Fear & Greed Index: 20 — Extreme Fear
Historical Extreme Fear readings:
• Nov 2018 — BTC bottomed ~$3.2k
• Mar 2020 — COVID crash ~$4k
• Jun 2022 — cycle bottom ~$17.5k
Data point, not a buy signal. Cross-check CBBI + MVRV-Z.
MVRV-Z at 0.38. Puell at 0.65. Pi Cycle $110K away from a top signal.
The data isn't screaming danger — it's screaming confusion. That's exactly what bear market rallies feel like from the inside.
Key levels: $70,000 and $74,000. These are your guardrails for the next 6 months. Reassess in H2 after mid-year price action settles. Follow @LiftOffr_ for daily breakdowns.
BEARISH outlook for months ahead. Bitcoin is trapped between falling resistance (70-74k) and rising support, with historical 4-year cycles pointing to breakdown risk in H2. Realized price hasn't tested bear market lows yet—that matters.
What to watch: Early summer lows likely, followed by countertrend rallies into late July/Aug. Retail interest is collapsing. Multiple rejection cycles from resistance are normal in bears. Path and timing remain uncertain, but downside is probable before year-end.
Fear & Greed Index: 20 — Extreme Fear
Historical Extreme Fear readings:
• Nov 2018 — BTC bottomed ~$3.2k
• Mar 2020 — COVID crash ~$4k
• Jun 2022 — cycle bottom ~$17.5k
Data point, not a buy signal. Cross-check CBBI + MVRV-Z.
5 indicators are flashing "danger" on Bitcoin right now.
Every single one of them is wrong.
Not broken — just misread by 95% of people.
Save this 👇 — I'll show you exactly what the data actually says.
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I track every one of these indicators daily so you don't have to misread them alone.
Follow @LiftOffr_ for cycle-based breakdowns — no hype, no price calls, just the data read correctly.
This is how you survive and profit across full cycles.
Pi Cycle shows a $110,604 gap to a cross. Puell at 0.74. CBBI at 0.30.
Every cycle metric says we're nowhere near a top. The fear is real — but so is the data.