Lucy P. Marcus

Thinking & Talking & Writing & Doing at Navigating the Vortex CEO & Board Director LinkedIn:

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

It is like a toddler playing Fridge Poetry Trump Edition

[Decoding Fox News @DecodingFoxNews]

A Trump quote without his voice or face - Trump without Trump. This quote is unedited and 100% accurate. It's from his speech at the UN on Sept. 22, 2026. Super Intelligence!

[Navigating the Vortex @navvortex]

The Patriot-interceptor bottleneck alone proves the point: these aren't two separate wars anymore.
www.navigatingthevortex: Strategic intelligence for leaders, policymakers and advisers. Join a readership shaping decisions across five continents. Free in your inbox.

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Boards pricing the Iran and Ukraine wars as separate risks are already behind. @stefanwolff maps the fault lines: drone supply now runs from Russia into Iran, and one US interceptor supply chain serves both wars. @navvortex #Geopolitics #RiskManagement https://t.co/UEhLjEx0KY

[Navigating the Vortex @navvortex]

This is not an American lesson. It is the same in Budapest, Ankara or New Delhi. Before pricing what resistance costs, test whether the demand survives the law. Nine US law firms settled with the White House: $940m in pledged pro bono work. Four sued instead.
All four won.

[Navigating the Vortex @navvortex]

Oil hit $126. The world answered with eighteen rigs. Everything else was on paper.

The war didn't cause the imbalance — it audited it.

[France at OSCE 🇫🇷🇪🇺 @RP_France_OSCE]

📢 Facts regarding indoctrination and forced militarization of Ukrainian children in the territories occupied by Russia : The Moscow Mechanism has been activated for the sixth time since 2022.

📅 On this occasion, three independent experts were sent to the field to prepare a report on the indoctrination and forced militarization of Ukrainian children by Russia in the occupied territories.

Stefan Wolff is a Professor of International Security at the University of Birmingham. He specialises in contemporary security challenges, in particular the prevention and settlement of ethnic conflicts and civil wars, post-conflict reconstruction, peace-building, and state-building in deeply divided and war-torn societies. He is also the co-founder of Navigating the Vortex (a website that publishes analytical articles).

Once again, many thanks to Professor Wolff for taking the time to engage in this insightful discussion. 🙏

@FateneB @stefwolff @OSCE @osce_odihr @SwitzerlandOSCE @francediplo @francediplo_EN @navvortex @IrelandOSCE @UKOSCE @UKRinOSCE @VitrenkoYuri

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Two closed-door, 90-min meetings at Lindsey Graham's funeral. Warm words after. #Ukraine and #Iran wars more closely connected but no closer to resolution. @navvortex #Geopolitics #Diplomacy https://t.co/NHlxl971mW

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

.@navvortex co-founder Stefan Wolff just presented @OSCE findings on Russia's militarization of Ukrainian children: 20,610 deported, only 2,264 returned. Read & download the report:
https://t.co/rwjFYkjXNh
#Geopolitics #ChildRights #Ukraine

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

FIFA reversed a U.S. player's red card this week after Trump called Infantino directly. I diagnosed this exact mechanism starting in 2014 — a captured electorate, 211 federations paid to look away. The rot was always there. @navvortex https://t.co/aWbi8trgAC #FIFA #Governance

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

#corpgov #ai

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Two models of #AI governance are competing to become the global standard. One is rights-based. One is industrial. Most gov'ts haven't chosen yet.. Your org has — whether it knows it or not. Part 2 of The AI Frame War. Swipe thru. Save it.
Part 3 tomorrow. https://t.co/3Hgq5263AD

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

#ai #AIGovernance

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

June 2026: the global AI-regulation map split in two — rights frame vs industrial frame. Colorado’s law takes effect in 6 days. Canada chose sides. The G7 agreed nothing. Read @navvortex’s map of where every board stands now: https://t.co/ByqzGRRyFv #AI #AIGovernance #corpgov

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Russia's air campaign has escalated to a new peak — but sustainability constraints will determine how it ends. Drone frequency is maintainable; missile intensity is not. Moscow's middle ground between further escalation & genuine negotiation is eroding https://t.co/Uo2VPSMLCR

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

When structural shifts are already in place, elections determine pace and governance quality — not direction. Stefan Wolff and James Stanley on Armenia's 7 June vote and what it actually decides. @navvortex https://t.co/TaDKtWeoOK #Geopolitics #Armenia

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

A near-term US–Iran deal looks both more likely and more fragile than the headlines suggest. @navvortex #Geopolitics #Iran https://t.co/4N5Wv9FQDq

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

China is not choosing between Russia and the US — it’s instrumentalising both. Putin arrived in Beijing as the 12th leader to visit Xi this year. @navvortex https://t.co/Ga1hsFtvtV #Geopolitics #ChinaRussia

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Three different populisms in Europe — not one. AfD: uniform threat. PiS: aligned on Russia and NATO, threat on Europe and MAGA. RN: uniformly uncertain. Britain's minilateral hedge sits on the same ground that is shifting.

https://t.co/7iO2PUpisr

@navvortex #Geopolitics

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Xi–Trump wasn't a thaw or a pause — it was the continuation of a managed equilibrium that quietly demotes Russia. Stefan Wolff for @navvortex → https://t.co/xNEpaYmhbJ #Geopolitics #USChina

[Lucy P. Marcus @lucymarcus]

Europe is building a new security architecture — not inside but across NATO and the EU. @StefanWolff maps the minilateral formats doing the real work and asks if the Weimar Triangle can anchor them all. @navvortex https://t.co/MgFI82NTSd #EuropeanSecurity #Defence