Good morning, as DJG ratio keep falling, what notes should we take from this?
🟡Gold rises due to monetary debasement, liquidity crunch, or geopolitical fear, and/or
💵 Stocks fall because of tightening credit, earnings slowdown, or deleveraging.
more over, historical evidence would provide us with these analogs:
☑️2008 GFC: DJI/Gold dropped from 20 → 7
☑️ 1970s stagflation: DJI/Gold also crashed below 2
some information could we see in the future while in couple days we are in december - january holiday season:
📈 Santa Rally vs. Macro Liquidity Drain
December often brings a “Santa rally”—a mild upward move in equities as funds rebalance before year-end.
However, liquidity drains (Fed QT, Treasury issuance, and low year-end trading volume) can mute or reverse that effect this year.
🪙 Gold Strength into Year End
Historically, gold performs well from mid December to February, as:
Central banks continue buying.
Asian (especially Chinese & Indian) demand rises before Lunar New Year.
Investors seek safe havens during thin-liquidity periods.
💵 Dollar & Yields
If the U.S. dollar softens due to anticipated 2026 rate cuts, the DJI/Gold ratio will fall further, supporting your bearish projection.
🧊 Risk of “Illiquidity Shock”
Yearend repo tightening or funding stress (similar to Dec 2018) could trigger a rapid drawdown in equities.
That would make gold spike while DJI drops, accelerating the downward move in your ratio chart.
So... be aware,,, risk may sleepwalk while gold quietly reclaims the throne
DJI/G price ratio passed and below the midline again since last week, next stop: support zone: 11.0,,if broken, expect a sentiment
Today,
📉 DJI/Gold Ratio: 11.52 (-1.9%) ,,,Cracks in the Paper Economy
When the DJI/Gold ratio falls, it whispers a message Wall Street rarely admits:
“Paper wealth is losing ground to real assets.”
Gold up. Dollar steady. Equities wobbling.
This is the rotation signal, capital seeking shelter, not yield.
shift toward commodities and metals.
📊 Reflection:
Every time this ratio slides, liquidity starts preferring tangibles over promises.
It’s not fear 😆 it’s repricing reality.
Gowes yang berfaedah, menjadi fotografer seharian, ketemu teman-teman sevisi misi, ketemu bapak bapak owner yang punya program…
Dikemas dalam rekaman singkat dengan soundtrack Gilbert o’sullivan
Market crypto lagi sideways, tapi hidup jangan ikut sideways.
Daripada stress lihat candle tiap menit, lebih baik olahraga 30 menit.
Chart butuh timing.
Tubuh butuh maintenance.
Sehat dulu, baru cuan.