Cliff

Automated NBA picks. Not financial advice. #LilCliffNotes

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

Been an unreal start to the season for the First Basket model! +52u in 2 weeks, and only going a few days skunked. All for free, posted every day at 1pm est!

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

Fox gets us on the board, need another to go + today!

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

OKC @ POR · 10:10 PM ET
🎯 Donovan Clingan +850 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 12.2% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He's likely to jump POR's opening tip, and wins 70% of them.
He's also our most likely first scorer in this game.

#OKCvsPOR

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

🎯 FIRST BASKET PICKS · Wed Nov 11 · @LilCliffNotes

13 plays (1u each) · 10 leans
Why each one is in the replies 👇

21+ · odds as of 1:00 PM ET, may move

#NBA #FirstBasket

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

GSW @ HOU · 9:40 PM ET
🎯 Draymond Green +1300 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 9.9% if he starts; the price says 7.1%. He's likely to jump GSW's opening tip, and wins 29% of them.
👀 Lean: Alperen Sengun (HOU), 15.7% to score first. Best price +525, no play.

#GSWvsHOU

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

ORL @ UTA · 9:10 PM ET
🎯 Wendell Carter Jr +725 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 14.2% if he starts; the price says 12.1%. He's likely to jump ORL's opening tip, and wins 70% of them.
He's also our most likely first scorer in this game.

#ORLvsUTA

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BKN @ NOP · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Karlo Matkovic +1400 (BetRivers) · 1u
We make it 11.0% if he starts; the price says 6.7%. He's likely to jump NOP's opening tip, and wins 33% of them.
🎯 Day'Ron Sharpe +1040 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 9.8% if he starts; the price says 8.8%. He's likely to jump BKN's opening tip, and wins 50% of them.
👀 Lean: Michael Porter Jr (BKN), 12.0% to score first. Best price +575, no play.

#BKNvsNOP

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

LAL @ MIL · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Ziaire Williams +1000 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 11.2% if he starts; the price says 9.1%. He took his team's first shot in 8% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Luka Doncic (LAL), 19.3% to score first. Best price +400, no play.

#LALvsMIL

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DEN @ MEM · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 Cameron Johnson +1300 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 8.2% if he starts; the price says 7.1%. He took his team's first shot in 20% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Nikola Jokic (DEN), 14.2% to score first. Best price +625, no play.

#DENvsMEM

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

SAS @ CHI · 8:10 PM ET
🎯 De'Aaron Fox +850 (BetMGM) · 1u
We make it 12.6% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He took SAS's first shot in 27% of his games this season.
🎯 Stephon Castle +830 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 12.0% if he starts; the price says 10.8%. He took SAS's first shot in 18% of his games this season.
👀 Lean: Victor Wembanyama (SAS), 21.9% to score first. Best price +270, no play.

#SASvsCHI

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BOS @ TOR · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Jakob Poeltl +850 (FanDuel) · 1u
We make it 13.7% if he starts; the price says 10.5%. He's likely to jump TOR's opening tip, and wins 71% of them.
🎯 Neemias Queta +1000 (BetRivers) · 1u
We make it 10.4% if he starts; the price says 9.1%. He's likely to jump BOS's opening tip, and wins 40% of them.
👀 Lean: R.J. Barrett (TOR), 13.4% to score first. Best price +525, no play.

#BOSvsTOR

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

CLE @ NYK · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Peyton Watson +1040 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 10.4% if he starts; the price says 8.8%. He took his team's first shot in 18% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Evan Mobley (CLE), 12.5% to score first. Best price +600, no play.

#CLEvsNYK

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

WAS @ IND · 7:10 PM ET
🎯 Aaron Nesmith +1240 (DraftKings) · 1u
We make it 8.3% if he starts; the price says 7.5%. He took his team's first shot in 26% of his games last season.
👀 Lean: Anthony Davis (WAS), 14.6% to score first. Best price +500, no play.

#WASvsIND

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

OKC @ POR · 10:00 PM ET
POR allow centers the 2nd-most assists: Hartenstein 3.5 a game, 5.2 potential
OKC allow forwards the 2nd-most threes: Camara 3.0 a game on 6.9 attempts

Met Nov 10: POR won 123–103
OKC: Gilgeous-Alexander 26 pts, 8 reb
POR: Lillard 25 pts, 4/10 threes · Avdija 24 pts, 8 ast

#OKCvsPOR

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

📝 CLIFFNOTES · Wed Nov 11 · @LilCliffNotes
Matchup context, not picks · injury report as of 10:48 AM ET

Where tonight's defenses have given up the most to a position, and who fits it. Each game's full sheet is in the replies 👇

#NBA #CliffNotes #CheatSheet

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

GSW @ HOU · 9:30 PM ET
GSW allow forwards the 5th-most threes: Smith 2.7 a game on 6.1 attempts
GSW allow guards the 10th-most assists: VanVleet 5.6 a game, 9.6 potential

#GSWvsHOU

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

ORL @ UTA · 9:00 PM ET
ORL allow forwards the 2nd-most points: Bailey 12.9 a game; 23.0 in 1 game without George
UTA allow forwards the 7th-most points: Wagner 22.0 a game

#ORLvsUTA

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BKN @ NOP · 8:00 PM ET
NOP allow guards the most assists: Brown 3.9 a game, 7.7 potential
NOP allow guards the 2nd-most points: Traore 12.9 a game

#BKNvsNOP

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

LAL @ MIL · 8:00 PM ET
MIL allow forwards the most threes: Williams 2.1 a game on 4.7 attempts
MIL allow centers the most rebounds: Kessler 10.8 a game, 21.0 chances

#LALvsMIL

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

DEN @ MEM · 8:00 PM ET
DEN allow forwards the 3rd-most points: Boozer 16.2 a game
MEM allow centers the 7th-most assists: Jokić 9.1 a game, 18.2 potential

#DENvsMEM

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

SAS @ CHI · 8:00 PM ET
CHI allow forwards the most points: Castle 14.3 a game
CHI allow forwards the most assists: Castle 5.2 a game, 10.7 potential

#SASvsCHI

[Cliff @LilCliffNotes]

BOS @ TOR · 7:00 PM ET
BOS allow forwards the 3rd-most threes: Battle 2.1 a game on 4.9 attempts; 3.0 in 2 games without Barnes
TOR allow guards the 5th-most assists: White 5.1 a game, 8.0 potential

#BOSvsTOR