Luis Alvarez

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

Loading as much $TATSU as I can at
these cheap levels.

$TAO is sending and it’s obvious what
is next—Subnets. Think when this wave hits, @TatsuEcosystem is heading north without looking back .

Decision is yours.

[Ted @TedPillows]

$ETH has retested its multi-year trendline support level.

Since 2021, Ethereum has retested this level only thrice.

June 2022, November 2022 and March 2025.

The last 2 times, the market the cycle bottom, and I'm hoping this time won't be different.

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

$ANYONE || @AnyoneFDN

The chart tells the story—clean retest of support, now eyeing the descending resistance. A breakout here, $3 is the first stop on the normt horizon.

The plan for the coming months? Simple: double digits. No compromises.

Overlooking is not an option, telling you.

#DePin #Privacy #AI

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

$UPO no future unlocks. 🫡

100% of the supply is in circulation, entirely owned by the community, focused on all the hottest narratives like AI, RWA, GameFi etc, and backed by the $NAKA team.

With all this, its just at a mere $4M cap - absurd.

@Uponlyofficial's season is coming, living up to its name "Up Only".

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

$CPA (Virtuals)

First AI-Powered On-Chain Tax Agent by @RealTjDunham, CEO of @ARCreactorAI.

CA:0xd9DA0A693ea8057dCd97f02Df6c98951acF92EF7 ( Base chain)

Marketcap : $8 million
Ape’d a small bag, riding the hype.

HRHR

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

The market is brimming with
opportunities, yet most are busy chasing pumps.

Take $DIONE Protocol, for instance—nobody’s ready. But remember, it’s just a matter of a breakout, and the rest will be history.

@Dioneprotocol, a top Layer-1 out there and you already know how Layer1's exploded in the past cycle.

Ignore at your own risk.

#AI #Layer1 #DePin #GreenEnergy

[White 🦅 @WhiteTrader_]

Os ha gustado el post eh perros?

Pues en Twitter tengo el análisis en vídeo de la dominancia y de algunos más

Pasaos!!

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC.D, calling the 4 yearly top, update

And now, we have strong confirmation ✅

So, updating this frequently because many of our positions (and my reputation) depend on it.

On a call that was/is very hard to make and requires a lot of conviction. Conviction we have put into many/nearly all of our positions.

And we just received the confirmation of a 3 day sweep, followed by a 3 day change in market structure. That's a key signal, because it is the only time it happened from a cluster of confluence (618, monthly gap, and monthly cyclical timing, see previous posts) of monthly levels and timing. And the 3 Day - monthly timeframe are a perfect combination as they fit the LTF-HTF multiplication rule of approximating 12.

I talked about this rule before many times and I use it all the time myself, but in essence, it means that for low timeframe confirmation of high timeframe resistance or support levels, the multiple of the LTF should be 12 (or approx.) to have ideal confirmation.

And so since a month is 30 days, that is a multiple of 10 of the 3-day, making this the ideal confirmation for this 4 year top call.

So from now on, it's going to be hard for the $BTC and $BTC.D bulls to still reverse this into new highs, making our bold 4 year top call, just one step closer from our dreams to reality.

And unless you have been completely unaware of our previous posts about this topic, you know exactly what that means if it plays out.

And we're exactly positioned for it, openly, with high conviction, so this call is important.

[Juan Rodríguez @juanbiter]

Los políticos y gobiernos avanzan muy rápido contra las libertades de los ciudadanos, la propiedad privada es amenazada❌

#Bitcoin te permite gestionarla con un grado de de anonimato e inconfiscabilidad enorme✅

Muchos solo lo valorarán cuando sea tarde… otros nos preparamos ahora👇🏻

[Crypto Ideology ✍🏻 @crypto_ideology]

What’s the ticker...???

$ANYONE 🫡

$1.5 crushed, now it’s time to smash $2. Step by step. @AnyoneFDN, study it closely.

#DePin #Privacy #AI

[Luis Alvarez @LuisAlvMont]

@astronomer_zero Thanks for your teaching

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

Quoting this because I can see this being the burning question.

So I just called the $BTC.D top (and the start of the 4 yearly alt season), does that mean a $BTC top?

Short answer: no, it does not.

I still think $BTC can and will go up further, above and beyond 100k. A $BTC.D top is not the same as a $BTC top.

Remember that last cycle, $BTC.D topped in the first week of December 2020 when $BTC was at 20k. But $BTC topped only in April 2021 when it was at 65k. So even though alt season technically started since the $BTC.D top, $BTC still pulled a 3x afterwards, but alts pulled far larger moves during that same period, whereas before, they barely moved and the majority underperformed compared to $BTC.

So yes, $BTC can still go up. But the overall "feel" of the crypto market will be a lot different.

It could look like a few months of both altcoin holders and $BTC holders winning at the same time (but altcoins printing a lot harder anyways just by the nature of their thin liquidity), followed by $BTC holders not really winning anymore, because only altcoins holders are winning now. And then, once $BTC.D is very low again, we expect the market to transition into a top.

Also a friendly reminder that this is a high timeframe call (happening once every four years). A macro $BTC.D top doesn't mean a massive macro drop immediately. That's not how that happens ever.

Big money (located on the high timeframes) takes time to move especially , just think of moving a large weight. That's why the markets constantly move from big expansion, to range, to compression, to expansion again, gradually and constantly shifting between slowed and accelerated fashion, just like a pendulum.

So with the $BTC altcoin rotation, the same applies, just like any move, this transition will be gradual. The top is in I think, which usually happens during the transitionary stage. So yes, we still can see days where $BTC dominates, but the overall momentum has shifted, just now, IMO.

So let's stay off the cool aid, keep it level headed, but at the same time very well acknowledge the conditions we are in.

We're going to see change and you're not going to want to fade that.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$10k -> $100k challenge, using limits only

$AVAX TP hit, $LTC blastoff + some fresh bids

Account balance: 10,365 (+3.65%)
Account unrealized: 10,737 (+7.37%)
Total leverage active: $8,519/$10,737 = 0.79x

Both realized and realized just keep on growing. The challenge is alive, only used limits, no FOMO, pure patience 🤝

$AVAX TP just hit cleanly and $LTC is blasting off.

Leverage lower now because TP hitting, slightly below 1 now so would be nice to receive another dip to lever up again. But if not, I won't be complaining, we'll load up on a dip from higher. Because dips are a constant.

Updates:

Moved up $BONK bids
Removed $NEIRO bids
Added $LTC ask to close it
Keeping $FTM ask
Added $LINK bids

Reasons:

Wanted to hold a runner on $LTC but I'm more than content now and I'll keep $FTM and $AVAX for now as runners as I see more potential in them. $LTC exit plan with asks just above makes sense as it's been a fantastic run on it, about to book just under 400$ if it hits soon (no jynxes).

Also slowly moving away from the memes hence removed $NEIRO bids because the funding rates are getting really high. Keeping $BONK because it's been strong, but trying to focus more on guaranteed runners and $LINK is one of them. Chart looks good on HTF's and coming off HTF support.

So all in all, these are also signs showing that alt season may be around the corner. No guarantees, but eventually it will happen so might as well already start positioning for it as also the classic alts are already going up and we have been realizing gains on them.

That said, we're doing good, all for the world to see with clear and full transparent vision.

Speaking about clear vision, as always, my full hand is shown below, all my open positions and limit orders, nothing is hidden, you know the deal.

Enjoy.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$10->100k, limits only challenge update

Another $LTC TP 💸

Account balance: now $10183 (+1.8%)

Keeping all limits
Set some $FTM bids ($4500)
Set some $NEIRO bids ($1500)

Reasons:

$BTC is coming near areas of interest finally,
$FTM has proven to be a strong runner
$NEIRO is a meme that hasn't really had a recent push yet unlike $BONK, $DOGE, $FLOKI

Bids of $NEIRO are smaller because it has a potential to move more but also a larger risk.

So far so good.

Challenge is a few days old and already up ~2%.

And true alt season hasn't even started yet.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

10k -> 100k, limits only, lev challenge

Series of bids 1 (acc balance: $10,000)

Alright, support was out of this world, we're doing it.

So as promised, we're setting bids only.

It's going to be a tricky challenge because bids only means there's no way to know what price looks like as levels get reached, it's pure guesswork.

But that's why it's a challenge.

So we'll be setting bids where most ppl will get liquidated. The more we catch the better.

Leverage to use on the account should be cross, 1-4x. If you choose isolated, that's up to you but you could get liquidated if the bids involved trying to catch a large wick so keep that in mind. It's also harder to add margin when using isolated so also keep that in mind.

All disclaimers aside, here we go.

Starting balance: $10,000

First series of bids, screenshot below:

These bids may be moved around and updated every now and then, timing and patience are key. But the levels are well researched.

And every single move (of bids, or getting out) will be documented. No hindsight, no non sense.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC reminder

Will you buy the dip?

Yes, "everyone is bullish". Doesn't mean the bull market is suddenly over. But it could mean we see yet another local pullback here, as projected last post.

No guarantees, and like mentioned last post, not shorting this here. And as per our overall positioning, equally happy if it just runs from here, a short defeats that purpose. But if this pulls back to the next H6, I promise most people are going to call for a deviation, alts may have dropped sharply at that time, looking scary when zoomed in prompting fear if you already are fearful right now.

And that's without any deep analysis, just how markets work. Maybe I'm wrong this time and it's all over, but:

Spot premiums active✅
Price at all time highs with a strong weekly candle✅
Strong volume✅
Bear posts getting so much engagement rate, talking like 5/6x the engagement of logical, bullish posts (with in depth reasoning).✅
An amazing looking chart on all timeframes✅
Remember our 4 fundamentally bullish data analyses posts we posted in September? All fully confirmed now ✅

Yes anything can happen, but if you're bearish here then you have caught on too late IMO on trading the range from March 2024-Sept 2024 and want to make up for that or are looking for engagement. Although I respect the latter, because those posts show how many people are still sidelined. (You'll never see me do it though, I aim to remain clear cut and to the point).

Not hyping anything up, but if we hit that H6, it's going to be very likely that that fear factor and that moment of uncertainty hits again. And at that time I'll probably post another $BTC update with yet again as title "I'm long again". Going for the fifth win in a row and either bank it, or happily lose the trade to what has been a confident bet from the start.

We'll see.

TLDR;

Expecting a pullback, but only shallow. Not scared of "everyone" being bullish here, markets are looking good. So just looking to long the next H6, with the same conviction we have been trading with for pretty much the entire year: maxed out.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

Isn't it amazing how the market always finds a way to make the large majority lose? $BTC probably does it the best.

For instance:

➡️When the market has been ranging forever, it breaks out.
➡️When the market has been trending for a long time, it will start to range.
➡️When no volatility is expected, volatility kicks in.
➡️When volatility is expected, it's probably going to form a tight range.
➡️When a large news events comes (such as elections), most people tend to not position because it's dangerous and 'a gamble', yet it probably serves one of the cleanest high volume trades in a short time both ways.
➡️When most are positioned into altcoins, $BTC dominance rises.
➡️When most are positioned into $BTC, $BTC dominance drops.
➡️When a large altcoin narrative played out, people catch on, most position for it to continue, yet then the narrative most likely rotates to something completely different, like fashion trends.

I can keep going, but categorizing every single one of these helps you determine ways to not get burnt in every single way firstly, and secondly, find a counternarrative supporting your trade idea.

So it's not just 'up or down', there are many ways and reasons to both position or stay away from a market.

[EliZ @eliz883]

designed the dump perfectly...now here's simple invalidation...I'm noticing a good H4 $TIA

[Crypto GVR @GVRCALLS]

#Bitcoin 67-69K$ is the reversal ✅

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC Update

69.5 hit ✅ Just longed again, to try get our fifth win in a row

Last updates, we projected a pullback in the midst of one of the most important upside moves $BTC has made IMO as we did heavily research into and call this move ever since the last time $BTC hit 55k in Sept, all the way up to 73k now. Scored off multiple longs and one short without any misses, offering us 4 wins in a row by now, all trackable on my twitter timeline. Still holding on to that move and bias, but on the lookout for pullbacks as finding them is important in order to time the long entries properly and find potential shorts if they are easy to spot.

One of those pullbacks was the one we projected from 73k back down to 69.5k, framed on the premise of heavy longs into yearly resistance and a local spike in OI, so needs some clearing before heading back up, which indeed played out as we reached 69.5k now.

Price might still head slightly lower, but it's very unlikely the high is in based on the swing trade timeframe outlook of the market I'll discuss below, so I decided to long here.

Price Action

Price has been trending up 90% within expectations. 90% as I personally thought when $BTC was at 55k that we would break ATH by November the first, but we just happened to get close and set equal highs instead.

I do still think they will get cleared and I do think we will reach our higher spot play targets, which is why, for the first time after buying the range low from March-September for the fourth time now, we held on to the majority of the positions for higher targets, next one at the silver pocket of 80.7k.

Lower timeframe, we have been holding bullish structure which is why it was so simple to catch 3 longs in a row and why we put so much emphasis and research on getting the high timeframe bias right as this is where most traders find pitfalls as we've seen on crypto twitter the last weeks.

One short we caught was just an obvious one on the previous pullback but I remain selective on shorts.

So on that local bullish structure, we just got close to an H6 POI again, which is a zone to likely hold yet again.

Order flow

Order flow looking good again. On this last rise, we had the classic initial squeeze, supporting strong short squeeze continuation until the liquidations kicked in, into resistance and rising funding, marking this local top where we wanted to see longs puke, hopefully at 69k.

We have seen enough of longs puke now with the current liquidations. The spot whales have picked it up as spot starts to lead through taker driven spot demand (see spot CVD). OI is also wiped locally and funding is back to 0.01%. Not negative values, but the standard 0.01% is good enough to long in trending environment. No confirmation signals yet, ones I am looking for are continued spot taker driven demand, funding remaining flat and shorts starting to build up. As soon as price starts to rise, would like to see an initial short squeeze driven move once again against spot push and then longs can come in as price made now highs.

TPO

And the TPO looks beautiful, finally clearing out all of our expected upside TPO magnets, acting cleanly as they rejected locally each and every time. If you're a scalper, great trade entries if you see some local froth (I'm not a scalper anymore personally but love to watch it when time allows).

TPO shows a big TPO naked POC above, which is a great local target. Also one left below, but further below, all we have is strong lows, unlikely to be revisited. So worst case, we hit the TPO naked POC below and reverse.

Order books

Seeing the chaotic structure of bids we love to see just below. We also had clear walls (1 line of orders), but they are, as per usual, typically spoofs, at least by the binance playbook. For anyone who was tracking the dominant market mover in 2022 (FTX), it was the exact opposite, which is quite funny. So, likely good walls below here to stay, likely to give a strong bounce to confirm the local reversal.

Plan

So, analysis complete, bias in place, plan is fairly simple. The 69.5 k we have been wanting has been hit, so keeping my work, and decided to long here. Because we still have not fully tapped the POI, and because order flow has not shown confirmation and because we we still have a TPO naked POC below, I'm only taking half size here and adding the rest if we visit the TPO naked POC.

But overall, still expecting higher, sticking to my bias and remaining calm while many are calling for lower based on OI (falsely as OI only works lower timeframe), speculation and emotion, and some fear of elections, which are great counternarratives to our trade.