$BTC - Bear market has official started
▶️Cycle Top is in: $126k
▶️These 2W indicators signaled every bear market start in the history of #bitcoin
🔻RSI < 50
🔻Ehler crossing
▶️ $90k - $85k short term bottom
▶️ I'm selling the bearish retest near $100k -$108k
$BTC will slowly grind up to $70k+ in July, trade sideways between $60k-$70k until September, will find a bottom by October, and trade above $80k before 2027.
Bookmark this.
$BTC
Bought #bitcoin today.
First buy since my „bear market starts post.“
DCA between $58k - $46k
I also think, bottom is not in.
But I’m pretty sure, we bounce here.
Multiple bull divs on 4H and daily RSI at extremes.
Everything is still going exactly to plan.
Relief rallies are part of the game, trading them is just not a part of my system
Stayed the course, and it looks like it'll pay off soon.
Time to pay attention. Lock in that higher low in RSI, my DCA trigger kicks in 👀
$BTC
Something like this would be a poetically beautiful cycle bottom for $BTC.
Many people have said they would love to buy at those prices - but I doubt many will have the balls to actually pull the trigger if it comes.
Now I’m starting to see a huge uptick in negativity for bitcoin:native on my timeline.
Lots of perma bulls turning bearish is a good sign for finding a bottom - even a local bottom.
Just need a new macro low to convince everyone it’s over forever.
Then we start buying.
ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85
Looks ready for leaving accumulation zone soon.
We might see a fast and violent pre-pump like Jan'23
Target zone $0.8 - $1
$BTC
Nothing changed since my last post.
We are still in the bear market, bottom is not in.
Some predictions for the summer
1) $BTC < $50k
2) $ETH < $1000
3) SpaceX IPO will probably mark the top in tradfi
Cash is king, I will be back in Sep
In hindsight this massive OBV bear div on the daily and weekly for the S&P 500 will make sense. Doesn't mean we still can't go higher first though.
$BTC
Playing my $60k buys on the relief bounce.
First buys at $68k were too early, but $60k was spot on and brought down my average entry.
We'll see how far this goes.
$60k is a strong support level, including the weekly 200 MA and 0.618 fib.
$BTC - Bear market has official started
▶️Cycle Top is in: $126k
▶️These 2W indicators signaled every bear market start in the history of #bitcoin
🔻RSI < 50
🔻Ehler crossing
▶️ $90k - $85k short term bottom
▶️ I'm selling the bearish retest near $100k -$108k
$BTC - Yearly Open View
1⃣ Lost AlphaTrend baseline near $109k in confluence with RSI bearish divergence → start of bear trend
2⃣ Bearish retest, no baseline reclaim near YO 2025
3⃣ YO 2026 – after losing this level, fast acceleration
Similar pattern last cycle (2021 top):
1⃣ Lost baseline near $55k + RSI bearish divergence
2⃣ Bearish retest at YO 2022, no baseline reclaim
3⃣ Lost YO 2022 → fast acceleration
4⃣ Bottom near YO 2018
→ So bottom near YO 2022 at $45k area?
Nevertheless, $60k is a strong level. Bought there, playing the relief bounce, and then we’ll see.