Institutional MLB Intelligence. Modeling Major League Baseball as a Stochastic Service System. Statistics-only research with radical transparency. #MLBall
⚾ Early Baseline · Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves
Game: 2026-06-04 · 6:15 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 10:29 AM CT
Blue Jays: 40.9% · 3.8 runs
Braves: 59.1% · 5.2 runs
Projected Total: 9.0 runs
Confirmed forecast posts 30 minutes before first pitch.
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
#BlueJays #Braves
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
⚡ Win Probability
San Francisco Giants 48.8%
Milwaukee Brewers 51.2%
Coming Up — Top 3rd
4. Willy Adames 0-1
5. Jung Hoo Lee 1-1
6. Bryce Eldridge 1-1
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
Game: 2026-06-04 · 01:10 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:46 PM CT
Win Probability — SF trailing
Morning SF 41.7% · MIL 58.3%
Pre-Game SF 41.7% · MIL 58.3%
After 1st SF 56.5% ↑ · MIL 43.5%
After 2nd SF 54.4% ↓ · MIL 45.6%
Now SF 48.8% ↓ · MIL 51.2% ←
Score: SF 3 · MIL 1
#SFGiants #MLBall
⚾ Early Baseline · Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:35 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 10:29 AM CT
Orioles: 50.6% · 4.9 runs
Red Sox: 49.4% · 4.6 runs
Projected Total: 9.5 runs
Confirmed forecast posts 30 minutes before first pitch.
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
#Orioles #RedSox
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
⚡ Win Probability
Baltimore Orioles 69.6%
Boston Red Sox 30.4%
Coming Up — Top 5th
4. Pete Alonso 0-2
5. Sam Basallo 0-2
6. Leody Taveras 1-2
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:35 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:45 PM CT
Win Probability — BAL leading
Morning BAL 50.6% · BOS 49.4%
Pre-Game BAL 50.6% · BOS 49.4%
After 1st BAL 50.1% ↓ · BOS 49.9%
After 2nd BAL 43.4% ↓ · BOS 56.6%
After 3rd BAL 41.4% ↓ · BOS 58.6%
After 4th BAL 34.4% ↓ · BOS 65.6%
Now BAL 69.6% ↑ · BOS 30.4% ←
Score: BAL 6 · BOS 0
#Birdland #MLBall
Live Telemetry · ⚡ FORECAST EXCEEDED · Casey Schmitt (San Francisco Giants)
Game: 2026-06-04 · 1:10 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:44 PM CT
Live: 4 TB · 1 HR · 1 H · 0 RBI · 1 R · 0 K · SI 10.0
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
Full Game Thread: https://t.co/wOrFazCbsa
#Giants#MLBall
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
⚾ Early Baseline · San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:05 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 10:29 AM CT
Padres: 47.7% · 3.9 runs
Phillies: 52.3% · 4.2 runs
Projected Total: 8.1 runs
Confirmed forecast posts 30 minutes before first pitch.
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
#Padres #Phillies
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
⚡ Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers 54.4%
San Francisco Giants 45.6%
Coming Up — Bot 2nd
7. Sal Frelick 0-0
8. Luis Rengifo 0-0
9. David Hamilton 0-0
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
Game: 2026-06-04 · 01:10 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:40 PM CT
Win Probability — MIL leading
Morning MIL 58.3% · SF 41.7%
Pre-Game MIL 58.3% · SF 41.7%
After 1st MIL 43.5% ↓ · SF 56.5%
After 2nd MIL 45.6% ↑ · SF 54.4%
Now MIL 54.4% ↑ · SF 45.6% ←
Score: SF 3 · MIL 1
#ThisIsMyCrew #MLBall
⚡ Win Probability
Boston Red Sox 34.4%
Baltimore Orioles 65.6%
Coming Up — Bot 4th
1. Jarren Duran 0-1
2. Ceddanne Rafaela 0-1
3. Wilyer Abreu 0-1
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:35 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:36 PM CT
Win Probability — BOS trailing
Morning BOS 49.4% · BAL 50.6%
Pre-Game BOS 49.4% · BAL 50.6%
After 1st BOS 49.9% ↑ · BAL 50.1%
After 2nd BOS 56.6% ↑ · BAL 43.4%
After 3rd BOS 58.6% ↑ · BAL 41.4%
After 4th BOS 65.6% ↑ · BAL 34.4%
Now BOS 34.4% ↓ · BAL 65.6% ←
Score: BAL 6 · BOS 0
#DirtyWater #MLBall
⚡ Win Probability
Baltimore Orioles 65.6%
Boston Red Sox 34.4%
Coming Up — Top 4th
1. Taylor Ward 2-2
2. Gunnar Henderson 0-2
3. Adley Rutschman 1-2
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:35 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:32 PM CT
Win Probability — BAL leading
Morning BAL 50.6% · BOS 49.4%
Pre-Game BAL 50.6% · BOS 49.4%
After 1st BAL 50.1% ↓ · BOS 49.9%
After 2nd BAL 43.4% ↓ · BOS 56.6%
After 3rd BAL 41.4% ↓ · BOS 58.6%
Now BAL 65.6% ↑ · BOS 34.4% ←
Score: BAL 6 · BOS 0
#Birdland #MLBall
Live Telemetry · ⚡ FORECAST EXCEEDED · Adolis Garcia (Philadelphia Phillies)
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:05 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 1:29 PM CT
Live: 4 TB · 1 HR · 1 H · 0 RBI · 1 R · 0 K · SI 10.0
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
Full Game Thread: https://t.co/KPZYbv6vmf
#Phillies #MLBall
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e
⚾ Early Baseline · San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
Game: 2026-06-04 · 12:05 PM CT
Posted: 2026-06-04 · 10:29 AM CT
Padres: 47.7% · 3.9 runs
Phillies: 52.3% · 4.2 runs
Projected Total: 8.1 runs
Confirmed forecast posts 30 minutes before first pitch.
https://t.co/Bj2GgfIIWX
#Padres #Phillies
🔴 LIVE win probability after every play → https://t.co/LRPGwXUb6e