Part of the reason forecasting the stock market and the economy is so hard is because you are the only person in the world who thinks the world operates the way you do.
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Successful investing demands a price. But its currency is not dollars and cents. It's volatility, fear, doubt, uncertainty and regret - all of which are easy to overlook until you're dealing with them in real time.
- The Psychology of Money
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Jeff Bezos once asked Warren Buffett: "You're the second richest guy in the world. Your investment thesis is so simple. Why don't more people just copy you?"
To which Buffett replied, "Because nobody wants to get rich slow."
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Invest in businesses, not in stories.
Yes, some stories will eventually become reality. But what's the probability of you choosing the right ones? Maybe 1 in 100.
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With so many stock market 'gurus' who are predicting the market there's no doubt that someone will be right from time to time.
However, no one can consistently be right predicting the market.
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One statement you're tired of hearing from the investing community?
I'll go first : "If you had bought X shares of Infosys in 1995, you'd have Rs. 100 Crores by now".
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