Mags Near and Far

Geordie in London commenting on all things toon related. News, rumours, quiz questions and mischief.

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@Pooliemags1Ttv If we do sell them and bank £70-Gordon, £85-sandy, £65-hall, £35-Barnes, £50-Tino, £10-willock, £25-elanga. 340m in all. Reshape the whole squad with that. Properly move us forward. One in one out we’ll end up with a worse team no point in my eyes. Get radical with it

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@SheikhKhaledd I know what you mean, after last summer we can’t guarantee we’ll buy the required quality. That said we were bang on for so long I was thinking they’ve got to get a dud at some point. Now I’m like we got so many duds last season surely we’re due some gems

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@NUFCcook Mostly, there’s some cashflow discounting but it won’t make much difference

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@NSpares Moment of the season: Man U at home

Best signing of the season: Ramsey

Worst signing of the season: Wissa/elanga

Goal of the season: osula vs Man U

Biggest disappointment: derby

First player you want out the door: wissa

First player in the door (realistic): a young winger

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@FBAwayDays @MartP1979 It’s 30 degrees in London, blokes going to smell honking by full time

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@johnnyarm1982 @slbsn @bazza080808 @KieranMaguire They’ll probably look at their income forecasts for Y27. Can spend over 70% whilst not in Europe in 26 and expect revenues to grow with Europe qualification which would bring them under 70% for 27. Also wierd quirk prem SCR is from June to June where Europe is calendar year

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@AdamP1242 Agree with you with one caveat. I think Murphy’s good for the dressing room so as a 3rd choice RW I’d keep him around. I’d listen to good offers for thiaw and Botman. Ie if we’re getting an over £50m I’d sell and refresh.

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@Bazro10 @Pooliemags1Ttv Yeah you’re right. The figure I saw was €22m signed for 5 year deal so €4.4m amortisation cost gives a book value at 30th June 26 of €13.2m with next seasons SCR his cost will be €4.4m plus wages let’s say €2.6 so anything over €5.2m will improve our SCR

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@Pooliemags1Ttv Any thing over €8.8m will be better/not as bad as not selling him

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@Magpie24_7 €22m 5 year contract has an amortisation charge of €4.4m a year so his book value at 30th June 26 will be €13.2m with a charge of €4.4m next season anything over €8.8m improves our position financially

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

Eddie Howes Cardiac arrest mags #nufc

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@EarlofLeuven @xGPhilosophy They’re not inconsistencies their intentional design choices. XG ignores rare, non-repeatable event so it remains a stable baseline instead of a hindsight model. Sounds like you’re judging xG against a job it isn’t designed for

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@EarlofLeuven @xGPhilosophy People only take risky actions when conditions are perfect. Success after the fact doesn’t make the action high probability in general. In stats it’s call survivorship bias, you only see the times it worked not all the time it didn’t

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@EarlofLeuven @xGPhilosophy Half court shots go in in basketball when the clocks expiring and the players wide open. That doesn’t mean it’s a high percentage play all the time.

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@EarlofLeuven @xGPhilosophy So far the variance per game is 0.053 XG. That incredibly close but the variance is context like skill and situation. XG ultimately gives us plenty information but we mustn’t kid ourselves that it’s a silver bullet. Football isn’t painting by xG

[Mags Near and Far @MagsNear]

@EarlofLeuven @xGPhilosophy more 0.02 xG shots going in isn’t true. Has there been a shot from beyond the halfway line yet this season? And went it does happen does it affect the overall figures in a meaning full way over the course of a whole season.