$ES Session Insights: Thursday, 30th Apr'26
If you're serious about trading, you don't want to miss this. I have talked about;
- Initial Bias Shift
- NQ x ES Value Area Confluence
- NQ Weekly Plan Confluence
- Event Nuance
#ES_F | $ES_F | #EdgebyRS - Clarity First / Action Next
@DXBMediaOffice That is very true indeed. My family has been in the UAE for more than 100 years. My great grandfather was coming here via ship to trade spices for Arabian pearls.
We proudly continue to call UAE and Dubai our home and feel safe here and have faith in the leadership.
$ES Interaction at the Levels 🎯
Reflective Study: Alpha Below 👇
This was a classic post event unwind week. When events fail to accelerate a trend, short term participants are forced to liquidate, and that is precisely what played out. As always, the auction gave us real-time guidance through three recurring elements: Exhaustions, Event Ranges, and Balance Rules, all unfolding at pre-identified zones, while the LIS Framework and MGI provided the execution roadmap throughout. Let’s break it down.
Monday opened with a textbook overnight trap. A gap down triggered downside exhaustion directly into 6,866/74, a level already marked on the plan. By RTH, ES had reclaimed Friday’s Inside Day range and Friday’s VAL, attracting responsive buyers and initiating an opening drive higher. Inside Day Rules kicked in and initiated a full rotation back to Friday’s High 6,991 and Thursday’s High near 7,021.
Key learning: Overnight gaps not driven by fresh events often exhaust at important structural levels. Awareness of these zones turns what looks like “catching a knife” into a measured, tactical trade. Add Balance Rules to the mix, and failed breaks often deliver trend moves.
Tuesday shifted character. Responsive sellers defended Weekly VAH around 7,020s, forming a clear multi-session LIS Framework Short across Asia, London, and RTH. That sustained hold below Weekly VAH confirmed seller strength and ultimately led to liquidation once IBL broke, especially as last week’s Event Low (6,975) flipped to resistance.
Key learning: Failed balance rotations, once validated, often unwind back to origin and beyond. Directional strength reveals itself in stages through acceptance and rejection at value, IB ranges, and larger balance areas.
Wednesday was clean and technical. Tuesday’s IB breakdown at 6,954 converted into resistance, validating seller control and guiding ES toward the untested Asia Low at 6,866. That move pushed ES back into the Lower Distribution and confirmed value migration lower had initiated.
Key learning: Untested overnight levels often respond after meaningful pullbacks, particularly when they previously hosted major reversals. Events (GOOG ER) also cap moves once structural repair is complete. The post event pause at 6,933, the London Low, flipping into resistance reinforced that the downside auction was still unfinished and highlighted the importance of London edges.
Thursday opened with a gap down into 6,835/42 (Prior lift off) and bounced to 6,880, narrowly missing the 6,990 Value Gap. That rejection was not random. It reflected rejection of Wednesday’s lows, preserved Gap Rules, and rolled price down to clean up the premarket low at 6,814 before finding support (LIS Long) at 6,808, the Balance Top, with LIS Long confirmation.
Key learning: Gap Rules indicated downside continuation, it’s important to watch if Gap n Go is into a structural level - in this case, it was the Balance Top at 6,808, that’s when a counter trade is a high probability one. A similar action to Wednesday’s session where AMZN ER (Event) caps extreme moves and it’s noteworthy Gap had exhausted to the downside. That’s 2x confirmation.
Friday did the opposite of Tuesday in respect to auction development. London printed a higher low versus Asia, ES reclaimed the Balance Top at 6,808/18, and RTH opened near Thursday’s VAH around 6,950s. The first tell was initiative buying at VAH, an inversion of Tuesday’s behavior. From there, buyers defended each reference, Period A high, value, and pivots, confirming immediate strength.
Key learning: Track the usual suspects, Asia and London edges, value areas, IB levels, pivots, and LIS confirmations. Strong auctions staircase cleanly; weak ones unravel the same way.
This week wasn’t about hindsight. The clues were there in real time. Structure framed the opportunity, levels defined the risk, and execution followed. That’s the edge.
#ES_F | $ES_F | #EdgebyRS - Clarity First / Action Next.
Out Now: This week’s $ES Plan.
What changed, what hasn’t, and exactly where the next battle is fought.
Post thanksgiving and pre-fomc, upside is now limited and we can expect two sided activity soon!
Link Below 👇
#ES_F | $ES_F | #EdgebyRS - Clarity First / Action Next.
This is just a glimpse into my thought process...
The WHY & HOW answered...
We had every inch of this move stitched up
But the notes should give you a good picture on
WHY we were Long at 6,522/42
WHY we held and added at 6,677 (Yesterday) and 6,794 (Today). Levels as noted in the ES Weekly Plan
HOW we got the Confidence to HOLD
Your questions are welcome and thoughts appreciated. ❤️
Happy Thanksgiving 🦃
Chart Link:
https://t.co/GraBxnUZCQ
#ES_F | $ES_F | #EdgebyRS - Clarity First / Action Next
Yesterday #ES_F longs triggered on 6638-42 reclaim for Thanksgiving Rally. Targets I gave at 8am were 6701 main (hit). 6716, 6733, 6755 were bonus. 6733 just hit.
Plan: Hold runner. 6716, 6701 (watch traps)=supports. 6733, 6742, 6755, 6764 next up.
6701 fails, dip 6685 6668-70