @MatthewStadlen The information is not less than zero, but it is certainly incomplete. The betting odds reflect the information we do have, usually quite efficiently, or else it would be easy to win on the betting markets. I take your general point, though.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@Eldewsio @MatthewStadlen He hasn’t mentioned a poll, he’s referring to the betting odds.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@BigFletchDawg @MatthewStadlen It’s not a prediction. It’s a statement of the betting odds.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@sadsackobrien @MatthewStadlen It’s not a prediction, it’s a statement of the betting odds.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@UKVoiceoverWR @MatthewStadlen It’s based on the betting odds, not on the manifesto.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@MatthewStadlen They have been favourites for several days now.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@Valerie98375694 Voting Labour in 2005, after the illegal invasion of Iraq, was a far more egregious act than voting for a new leader in 2026.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

10 years ago today 🥲

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@mindinpanic @Polymarket This comment makes absolutely no sense.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@Valerie98375694 Starmer is not standing, to the very best of my understanding.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@elonmusk Nonsense.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@Simi_2210_ Yes.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@NotFarLeftAtAll It was a training exercise.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

It is several years since I walked the Monaco Grand Prix circuit backwards but I still hold the world record! 🏎️ #MonacoGrandPrix

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

#Brexit #Catastrophe

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@charise_lee If the mask don’t fit, you must not acquit!

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

The Answer That Changed the World https://t.co/yKj9NFkDVx

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

Golf's Guilty Secret: The Scorecard is Broken https://t.co/UC3d6Vii0y #golf #PGA

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

@PaintbrushPira1 @YouGov That’s why it’s called sampling. It works pretty well.

[Leighton V_Williams @LeightonVW]

Is Claude Conscious? https://t.co/95UsIEU0Ra