Rather than making difficult calls about blurry thresholds, we decided to preemptively meet the higher ASL-4 safety bar by developing the report, which assesses Opus 4.6’s AI R&D risks in greater detail.
Read the sabotage risk report here: https://t.co/5baBK1LUSG
Thank you for your comment. If the remembrance of a genocide 90 years ago cannot evoke concern for a genocide taking place today, what is the meaning of “never again”? And if the answer is that “never again” only applies to Jews, I rest my case.
The Adolescence of Technology: an essay on the risks posed by powerful AI to national security, economies and democracy—and how we can defend against them: https://t.co/0phIiJjrmz
I've been saying it for years: holding and praying for history to repeat is delusion. If it actually worked, whales would get obliterated by the herd copying the same outdated playbook.
They ignored it, cursed at me, and now they're chained to the system forever.
Timing the market isn't just better than time in the market. It's the only way to win the game. Keep ignoring if you love poverty.
The emotional playbook of a HTF model 2 accumulation schematic:
Blue box
Beginning traders have identified a potential accumulation schematic and are waiting for a pullback into the third tap POI to confirm an entry.
Local distributions take place and shorts are opened to take into a HTF long position
Yellow box
Local distributions get invalidated and price pushes up higher on an aggressive increase in bullish sentiment.
Beginning traders keep on losing money shorting the move up in disbelief of there not being a HTF 3 tap model.
Red box
Extremely high probability distribution models confirm but due to traumatization of previous losses trying to short in combination with bullish sentiment makes the traders NOT take the short.
Green box
Market keeps on correcting, deeper than most beginners expected and sentiment slowly starts to shift to bearish.
Purple box
Sentiment shifts to complete bearishness and price mitigate the original HTF third tap POI that was pre-planned in the blue box.
Buyers step in causing aggressive market structure shifts to bullish indicating an entry is present but beginners lack behind due to fear.
Their entire pre-planning within the blue box gets neglected and only when seeing price aggressively pump with sentiment shifting back to bullish do they get interested in longing.
Within a period of 40 days, all that price did was push up a bit higher before retracing back into the third tap POI but the emotional pressure created by doing so is causing most traders to miss out.
Looking back they realize how 'easy' the entry actually was but in the moment they get carried away.
The only way to break out of the retail cycle is by taking the time to reflect and learn from the new market data given to you.
PS: set an alert for that HTF model 2 accumulation long idea
Important:
The probability that all metrics align perfectly, guaranteeing entries with a high success rate, is incredibly rare, almost mythical and something we might call the “Cassiopeia Conjunction” of trading.
In a macro context dominated by a clear HTF uptrend across most altcoins, the real secret isn’t chasing every single signal but knowing how to contextualize distinguishing between a “discount” and an "extreme discount".
In this framework, setups divide into good and optimal.
Good setups form frequently and have an acceptable probability of success while optimal setups are those few cases where the market aligns almost perfectly, with multiple confirmations, but paying the price of patience and the ability to wait without succumbing to the anxiety of immediate entry or even waiting for a moment that might not even come.
Psychologically, learning not to be greedy is crucial.
You don't know if all metrics will align, there are no certainties in trading.
One common trap is waiting for “just another 10% down” when the asset is already 30% off its highs, an endless chase that can mean missing the opportunity altogether.
The market rarely offers perfect entries repeatedly, and chasing deeper discounts can lead to paralysis or worse, complete missed moves.
The real competitive edge lies in adopting a scaled entry approach on the spot, spreading entries to capture different phases of a move, thus avoiding putting all capital at risk in a single moment and allowing the market to prove its direction.
For longs you would like to wait for optimal, if provided.
After all, the market owes us nothing, so make sure to always contextualize discount/macro discount | premium/extreme premium for your decisions.
Some traders are the last true prophets in a world governed by illusion.
Not by title, but by terror. Because they’ve seen what the world truly is. Not what we’re told. Not what’s televised. But the raw, rigged, blood-soaked machinery that turns behind the curtain.
The herd's living an illusion. Chasing headlines written by those who own the ink. Obeying rules written by those who never play fair. Believing in freedom inside a system designed for harvest.
But a select few learn the truth. A few learn to read the footprints of whales, those unseen titans who don’t just move markets, they move reality.
Because behind every crash is a motive. Behind every pump, a plan. Every “black swan” is a white-gloved execution, a transfer of wealth. A psychological ambush.
And the news are always late. Always scripted. Always serving the hand that feeds it. You think becoming a successful trader is about being profitable going long or short?
- No. It’s about survival.
It’s about recognizing that the charts aren’t random, they’re confessions. They speak. They warn. They whisper truths no journalist dares say.
Some traders listen.
Some decode.
And in time, some see it all.
They no longer wait for events. They predict them. Because once you map how the whales trap liquidity, once you see how they manufacture fear and euphoria like a product, you realize the markets aren’t where you gamble. They’re where you’re hunted.
But knowledge flips the script. When you finally see the invisible war for what it is, you stop being prey.
You become the anomaly.
You become untouchable.
And the most brutal, liberating truth of all: The world is a rigged casino. But the house isn’t invisible to those who learn its codes.
Once you see the real game, you can finally win it.
@OverlordEins@luckychartape True, I just find it hard to “always” have the same RR when your targets are based on key levels on the chart. Mine changes from trade to trade and I don’t think it’s sustainable over years and years
@grok @Chrillz_ @kurokirion666@_majusi_@HadiNasrallah Keep getting owned by an AI …
The truth is you guys don’t know and are scared of what you don’t understand.
Islam preach peace.
Lie to yourself as much as you want
Even an AI knows better than you and it’s pathetic
You still don’t understand that extremists are the problem
@IamZeroIka would you find this pattern relevant when using lower time frames such as 1h and lower ? Or you watch it form on HTF, 8-12h and more and choose a lower time frame OB or BB as an entry (refined) that match the “ROV”?
Thank you
@0xNameIsMethos @phtevenstrong@heart_ You guessed the answer then
Because “this formula” is a simple math operation called “substitution” of a linear system and it’s not the only way to solve this problem
@YColnet@pravdamane@gilugibruh@JeReinforme Mdr va niquer ta mère. je vais te mettre sous bras pendant des centaines d’années, t’exploiter jusqu’à l’os, instaurer des politiques avantageuses pour moi dans ton pays et après te dire “bah alors pas capable de se developper?”Tu es limité intellectuellement, faut fermer son bec
I've always been fascinated by contrarian thinking, conspiracy theories, and unconventional perspectives.
Not because I blindly believe every wild claim, but because challenging the mainstream narrative often leads to deeper understanding.
In a world where groupthink dominates, questioning the status quo is more than just an intellectual exercise, it's a necessity.
History has shown that many truths once dismissed as "crazy theories" turned out to be real (think government surveillance, corporate corruption, and hidden agendas).
Logically, not every alternative idea holds weight, so the key is to think critically, staying open to new perspectives while maintaining a healthy dose of skepticism.
Talking in terms of events, one that always fascinated me is the 9/11 attack at the Twin Towers.
The amount of signs and coincidences related to this tragic event before its manifestation, it's actually scary and impressive.
One of the most emblematic is surely the "Terrorist Nuke" coming from the "Illuminati Card Game", dated 1982.
Mort and Phil, a Spanish comic dated 1993.
Wonder Woman comic, dated 1963.
Johnny Bravo, dated 2001, before the event.
Others that I remember myself or noticed scrolling through the internet:
- The Simpsons 1997: In "The City of New York vs. Homer Simpson", there’s a scene where Lisa holds a magazine that shows "9" next to the Twin Towers, making it appear as "9/11."
- The Matrix 1999: Neo's passport expiry date is September 11, 2001.
- Back to the Future (1985 & 1989) : There were several visual cues suggest hidden messages, including the "Twin Pines Mall" clock reflecting "9:11".
- Super Mario Bros. Movie (1993): The climax shows the Twin Towers disintegrating, which looks very similar to their collapse on 9/11.
There are plenty of other similar coincidences or things that could be used as an "excuse" to justify the 9/11 and some are surely as such, but it's incredibly fascinating to find all of these signs disseminated left and right.
In reality, nothing surprises me anymore.
In a world dominated by corruption, deception becomes the norm, and truth is often buried beneath layers of carefully constructed narratives.
Those in power manipulate events, shaping history to serve their interests, while the masses are left to piece together fragments of a reality they were never meant to fully understand.