Mark Murray

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

More on these numbers here: https://t.co/LemNWHvrkC

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Six weeks after the election, this remains the simplest reason why Democrats lost the White House.

It also shows how 2024's best comparison might be 1968 -- when Humphrey tried to succeed LBJ and lost

[Steve Schale @steveschale]

When I was a dipshit young hack, I always thought the broader the net we cast in campaigns, the more votes we could get. Nowadays, there is a huge swath of voters my party doesn’t even try with - and it’s cost us.

I say some things in this @mmurraypolitics analysis —>

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

These less-engaged voters were disproportionately younger, more Republican-leaning and less likely to have college degrees, per the NBC News poll

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Kamala Harris and Democrats succeeded with frequent and highly engaged voters in the 2024 presidential election.

Their problem: They lost with most everyone else. https://t.co/8UxNo44D1s

Findings from the final national NBC News poll...

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

2024 was the 6th-consecutive "change" election -- in which either the White House or one chamber of Congress switched party control.

One explanation behind all of this change: Super-majorities of voters remain dissatisfied with the nation's direction: https://t.co/uWdUPbmbgi

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Here's the writeup on our final national poll, plus a PDF of the filled-in survey https://t.co/Wvpu1w5Z0v

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Final national NBC News poll: a neck-and-neck race https://t.co/Wvpu1w5Z0v

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

What also stands out in the NBC News poll is an enormous 34-point gender gap -- larger than October's 30-point one

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Here's the digital writeup of our poll, plus a PDF of the filled-in survey: https://t.co/1nIQB9nVfH

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

Some of the key findings in our new national NBC News poll - beyond the horserace.

1. Harris' popularity has declined after her post-debate spike -- from 48% positive, 45% negative in Sept (+3), to 43% positive, 49% negative now (-6) https://t.co/1nIQB9nnq9

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

4. And our poll tested Harris vs. Trump on 9 different issues and presidential qualities.

Harris' top ones: abortion, health care, competency

Trump's top ones: border, the Middle East and cost of living.

Note: Harris is +5 on change, but that's down from +9 in Sept

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

https://t.co/1nIQB9nnq9

[Meet the Press @MeetThePress]

NEW: Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are deadlocked in the latest NBC News poll.

@SteveKornacki breaks down the numbers on #MTP.

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

The NBC/Telemundo/CNBC Latino poll was conducted Sept 16-23 of 1,000 registered Latino voters, 20% of whom were interviewed in Spanish. It has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1%

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

The results from our NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC Latino poll: The Democrats' advantage with Latino voters continues to shrink: https://t.co/BC1dtfGe40

[Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics]

This is also notable in the poll: Democrats lead by 27pts on which party better addresses the concerns of the Hispanic community. But on "sharing your values," that Dem lead is 11pts -- down from 19pts in 2022