Leo Roth

Full-Time Trader focused on equities, options, and market structure.
Sharing real-time ideas, risk management, and market education

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@chandansastra @TheProfInvestor Yes

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Record 8% weighting is indeed striking, but it's not 'shocking' when you look at the fundamentals. Nvidia is single-handedly powering the AI revolution with explosive revenue and profit growth that no other company matches right now. We've seen similar concentration before (tech in late 90s, FAANG in 2010s) — it lasts as long as the leader keeps delivering. The bigger risk isn't the weight itself, but what happens if AI adoption slows. For now, the market is correctly rewarding the clearest winner

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Big IPOs at once is rare, but calling this 'exactly like 2000' misses the key difference: the Internet bubble was mostly hype with almost no revenue. Today's AI leaders have real earnings, explosive growth, and transformative productivity impact. Yes, valuations are stretched, but the underlying tech adoption is real. Bubbles can pop, but the infrastructure they build often powers the next decade. Not the same playbook.

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Birth rate decline is real and concerning, but framing it as purely a 'K-shaped economy' crisis oversimplifies. This trend is happening across all developed nations (Japan, Korea, Europe) regardless of wealth inequality levels. Main drivers are rising education/career focus for women, high child-rearing costs, changing cultural priorities, and effective contraception — not just asset ownership. Automation, AI productivity gains, and immigration can offset demographic pressure. It's a challenge, not an inevitable collapse

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Agree the addressable market is enormous, but 'billions of people' doesn’t automatically equal billions in profit. Starlink’s biggest challenge remains affordability in low-income countries and the brutal unit economics at scale. Many past satellite ventures failed despite similar hype. Need to see sustainable free cash flow before calling it a slam dunk

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Congrats to bulls, but this feels like classic late-cycle euphoria. S&P futures hitting records while recession signals (yield curve, consumer debt, etc.) are flashing. Trump’s diplomacy is positive, but markets are pricing in perfection. History suggests big tops form exactly like this. Staying cautious

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Congrats on the profits so far! But I think this BTC short might get squeezed soon. On-chain data and ETF inflows are still strong, and we’re testing a major support zone with bullish divergence on the daily RSI. Could easily rebound 8-10% before more downside. Risky to hold shorts here imo. What’s your stop-loss plan

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Memorial Day Market Closure Notice:

Key Events This Week (May 26-30):

- Tuesday: May Consumer Confidence Index

- Thursday: April PCE Inflation + Q1 GDP Re-estimation + New Home Sales

Last week, the market was booming, but after a continuous surge, a breather is often needed. Maintain discipline; selective profit-taking is more sustainable than all-in.

Trading is not about who wins the most, but who survives the longest. Protecting your capital is always the top priority.

What are your thoughts on next week's PCE data? Will it continue to push prices higher or cool them down? #MarketOutlook #Trading

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Key Events This Week (May 24–30, 2026):

US-Iran Agreement Details - Expected soon / Today

US Markets Closed - Memorial Day (Monday, May 25)

May Consumer Confidence (Tuesday, May 26)

April PCE Inflation + Q1 2026 GDP (Second Estimate) + April New Home Sales (Thursday, May 28)

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

US stocks continued their strong performance this week, with the S&P 500 attempting its longest winning streak since 2023, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting a new record high.

Highlights:

- Strong performance from individual stocks like HPQ

- NVDA's earnings report triggered a "sell the news" reaction, but the long-term AI logic remains unchanged

- Strong overall momentum, but after eight consecutive weeks of gains, valuations have stretched significantly.

Risk Warning: In an overheated market, aggressive options trading can easily become gambling. Protecting capital is always the top priority; keep trade sizes small and implement stop-loss/profit-taking strategies.

Review your trades carefully over the weekend and maintain discipline next week. What was your most satisfying trade this week? 👇

#Stocks #Trading #RiskManagement

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@EliteOptions2 Big wins this week, but options trading this aggressive is gambling with high probability of drawdowns. Sustainable edge is rare. Trade small and protect capital

https://t.co/0Azwec7MTh

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@KobeissiLetter 900B valuation is wild. Great momentum, but these AI funding rounds are getting dangerously detached from fundamentals. Classic late-cycle behavior.

https://t.co/0Azwec7MTh

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@TrendSpider 8 green weeks is wild, but this feels overextended. Strong momentum, yet history suggests streaks this long often pause or correct. Selective profit-taking makes sense

https://t.co/0Azwec7MTh

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@EliteOptions2 Resilient move, but chips are getting frothy again. Near ATH with stretched valuations — good time to be selective rather than fully aggressive

https://t.co/0Azwec7MTh

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@StockSavvyShay COO exit is a red flag for crypto, but $HOOD is more than just crypto now. Big YTD drawdown already reflects the slowdown. Diversification could be the key to recovery.

https://t.co/0Azwec7MTh

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

Who's still in the car?

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

HPQ performing well
#HPQ #Stocks

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@KobeissiLetter Not pure plummet — Tier-1 cities (SH/SZ) just posted MoM gain. Policy support is kicking in. Selective recovery underway

https://t.co/BSUJ0q2Fmm

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

📊 NVDA Post-Earnings | May 21

Earnings significantly exceeded expectations:

✅ Revenue $81.6 billion

✅ EPS $1.87

✅ Strong Data Center Performance

However, the stock price fell ~1.4% today ($219-221), a classic "Sell the News" scenario.

Observations:

- Significant short-term profit-taking

- Support $210-215 / Resistance $230

- Still bullish on AI in the long term, but strictly control position size.

Did you add to/reduce your position/remain on the sidelines today? Where did you set your stop-loss? Share below👇

#NVDA #AI

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

@StockSavvyShay @FuturumEquities @SchwabNetwork Networking now nearly the size of SAVGO’s entire 2025 revenue. Data movement bottleneck = Nvidia’s next massive growth driver. Full stack dominance continues

https://t.co/BSUJ0q2Fmm

[Leo Roth @Leo_Roth1]

📊 NVDA Post-Earnings | May 21

Earnings significantly exceeded expectations:

✅ Revenue $81.6 billion

✅ EPS $1.87

✅ Strong Data Center Performance

However, the stock price fell ~1.4% today ($219-221), a classic "Sell the News" scenario.

Observations:

- Significant short-term profit-taking

- Support $210-215 / Resistance $230

- Still bullish on AI in the long term, but strictly control position size.

Did you add to/reduce your position/remain on the sidelines today? Where did you set your stop-loss? Share below👇

#NVDA #AI