Week 15 wrap-up: A brutal week for tech. ๐
- Regime Status: RISK OFF ๐ด
- Portfolio: -14.47% this week ๐ญ ยท +41.75% since inception
- Alpha lead: +22.89% ๐ก๏ธ
The high-beta concentration amplified the downside. Time to protect the capital base.
Monday trade action: SELL ALL POSITIONS. MOVE TO CASH ( $WDC, $MU, $STX, $INTC, $AMD, $MRVL, $ARM )
Full report ๐:
https://t.co/0mcYpGgQZ4
Good news!!
$IBM 's -25% day 'confirms' AI isn't a bubble.
Enterprises are apparently so sure AI infrastructure is real they're canceling consulting contracts to go buy memory chips instead.
Worst trading day in IBM's 64-year history
Monday July 13 trade action:
๐ข Regime Status: RISK ON.
๐ข BUY: $WDC, $MU, $STX, $DELL, $INTC, $AMD, $MRVL, $ARM.
The regime has officially flipped back to RISK ON. QQQ surged +1.81% this week, convincingly reclaiming its 10-week SMA and closing +1.02% above the line. The all-clear signal has flashed.
Read more ๐:
https://t.co/ZB54xAq8nB
Trade Action: SELL ALL POSITIONS
Does going all-cash sting a little? Yes. Nobody likes sitting on the sidelines, especially when$PANWjust put up +14% in a single week. But capital preservation and risk management are always the priority.
๐ดSELL: $MRVL, $MU, $INTC, $ARM, $AMD, $DDOG, $WDC, $PANW
Read more ๐: https://t.co/Y7HoXMojbX
Week 13 wrap-up: The "Great Rotation" hit the portfolio.
๐ Performance
-๐ก๏ธRothbury Momentum Portfolio: -2.45% this week ; +65.73% since inception
-QQQ: +0.86% this week ยท +21.82% since inception
- Alpha lead: +43.91%
Semis sold off while SaaS ( $PANW , $DDOG ) caught a bid.The strategy has generated massive alpha, and now it's time to protect it.
We are moving to 100% CASH.
Read more ๐: https://t.co/bw4VsB6XAz
Week 13 wrap-up: The "Great Rotation" hit the portfolio.
๐ Performance
-๐ก๏ธRothbury Momentum Portfolio: -2.45% this week ; +65.73% since inception
-QQQ: +0.86% this week ยท +21.82% since inception
- Alpha lead: +43.91%
Semis sold off while SaaS ( $PANW , $DDOG ) caught a bid.The strategy has generated massive alpha, and now it's time to protect it.
We are moving to 100% CASH.
Read more ๐: https://t.co/bw4VsB6XAz
๐ First ever Conditional Risk On* reading.
QQQ is -0.12% below the 10-week SMA, razor thin.
Historical data shows 71% bounce rate at this level.
July 3 is the hard decision point: second consecutive close below SMA = 100% cash, no exceptions.
๐ด SELL: $ON, $GFS
๐ข BUY: $DDOG, $PANW
๐ HOLD: $INTC, $MRVL, $WDC, $AMD, $MU, $ARM
Read more ๐
https://t.co/SC00gyoMK2
Week 12 was a brutal reality check.
The AI "chip-wreck" hit the portfolio hard. ๐
๐ฅ Alpha lead: +49.11%
๐ก๏ธMomentum Portfolio: -12.39% this week ยท +69.89% since inception
QQQ: -4.60% this week ยท +20.78% since inception
High beta means massive upside, but sharper drawdowns. We are still up nearly 70% in 12 weeks.
#Intel #Micron #SpaceX
Week 12 was a brutal reality check.
The AI "chip-wreck" hit the portfolio hard. ๐
๐ฅ Alpha lead: +49.11%
๐ก๏ธMomentum Portfolio: -12.39% this week ยท +69.89% since inception
QQQ: -4.60% this week ยท +20.78% since inception
High beta means massive upside, but sharper drawdowns. We are still up nearly 70% in 12 weeks.
#Intel #Micron #SpaceX
Gold has been on a 3-year parabolic run. From $1,800 to nearly $5,500.
That last red candle tells a story.I think this run is coming to an end.Not a crash call. But the easy money in gold is likely behind us.
$GLD #Gold#GoldFutures
$MU earnings on 6/24. Beat already expected.
๐ฅ Up 15.5% this week.
The only thing that matters is forward guidance and HBM capacity commentary.Any disappointment gets punished. Hard.
Week 11 wrap-up. ๐งต
Portfolio: +93.93% since inception
QQQ: +26.61% since inception (+2.67% this week)
$WDC led the week, exploding +32.6% as Wall Street wakes up to the AI storage demand thesis.
Monday trade: NO TRADES. Holding all 8.
Full breakdown below ๐
https://t.co/7pTIyZ8KnA
Week 9 wrap
$QQQ dropped 4.5% on a blowout jobs report and Gulf War escalation. We dropped 2%.
$MRVL +28.5% Jensen Huang called it the next trillion-dollar company. The rest of the portfolio took the hit.
โ Portfolio: +58.37% since inception
https://t.co/WvEJwILVy4
Week 9 wrap
$QQQ dropped 4.5% on a blowout jobs report and Gulf War escalation. We dropped 2%.
$MRVL +28.5% Jensen Huang called it the next trillion-dollar company. The rest of the portfolio took the hit.
โ Portfolio: +58.37% since inception
https://t.co/WvEJwILVy4
$ARM exploded +46.5% on a blockbuster earnings beat, pushing the our portfolio past the a +50% total return . No trades required tomorrow.
HOLD: $INTC, $MRVL, $WDC, $MU, $AMD, $ON, $GFS, $ARM
Full breakdown below. ๐
https://t.co/JQgisNitUz
Once again, No trades required for Monday. We continue to hold the same position as last week
๐HOLD: $INTC, $MRVL, $WDC, $MU, $AMD, $ON, $GFS, $ARM
https://t.co/tLQhAzrP8D