MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES

Global macro intelligence| market strategy|
|Focused on capital flows| and |economic cycles|
|Precision over noise....|

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

The 30D-SMA of US Spot ETF trading volume has contracted from $4.4B/day in October 2025 to $0.96B/day today, a 78% decline.

Combined with the 49% drop in DAT company volumes flagged earlier, both TradFi channels for Bitcoin exposure are signalling the same

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

U.S. debt has surpassed 100% of GDP for the first time since WWII

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX , shares are now indicated to open at $162 per share, 20% above the IPO price of $135 per share.

Shares are expected to officially begin trading soon.

[Bitinning @bitinning]

LATEST🇮🇳🇺🇸: US releases footage of its strike on the commercial vessel off Oman.

21 Indian crew rescued. 3 are still missing.

India summons US CdA.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING 🚨: Gold

Gold has now fallen below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since 2022 📉📉

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

Here are the top 10 worst days in S&P 500 🇺🇸 history

October 19th, 1987: -20.5%🔴
October 28th, 1929: -12.3%🔴
March 16th, 2020: -12%🔴
October 29th, 1929: -10.2%🔴
November 6th, 1929: -9.9%🔴
March 12th, 2020: -9.5%🔴
October 18th, 1937: -9.3%🔴
October 15th, 2008: -9%

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

What just happened?

At 9:45 AM ET, the S&P 500 was trading nearly +1.5% higher and tech stocks were sharply higher.

At 10:40 AM ET, selling pressure began to intensify without any major headlines in one of the biggest reversals of the year.

Just 2 hours later, President Trump said Iran shot down a US helicopter "last night" and that the US must "respond to this attack."

This sent the S&P 500 to a new low of the day, down 240 points since 9:45 AM ET.

In just 3 hours, the S&P 500 has erased -$2.1 trillion in market cap.

Volatility is back.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: MicroStrategy, $MSTR, announces it has bought 1,550 Bitcoin for an average price of $65,332.

Bitcoin is now trading around $63,000.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: South Korea’s stock market has been halted after falling -8.4% at the open.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: Bitcoin is now expected to fall below $50,000 this year.

There is now a record high 65% chance of Bitcoin falling below $50,000 in 2026.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

What just happened?

The S&P 500 just erased nearly -$2 TRILLION of market cap just hours after 3rd strongest US jobs report in 18 months.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is officially down over -50% from its record high in October 2025.

What's happening? Let us explain.

(a thread)

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says “stocks should go up, not down” after today’s jobs report.

“Growth does not mean inflation,” Trump says.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: The Dow extends gains to +800 points on the day and hits its highest level on record.

The historic rally continues.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: US oil prices surge over +8% to $94/barrel as Iran ends all negotiations with the US.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

🚨🚨

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 INDIAN STOCK MARKET IS BLEEDING.

₹28 TRILLION has been wiped out from the Indian stock market in just the last 28 trading sessions.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: Iran announces it is ending all negotiations with the US and vows to "completely" block the Strait of Hormuz, per CNBC.

Iran says it is ending negotiations due to repeated ceasefire violations including Israeli strikes in Lebanon.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: Iran's IRGC releases a statement saying that it has retaliated to the US strike on an Iranian military position in the Strait of Hormuz by attacking a US airbase in Kuwait.

In their statement, the IRGC says "aggression will not go unanswered."
Oil prices are up

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

Exactly 4 days ago:

"Boy, Micron is great... they could invest over $100 billion in New York."

Micron stock, $MU, has now added +$160 BILLION in market cap today alone.

The stock is now up +1,350% since April 2025.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: Micron stock, $MU, officially hits $1 trillion in market cap for the first time in history.

12 months ago, this stock was worth just $70 billion.

[MACRO_CAPITAL_STRATEGIES @Macro_Capital_]

BREAKING: President Trump says negotations with Iran will "only be a great deal for all or, no deal at all, back to the battlefront and shooting, but bigger and stronger than ever before."

He also calls on Middle East countries, including Iran, to sign on to the Abraham Accords.