you dont have to believe in existential risk or job loss for this to be scary: ai is real, you can replicate human thought in machines. it is redefining what it means to be human. even if they are strictly corrigible tools that do what we ask, this can be traumatic
It’s possible technology changes this. But right now, AI agents aren’t truly autonomous. They are built for the prompt, bots on a leash. Amplified intelligence as wholly distinct from truly artificial intelligence.
The much-cited METR study doesn’t change that. Read the critique linked below; it notes that there METR shows a sigmoid on the messiest tasks.
Even anecdotally…agentic workflows absolutely do help, and time horizons have been lengthening since Claude Cowork. But it’s just not the panacea it’s made out to be. Human prompting and verification remains the bottleneck, because digital AI only does it middle-to-middle, not end-to-end.
Anyway: in the absence of constant human verification, it’s extraordinarily easy to fill a codebase with economically irrelevant slop.
It’s the principal/agent problem all over again, with human principals and AI agents. High agency actually means exerting high levels of human control over highly expensive agents.
https://t.co/Ub2rWub4xo
You should be a generalist. Generalists can make tradeoffs across the entire stack. It's better in every way, trust me. You can do things that other people couldn't have, you can be creative. The only cost to do so is your ego. You need enough humility to be a permanent amateur
@AaronBergman18 Shouldn't it be 64/4?
Not to be pedantic, I think it's a really worthwhile premise. Although I probably don't agree with the application