MLB Nerds

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[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Quite frankly, I’m backing the majority of these pitchers beside Spencer Arrighetti.

Arrighetti’s historic month of May included some of the most absurd luck I’ve seen.

* 3.2 HR/FB%
* 5.27 xFIP
* 4.2 K-BB%
* 5.32 SIERA

Not to say he isn’t a solid arm, just not quite an ace.

[BetUS MLB ⚾ @BetUS_MLB]

Aces Galore for the Wednesday slate 🔥

Cy Young candidates everywhere pitch today.

Who are you backing?

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

May 2026 Awards

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Aaron Judge isn’t even top 10 in fWAR in the AL at this point in the season.

My preseason MVP pick was Bobby Witt Jr., but I think this race will more importantly show how much voters truly value WAR.

Plenty of time, but I imagine there will be a new MVP in the AL this season.

[Kalshi Sports @KalshiSports]

JUST IN: Aaron Judge’s MVP odds are falling on Kalshi after news of a right shoulder injury.

With the field now wide open, which AL player can go win this award?

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Paul Goldschmidt has a 153 wRC+ in 129 PA this season.

Unc still got it 🔥

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

May 2026 Monthly Awards (AL)

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Perhaps I’m too pessimistic but I just can’t see any way that Skubal isn’t in Dodger blue next season barring a salary cap (which is not gonna happen)

[Kalshi Sports @KalshiSports]

Odds on Tarik Skubal's team in 2027, via Kalshi:

29% — Dodgers
15% — Tigers
12% — Brewers
10% — Yankees
8% — Braves, Padres
6% — Cubs, Rays
5% — D-Backs
2% — Phillies, Mets, Blue Jays

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Today was Joe Ryan’s 3rd consecutive start with exactly 9 strikeouts and zero walks.

I can’t imagine that has been done very recently.

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

JJ Bleday has a 188 wRC+ this season.

That’s good for best in MLB (minimum 130 PA).

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Dillon Dingler (ranks amongst catchers with 200 PA or more)

HR: 13 (2nd)
wRC+: 4th (127)
ISO: 1st (.258)
xwOBA: .387 (3rd)
fWAR: 2nd (2.3)

Extremely underrated.

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Like I said earlier: legitimate MVP candidate

[BetUS MLB ⚾ @BetUS_MLB]

Ben Rice is playing out of his mind🔥

If he continues at this level an MVP is not out of the question.

Probably the only thing in his way would be teammate Aaron Judge 😂

[AT @BaseballWRLD_]

Every Top 10 pick from the 2020-2022 drafts combined in MLB: 15.2 War

The Top 10 from the 2024 draft combined already: 15.7 War 💀

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Ben Rice still leads all of MLB in wRC+ (188), and only trails Witt Jr. & Yordan in fWAR. I have to imagine he’s going to get great consideration from voters if the leaderboards are in a similar place come end of season, which is possible.

[Kalshi Sports @KalshiSports]

The battle for AL MVP appears to be a 6-horse race, via Kalshi:

43% — Aaron Judge
20% — Bobby Witt Jr.
18% — Yordan Alvarez
10% — Nick Kurtz
9% — Ben Rice
4% — Nick Kurtz

Who’s going to pull away?

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Pitcher Power Rankings as of 5/31

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Deadline mock trades 4.0

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Cam Schlittler’s 37 ERA- is first amongst all AL starting pitchers 🔥

He’s -105 to win AL Cy Young @BetUS_Official 👀. Is he a lock to win the award?

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[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Gerrit Cole yesterday:

6.1 IP
4 H
0 ER
0 BB
10 K
15 Whiffs (35%)
39.0 CSW%
0.5 fWAR
79 Pitches

He’s all the way back.

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Tarik Skubal has a 2.34 ERA since the start of the 2024 season 🤯

He’s +125 to be traded from the Tigers @BetUS_Official at the deadline 👀

Claim a 200% deposit bonus @BetUS_Official 👉https://t.co/k2IcDE4Qiu

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Munetaka Murakami:

- 153 wRC+
- 17.4 BB%
- 19 HR
- .313 ISO
- .372 xwOBA

AL ROTY Favorite?

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

Juan Soto is having the quietest 168 wRC+ I’ve ever seen

[MLB Nerds @MLBNerds]

I am fully of the opinion that the NL Central can be won by any of the 5 teams at this point. Trade deadline will do a lot to differentiate between these teams

[BetUS MLB ⚾ @BetUS_MLB]

After starting the season 29-16, the Cubs have lost 9 in a row.

The Cubs have only scored 24 runs during this span and are dogs again today.

Will the slump continue or will the Cubs get the W?