Tucked some Ceres Power Holdings #cwr $cwr.l away on the basis of better tech than Bloom Energy, 1/60th the EV. Down around 50% in 3 months, may be turning.
One thing we were taught for sure this Summer, regardless of whether you are a Korean degen trader or Germanic AI insider hedge-fund media darling, excessive leverage is playing with fire.
@JohnM_AIM Specifically Google, Microsoft, Amazon and related suppliers and competitors, including Nvidia, TSMC, etc. Google cloud is massively successful, Google is deploying massive capex into it and being punished for it.
FWIW though I like the look of Credo ($crdo) for the next phase.
THIS HAS TO BE THE STORY OF 2026
Ken Griffin’s Citadel was pushing surprise-rate-hike fears just days before the AI trade collapsed and forced 4x-levered Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness to unload its book near the lows.
Citadel then reportedly bought most of those assets at significantly lower prices knowing that if sentiment deteriorated enough the fund could be forced to sell which makes the entire sequence look absolutely ruthless.
This is why the stock market is the greatest game on Earth.
@JohnM_AIM Specifically Google, Microsoft, Amazon and related suppliers and competitors, including Nvidia, TSMC, etc. Google cloud is massively successful, Google is deploying massive capex into it and being punished for it.
FWIW though I like the look of Credo ($crdo) for the next phase.
A lot of bed wetting going on in relation to quality companies with huge free cash flows finding massive new markets into which they can deploy fresh capital at high rates of return using their proven business models, boosted by a technological paradigm shift. 🤷
Bought Uber, having trimmed Broadcom, Marvel and sold Ashtead Tech. Didn’t want to sell #at.l, but it just wasn’t working & it’s easy to imagine a down phase in wind and offshore oil investment could hold it back. Great company, hope to revisit.
Six month mark up 12% YTD. Bottomed at -6% in Feb, went as high as +17% in May. Best performers: TSMC, Marvel, Moog. Worst: Transmedics, Sea, MercadoLibre.
Recently been buying all of those, & Rocket Companies (Mortgages, not satellites). Also more Avacta - a pleasure to watch.
@mathlonning Check the holdings of this fund: https://t.co/yR0YHCgu54. Also done OK in Moog recently, and have Novantis. Depends if you are looking for humanoid, factory automation, etc.
@jonny69rotten I hold quite a few individually - the above plus TSMC, Sea, Nu - based on that I was OK selling. Will be coming back in once SpaceX is resolved I suspect. May have gone early, if SpaceX jumps 50% tomorrow, but who can say.
Sold most of my SMT last week. SpaceX is valued beyond what I can go for. This plus selling Wise again quickly put me above 10% cash. Spent a bit on Ondas $onds.
YTD was -6% in Feb, +17% 8 days ago, and now back to +7%. Lots of stuff starting to look cheap again
Working out what to do with Scottish Mortgage Trust around the SpaceX IPO is difficult. 3rd biggest position so need to have a plan. SpaceX would be a larger holding than 6 others in my portfolio if it was split out.
I still like the other holdings. Maybe let it run. 🤷
Marvel $mrvl up around 50% yesterday and overnight after an event with Jensen. What do you do with that? Hold on for dear life I guess. Suspect a fall back, then estimates up and off it goes. We will see.
Out of Micron, with some trepidation, after a very fast gain. Ultimately I’m trying to buy the best fast growing high ROC co’s with moats at a good price. Micron is in a once in a lifetime cycle, it’s beyond me to judge the top, but I’m happy taking what I got.
Working out what to do with Scottish Mortgage Trust around the SpaceX IPO is difficult. 3rd biggest position so need to have a plan. SpaceX would be a larger holding than 6 others in my portfolio if it was split out.
I still like the other holdings. Maybe let it run. 🤷