I'm still here, just been offline for awhile.
Haven't sold anything since I last posted, still holding the following:
$AVGO June 2027 calls (down about 50%)
$UBER Jan 2028 calls (down about 10%)
$BABA June 2028 calls (down about 15%) - green today lol
Bought more $QQQ today and $IREN today - shares
I love a good fearful market!
Keep buying quality, and if you have a little speculative appetite, a little of that too!
Something interesting is happening with AI stocks right now.
They’re getting cheaper in TWO ways.
Stock prices are falling.
Meanwhile, fundamentals at some of the biggest AI companies continue improving.
That’s multiple compression from both directions.
I’m seeing it firsthand with my $AVGO calls.
Both have taken a hit during this tech selloff.
But look at what’s happening underneath the stock prices.
Broadcom continues delivering strong growth.
Recent results from $TSM and $ASML suggest AI infrastructure demand is anything but dead.
Yet investors are selling the stocks.
Why?
Higher interest rates, elevated oil prices, and concerns about how long AI spending can continue.
Those risks are real.
But here’s where I stand.
I don’t know if the bottom is in.
I don’t know if these stocks fall another 10%.
What I do know is that when a quality business keeps improving while its valuation compresses, I start paying attention.
Eventually, buyers can recognize that disconnect.
That’s what I’m betting on.
Still holding my June 2027 $AVGO calls.
Still holding my $IREN shares (recent position - small).
I’m not trying to predict the next green day.
I’m betting the businesses will ultimately matter more than the current sentiment.
The question is whether this is healthy multiple compression or the beginning of a fundamental slowdown.
One benefit of being sick right now; I couldn’t care less what the markets are doing.
My positions are what they are.
Nothing needs my attention this week!
I made $67,000 on $META calls.
Now I've put $31,040 into $BABA calls.
I'm looking for the same type of opportunity, but there's one major difference.
META was a beaten-down American technology giant.
BABA is a beaten-down Chinese technology giant.
Both have enormous businesses investing heavily in AI.
Both have cloud infrastructure.
Both have the potential to benefit from growing AI demand.
But Alibaba comes with risks META doesn't.
China regulation.
Geopolitics.
Investor distrust.
That's part of why I think the opportunity exists.
I bought 10 June 2028 $115 calls.
I'm betting that Alibaba Cloud continues growing, AI becomes a bigger contributor, and the market eventually assigns the business a higher valuation.
I could be completely wrong.
And unlike shares, these calls have an expiration date.
But I've had four options trades return over 100% this year.
All four came from buying quality businesses when sentiment was ugly.
I'm looking for number five.
Is $BABA an undervalued AI opportunity, or does the China discount deserve to stay?