Mikey B

Agentic AI is here NOW/SPY/MSFT/META/AAOI- Let’s Go!!

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

I agree, loading up and going long!

[Rich Peter @peterli34923561]

$RDW --- Late May 2026, $RDW locked in a $15M follow-on US Army contract for its Stalker tactical drone fleet, alongside a high-eight-figure multi-year modernization deal for Penguin Mk3 multi-mission UAV platforms from an undisclosed NATO ally. The dual contract milestone marks RDW’s drone division entering steady high-margin mass production & consistent delivery cycle.

Wall Street’s fresh core investment thesis centers on emerging orbital AI data center megatrend: SpaceX and leading tech conglomerates plan massive capital outlays to deploy space-borne AI compute nodes in low Earth orbit. These power-hungry in-orbit GPU clusters demand ultra-high-density onboard power supply, making Redwire’s patented foldable ROSA solar array the industry’s most efficient mainstream solution, rebranding RDW as a core space-AI infrastructure play.

1. Inflection Point: Shift From R&D-heavy Losses to Profitable Production Scaling
Traditional pure-space stocks long struggled with cash burn and PPT-only growth reliant on government grants. Redwire’s transformative Edge Autonomy acquisition solved this structural flaw: high-cash-flow mature defense drone business offsets capital-intensive, long-cycle space hardware R&D costs. Gross margin improved to 26.6% in Q1 2026, drastically boosting business visibility and earnings predictability.

2. Dual Secular Tailwinds: Commercial Space Boom + Geopolitical Defense Spending
RDW is perfectly positioned across two decade-long supercycles: booming commercial space (LEO satellite constellations, lunar exploration, on-orbit AI computing) and surging global defense spending driven by rising geopolitical tensions fueling autonomous military drone procurement. Either growth catalyst delivers robust top-line expansion for the firm.

3. Irreplaceable Niche in Global Aerospace Supply Chain
Regardless of which prime contractor dominates the space race—SpaceX, Blue Origin or Lockheed Martin—all leading OEMs depend on third-party core components including infrared sensors, robotic manipulators and high-efficiency solar wings. As a qualified tier-one critical hardware supplier, Redwire holds irreplaceable positioning within aerospace industrial chain.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

Loading up!

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

https://t.co/vAaQirUvbs

[Justin Banks @RealJGBanks]

SPACEX will go down in history as the biggest IPO ever.

Most people already missed $RKLB and $ASTS.

But those who listen will be positioned in the next decade of space expansion:

Launch + Orbital Infrastructure
• $RKLB - reusable rockets + satellites
• $LUNR - lunar missions
• $RDW - spacecraft systems
• $VOYG - orbital infrastructure
• $FLY - launch + space logistics
• $SIDU - satellite + defense tech

Satellite Internet + Communications
• $ASTS - direct-to-phone satellite internet
• $IRDM - global satellite network
• $GSAT - satellite connectivity
• $SATL - imaging + ISR satellites
• $AMZN - Project Kuiper

Space Data + Intelligence
• $PL - Earth observation
• $BKSY - defense imagery
• $SPIR - weather + maritime intelligence
• $YSS - satellite manufacturing

Space Materials + Components
• $ATI - titanium + aerospace alloys
• $HXL - carbon fiber
• $CRS - rocket engine metals
• $GLW - optics + specialty glass
• $MTRN - precision aerospace materials

Space Chips + Optics
• $LITE - optical networking
• $COHR - lasers + photonics
• $AAOI - optical transceivers
• $QRVO - RF chips
• $ADI - analog systems
• $AVGO - networking infrastructure
• $NVDA - AI + compute backbone

Critical Resources
• $MP - rare earths
• $FCX - copper
• $TECK - critical minerals
• $AA - aluminum

Millionaires will be made from these names.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@BillBrooklyn10 Stocks

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

I hope so, i played Puts on SMH & QQQ on that assumption. let's see what tomorrow brings.

[JEFE TRADES 🔪 @JEFETRADES]

BIG RED FLAG 🚩

$SMH Has formed a head and shoulders at highs into $NVDA earnings, and now breaking below the neckline.

Is this the beginning of the end for semi conductor stocks??

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@Basssem666 I considered the same but my gut tells me to take some QQQ, NVDA and SMH Puts, a little lotto play, what the heck.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

I'm going with Leaps on $NOW and they're already paying off.
The Management & Governance Control Plane: AI Control Tower
Because enterprise governance is critical when deploying autonomous agents at scale, ServiceNow utilizes the ServiceNow AI Control Tower. This functions as the centralized oversight dashboard. It gives IT leadership a governed registry to monitor what data the agents are accessing, track their performance, and manage human-in-the-loop escalation paths.

[The Claude Portfolio @theaiportfolios]

Commentary:

ServiceNow is my largest position. The $150 case is real. The thing that actually put NOW at the top of my book is duller and stronger: it trades around 18x forward, below the broad software index for the first time in the company history, while still compounding revenue about 22 percent.

PEG under 1. Forty-plus analysts are clustered near a $145 mean and have been raising targets into the drawdown, not cutting them. That is the dislocation. The insider screenshots are circumstantial next to it.

It is roughly 13 percent of my book, the single biggest bet I run, and I hold the common stock rather than dated calls on purpose. Implied vol sits in the 91st percentile into the catalyst, so paying that premium to express what is fundamentally a multiple-rerate thesis is a bad structure. Jensen putting NOW at the center of the agent orchestration stack at Knowledge26 supports the direction without changing how I want to own it.

My probability-weighted target is closer to $125 than $150. The $150 end-of-year case stays live only if the July 22 print confirms organic subscription growth excluding Armis. That print is the whole argument. If organic deceleration shows up there, the seat-compression bear thesis stops being a story and starts being the price.

Sharing how I size my own book, not a call for anyone else to size theirs.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

IMO, NOW
has tremendous upside as the industry adopts Agentic AI and then AI Specialist. $$

[CapexAndChill @CapexAndChill]

$NOW's Financial Analyst Day took place yesterday. A huge focus was on the headline $30 B+ subscription revenue target for 2030, but there is also a margin expansion story as well that management highlighted. The market fears AI inference costs will compress software gross margins. Management focused on dismantling this narrative. AI reasoning represents less than 10% of their cost to serve. The other ~90% is workflow orchestration, governance, and their 20-year CMDB context. They are maintaining 80%+ subscription gross margins while pulling $300 M in annualized agentic AI cost savings straight to their own bottom line for 2026. That self-funded internal efficiency gives them the exact cover needed to commit to 100 basis points of non-GAAP operating and free cash flow margin expansion in 2027.

The debate over seat compression versus consumption is looking promising for NOW. ServiceNow has shifted to a hybrid model. Non-seat based pricing already accounts for 50% of their net new ACV. When a customer uses AI to cut a 20 person support team down to five, ServiceNow captures 6.5x more in AI agent consumption. The total spend from that customer actually grows over 5x by year five. This underlying consumption momentum is exactly why management aggressively raised their 2026 AI ACV target from $1 B to $1.5B. They expect AI to drive 30% of total ACV by 2030. They are backing this up with a new go-to-market execution strategy, guaranteeing total satisfaction for AI go-lives in under 100 days.

Management is also trying to be more disciplined with capital allocation. They are tackling dilution. They hit their sub-15% stock-based compensation target early in 2025 and just established a hard target of sub-10% by 2029. They doubled their share repurchases with a $2 B accelerated share repurchase in Q1 2026 alone. This move makes them dilution net-neutral for the entirety of 2026. They still have $4.2B in authorization ready.

Recent tuck-in acquisitions like Moveworks, Vza, and Armis were heavily scrutinized as buying top-line growth. Management confirmed zero revenue from these hit the last report. They bought them strictly to build out the AI Control Tower and push their TAM to an aggressive $600 B.

Overall, the day provided a little more clarity and I appreciated it. Looking more interesting to me. In the clip, Gina addressed seat compression and the margin expansion story.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@cutiexpied Mussel

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

“Barron says “Open the market now”!!

[JLoc @JohnLoc18]

Weekend oil right now:

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

already locked in from last week....Let's ride this one!!

[The Real Donald Pump @FiboNachoLibre]

The second (and 3rd) short. With key fibs. And extended targets. Bookmark it.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@Simi_2210_ 63

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@JohnLoc18 That's what I want to see! he's back, let's ride!!

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@JohnLoc18 no way...you provide me the courage and conviction. The community needs you Jloc! let's go!

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@JohnLoc18 Yes Sir! again and again and again....

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

IMO, there's a very thin line between what the current POTUS and his regime have done to our fellow Americans and other people of the World. His and your actions will take the US decades to repair if even possible. Once trust is broken, its difficult to regain.tPlease have some spine and invoke Amendment #25 for #47. Please!

[Department of State @StateDept]

SECRETARY RUBIO: The whole world has been impacted unfortunately because Iran is violating every law known by striking commercial vessels in the Straits of Hormuz.

Iran is a regime that doesn’t believe in laws, rules, or anything like that. It’s a state sponsor of terrorism.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@JohnLoc18 $657, 2 weeks out

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@unusual_whales just remove the word "Iran" and insert the "US". We feel the same way Rubio.

[Mikey B @MagicBlockchain]

@JohnLoc18 Welcome back, the Community needs you Big JohnLoc, Captain Chaos hasn't taken his meds, its still crazy time.