@milos_vucevic svaka čast, vojvodina je oduvek bila ponosna srpska pokrajina i tako će ostati uprkos svim pritiscima, lažima i spletkama propale opozicije 🇷🇸
@vggsblokada Na kraju, Oluja ostaje zločinačka akcija u sećanju srpskog naroda, jer iza nje nisu ostale samo vojne mape, nego grobovi, izbegličke kolone, spaljena ognjišta i stotine porodica koje pravdu čekaju već tri decenije
WNBA After Dark Harvest 🌙
Arike Ogunbowale Points Under 13.5
Hit Rate 100% Last 5 🎯
💧Water The ❤️ Button If tailing!
Arike Ogunbowale has settled into a much quieter scoring role for Dallas lately, and her point totals have consistently landed well under this number over her last stretch on the road.
Arike Ogunbowale On The Season Ranks:
55% hit rate on the Under in 2026
60% hit rate on the Under over her last 20 games
7.2 points per game average
8 points median
Toronto's defense ranks poorly against points allowed, but Ogunbowale's own usage has dipped enough that the matchup barely matters right now.
Last 5 Games Points:
6/25 @ LVA: 4
6/28 vs MIN: 5
7/02 @ CON: 9
7/05 @ TOR: 10
7/07 @ NYL: 8
Ogunbowale has failed to clear 13.5 points in 5 straight road games, averaging just 7.0 per game in that stretch, and tonight's matchup does nothing to change that trend.
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Jack Flaherty Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Sonny Gray Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
James Wood Over 1.5 H+R+R
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 H+R+R
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MLB POTD #3 | (7/7) ⚾️
Michael Lorenzen "O" 3.5 ER (-119) | @PlayProphetX
#Rockies
Yes, a 3.5 ER line is pretty high but it's Michael Lorenzen and he faces the Dodgers who are the BEST offense in the MLB averaging a .265 BA + .788 OPS this year. To put it quite blunt he's been a bottom 5 pitcher in the league this year and faces the best offense. He is the FADE OF THE DAY
The recent form has been bottom tier:
• Averaging 3.5 earned runs allowed per start
• Averaging 6.5 hits allowed per game
• Carrying a 6.91 ERA on the season
The run prevention profile is among the weakest on the slate:
• 6th percentile ERA (6.91)
• 25th percentile WHIP (1.81)
• 40th percentile K/9 (7.01)
• 2nd percentile Hits Allowed (6.5)
• 6th percentile Earned Runs Allowed (3.5)
His underlying metrics continue pointing toward regression:
• 1st percentile BA allowed (.332)
• 1st percentile SLG allowed (.535)
• 4th percentile Whiff rate (18.5%)
• 7th percentile K rate (16.2%)
• 2nd percentile SwStr rate (8.2%)
Key Batters vs RHP:
• Shohei Ohtani — .300 BA, .414 wOBA, .192 ISO
• Freddie Freeman — .316 BA, .407 wOBA, .196 ISO
• Mookie Betts — .263 BA, .350 wOBA, .198 ISO
• Max Muncy — .261 BA, .372 wOBA, .193 ISO
• Andy Pages — .270 BA, .342 wOBA, .178 ISO
• Dalton Rushing — .260 BA, .373 wOBA, .230 ISO
Supporting Quality of Contact Metrics:
• Shohei Ohtani — 32.8% Hard Hit rate, 21.7% Barrel rate
• Max Muncy — 31.7% Hard Hit rate, 17.6% Barrel rate
• Freddie Freeman — 26.1% Hard Hit rate, 15.6% Barrel rate
• Andy Pages — 24.5% Hard Hit rate, 15.6% Barrel rate
• Dalton Rushing — 27.7% Hard Hit rate, 18.1% Barrel rate
His pitch mix matches up poorly against this lineup:
• Four-Seam Fastball - 20.6% usage, allows a .329 BA and Dodgers bat .275
• Sinker: 16.8% usage, allows a .434 BA and Dodgers bat .295
• Cutter: 14.8% usage, allows a .373 BA while Dodgers bat .308
What stands out most is Lorenzen's inability to make batters miss contact. He owns just a 16.2% strikeout rate with an 18.5% whiff rate while allowing a .332 batting average and .535 slugging percentage. The Dodgers combine elite plate discipline with tremendous power throughout the lineup, making it difficult for contact-oriented pitchers to navigate innings without damage.
If Los Angeles continues its fire power approach and forces Lorenzen into hitter's counts, this matchup sets up well for four or more earned runs.
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2/7🏀Today’s Top WNBA Play 1
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🏀Kiki Iriafen o8.5 Reb (+110)
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🎯 Iriafen has a playable over case here because the recent rebounding median is sitting above this number. She’s averaging 8.3 RPG with a 9-rebound median over the last 10, and she’s cleared 8.5 in 6 of those 10. That matters because her normal recent outcome has been landing at 9+ boards, which cashes this over.
📈 Over in 6/10 last 10
📊 8.3 RPG average
🎯 9-rebound median vs 8.5 line
📍 Cleared in 60% of L20
🛡️ What stands out most is the recent bounce-back. Iriafen had a rough mid-sample stretch at 3, 2, 6, and 7 rebounds, but she has now cleared this number in three straight with 11, 14, and 11. That current form matters because the latest rebounding range has moved clearly above the line.
🎯 The broader profile keeps the over playable at plus money. She’s cleared this in 60% of L5, 60% of L20, and 67% on the 2026 sample shown, so the recent and larger samples both support 9+ boards as a realistic outcome. The H2H mark is the main concern at 0%, but the median and current form still give this a clean path.
✅ Projection lands around 9-11 rebounds based on the recent median, L5 form, and game-log distribution. At +110, the over looks playable because 9+ rebounds has been her more common recent result, and this remains playable up to 9.5.
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