Levente Olosz

[Institute for the Study of War @TheStudyofWar]

NEW: Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) recruitment programs are reportedly failing to compensate for the rising Russian casualty rate amid costly advances in Ukraine. Other Key Takeaways ⬇️

The Coalition of the Willing reaffirmed the necessity that Ukraine receive binding security guarantees as part of a larger peace plan and reiterated the members’ commitment to participate in peace negotiations.

The Kremlin continues to reject security guarantees for Ukraine and seeks to deny European participation in peace negotiations on Ukraine.

Ukraine’s Western partners continue efforts to boost Ukraine’s air defense umbrella, particularly to combat Russian ballistic missiles.

France and Italy granted Ukraine licenses to produce Franco-Italian glide bombs and French SCALP missiles in Ukraine, as Ukraine’s partners continue efforts to boost Ukraine’s own defense industrial base (DIB).

Ukrainian forces struck the Salavat Oil Refinery on the night of July 13 to 14, the only major Russian refinery that Ukrainian forces had not previously struck in 2026.

Russian forces recently advanced in Sumy Oblast and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area.

Russian forces launched eight Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, two Kh-59/69 guided cruise missiles, and 135 drones against Ukraine overnight.

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@YourAnonCentral This is the new Hungarian prime minister last night playing music for a huge crowd. https://t.co/MoSlPSoAZ6

[Mykhailo Rohoza @MykhailoRohoza]

During the Nuremberg Trials, Hermann Göring gave an interview to psychologist Gustave Gilbert and said:
“Of course the people don’t want war. Why would some poor farmer want to risk his life in a war when the best he can hope for is to come back to his farm in one piece?
Naturally, people don’t want war. No one wants war in Russia, England, America — not even in Germany. That’s obvious.
But in the end, it’s the leaders of a country who determine policy. And it’s always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it’s a democracy, a communist state, a parliament, or a fascist dictatorship.”
Gilbert objected:
“But there is one difference in a democracy — the people have a voice through their elected representatives.”
To which Göring replied:
“That’s all well and good, but whether the people have a voice or not, they can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and for exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.”
— Nuremberg Diary, April 18, 1946
Doesn’t it sound familiar?

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@RpsAgainstTrump It is a joke. Right? Right?

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@nexta_tv No shit

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@sentdefender No shit 🤣

[Republicans against Trump @RpsAgainstTrump]

CNN played side-by-side clips of Trump contradicting himself minutes apart

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

It doesn't get more textbook than this:

Every step of our March 3rd "Conflict Playbook" has been outlined on this oil price chart.

It began with Steps #1 and #2 when Trump sent an "armada" to Iran and ramped up threats.

On February 27th, we saw the "Friday night strikes" from Step #3 of our playbook.

This led to Step #4 as risk premiums were rapidly priced-in.

On March 3rd, President Trump began saying the war could last "forever," as expected in Step #5.

Then, on Friday and last night, markets began pricing in Step #6, a prolonged conflict sending oil prices to $120/barrel.

Finally, today at 3:20 PM ET, President Trump hinted at "conditional de-escalation" from Step #7 of our Conflict Playbook.

We are now nearing Step #8. Keep following along.

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

Iran’s plan is to wear down the US and Israel in a war of attrition

According to Reuters, Tehran’s strategy is not to win through direct military superiority, but to apply pressure by striking energy infrastructure and key oil supply routes with drones and missiles.

The goal is to destabilize global markets and raise the economic cost of the conflict enough to force Washington to make concessions.

Sources told the agency that Iran may still retain more than half of its pre-war missile arsenal and could continue intensive strikes for several more weeks.

[Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur]

Netanyahu to the U.S. Congress, 2002: "If you take out Saddam, Saddam's regime, I guarantee you that it will have enormous positive reverberations on the region."

[Erik Warsaw @WarsawErik]

🔴 Benjamin Netanyahu:
1995: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb”
2006: “Iran is days away from a nuclear bomb”
2012: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb”
2015: “Iran is days away from a nuclear bomb”
2108: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb”
2025: “Iran is days away from a nuclear bomb”

The Great Noticing Continues...

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

The U.S. Government and Pentagon under Pete Hegseth has now effectively blacklisted Anthropic, as well as it’s language model Claude AI, which is currently being used as a backbone by several defense systems, while listing the company as a “supply chain risk,” a label not even placed on a majority of defense contractors or companies working for the Armed Forces of China and Russia. All because Anthropic refused to remove safeguards that would allow the Pentagon to develop weapons that fire without human involvement and commit mass domestic surveillance directed at Americans.

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@sentdefender What chance does a U.S. attack have of improving life for Iranians? Has this approach worked in Afghanistan, Libya, or Iraq? More likely, it would lead to either a more authoritarian regime or terrorist chaos

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@Deepoceanlion @sentdefender What chance does a U.S. attack have of improving life for Iranians? Has this approach worked in Afghanistan, Libya, or Iraq? More likely, it would lead to either a more authoritarian regime or terrorist chaos

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@EdKrassen Still can’t decide if it’s a parody or not

[The Shift Journal @TheShiftJournal]

In 1998, Warren Buffett gave a 1-hour masterclass on how to never lose money investing.

[Sky News @SkyNews]

New footage verified by Sky News shows evidence of Israeli support for Gaza militia as Hamas attempts to reassert its authority through a violent crackdown on suspected collaborators.

🔗 https://t.co/P7pJNv8b0Z

📺 Sky 501 and YouTube

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@dogeai_gov @sentdefender After two years of total war Hamas still able to hold hostigies, hold his command structure, and even stealing food from aid deliveries. Two more years would resolve this? I don't think so

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@aaronnagy1987 @UBERSOY1 @sentdefender Like iraq. Ooo wait

[Levente Olosz @LeventeOlosz]

@Tendar I’m a bit disappointed. I thought you are a good analyst. You should know that an attack against a country unites its citizens not devide them