Mike Smithson

Election analyst and gambler who's been running his award winning blog since 2004. Pic is of grandad Charles campaigning in Lancashire in late 1920s

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Donald Trump and I were born within 36 days of each other in 1946. My aim is to outlive him

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Beware the Bookie rules before betting on a GE2024 overall majority – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/S7XtXZpKl2

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

The SNP’s lead in Scotland down to just 7% – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/SxHnLwxPIb

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner without a majority of votes? – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/Vl2P75JfPW

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

On health grounds alone betting that at least one of them won't be there looks like a value Smarkets bet

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Latest WH2024 polling has Biden ahead of Trump but losing to Haley – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/17IGvsGENI

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Peter Mandelson could well be right – LAB’s poll lead is artificial – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/b5MRCbSgPh

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Ken Clarke is dead right on the Rwanda bill – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/fPgY0sgN9E

[Deltapoll @DeltapollUK]

Regarding perceived economic competence, the gap between @UKLabour and @Conservatives narrows to twelve percentage points.

Come back next week for updates on all of our weekly trackers.

[David Morton @DavidMorton359]

In election year watch Opinium. It has the methodology most favourable to the Tories. Their new poll has a 15% Labour lead ( +2% ). https://t.co/TAumgIRSyB

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/ywTQ9Mj1RJ

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/IK1nLbT3hk

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

How many CON Mps will join these 52 before the election? – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s Institute of Government https://t.co/kc89wqi8xb

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

When can we expect the Home Secretary's resignation? I thought that he would have gone by now

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Nikki Haley see huge jump in latest YouGov New Hampshire poll and now just 15% behind Trump. She is my longshot bet for the nomination

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Is a negative campaign against Starmer really going to work? – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/d9xpO4TrY9

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Just 38% of GE2019 CON voters are certain to do the same next time – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/nRWZ4FgwbT

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

How to increase taxes while saying you are cutting them . Call it a "contribution" as in NIC
Are We All Trussites Now? – https://t.co/oRO4T2Ej0s https://t.co/GK9ekwKTiV

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

MOTD running order

[Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB]

Nikki Haley moves to a 5.8% net favourability lead over both Trump and Biden. She's the only one surely who can beat Trump for the GOP nomination
https://t.co/mlmH50AOxC