@Mac728713196975 The 4 cities with a population of ~1 million or more range from a 1:3 to a 2:3 KIA/MIA ratio, with the global average being about 5:4 (although that includes the aforementioned cities). Cities in the 200-700k range have more variance, going from 1:3 to 5:4.
Our database of Ukrainian losses in the war has been expanded to include missing soldiers and PoW, bringing the total figure since 2022 to over 127k, with 56k MIA and 6k PoW. As demonstrated by the chart below, MIA rates have soared in recent months.
https://t.co/nNcy5bSiih
@Mac728713196975 By definition, it's difficult to estimate as there is no reliable method to know the true number. However, based on regional variance in the KIA / MIA ratio, we are clearly missing a lot of confirmed KIA in large cities, probably over half of them.
@Againandag19819 The entries that were later confirmed dead and removed from the MVS DB are obviously moved to the KIA column on our side, so there should be no duplicates in that sense. However, the confirmed KIA do not always get a public obituary, we may still have some of them counted as MIA.
Finally, we have in recent days noticed entries being removed from the MVS DB, or certain fields (like place of disappearance) being blanked out, possibly to impede our work. Should this break too many of the links we use as sources, we might publish the archived data instead.
@phl43@akarlin Oh, and as a separate note, we've pretty much abandoned Facebook as a source since mid-2024 due to their anti-scraping measures generating a disproportionate workload on our side. Some local areas only post there, so some obituaries have been missed (low thousands at most though)
@phl43@akarlin To be more precise, the database does not explicitly differentiate between military and civilians, but the data (thanks to location in particular) is granular enough to make it obvious in almost every case at least from 2023 onwards (2022 is trickier due to Mariupol etc.)
@phl43@akarlin I will have a detailed methodological post later, but the data is sourced from the ministry of internal affairs' database, which does not include deserters. There will be the occasional guy hiding in a basement behind enemy lines, but the overwhelming majority should be dead.