POLYMARKET NOW PRICES A 70% CHANCE THE FED DOESN'T CUT RATES A SINGLE TIME IN 2026
The FOMC decision drops tomorrow at 2PM ET.
It's Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed Chair, and traders are betting he holds the line:
Zero cuts all year is now the market's base case.
The Fed is expected to keep rates in the 3.5%-3.75% range tomorrow, with all eyes on Warsh's read on inflation and how he signals the path forward.
Warsh speaks at 2:30PM ET. 🇺🇸
POLYMARKET IS NOW PRICING A 96% CHANCE TRUMP VISITS CHINA BY MAY 31
The market has rallied from the mid-60s in late April with $30.4M in volume.
Buying YES at 96 cents pays $1 if it happens. Buying NO at 4 cents pays $25 if it doesn't.
Traders are now treating the trip as effectively a done deal in the next 3 weeks.
Trump goes after Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones in lengthy post, calling them “NUT JOBS, TROUBLEMAKERS” with “Low IQs” for opposing his Iran policy.
“They think it is wonderful for Iran, the Number One State Sponsor of Terror, to have a Nuclear Weapon.”
On Carlson: “couldn’t even finish College, he was a broken man when he got fired from Fox.” On Owens: “Crazy Candace Owens.” On Jones: “says some of the dumbest things, and lost his entire fortune, as he should have.”
“They’re not ‘MAGA,’ they’re losers, just trying to latch on to MAGA.”
#FunFact: Between 1830-1885 the US Army slaughtered an estimated 40 million Buffalos to almost extinction, in an effort to starve off Native Amerikkkans.