Menny

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Cybertank367 Please do, team left already

[Marry Evan @marryevan999]

I AM QUITTING MY JOB TO GO FULL IN CLAUDE

Just asked him to:

"Analyze misspriced Polymarket markets opportunities for arbitrage and find wallets that are using it to copy"

Turned $2K into $12K in one night
Monitored ~1k+ wallets

I just realized that there are many arbitrage bots that I can't beat without code knowledge

But I can find them and copy

So Claude created a monitoring terminal and copytraded found wallets using TG copytrading bot

It's not a script and not even the bot, it's an AI agent that is improving with each found wallet

Fetching wallet behaviour, how it's trading, arbitrage, what's sized and timings

70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profit

Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:

1. Comment the word 'Claude'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me @marryevan999 (so i can DM you)

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC

Nice drop further. Below midrange, I get excited again. So just keep waiting while early longs get rinsed over and over again

Alright! Nice slide further down the slope on bitcoin. Making our plan to just wait before longing again age neatly in the context of our FOMC reversal we have been talking about ever since reaching 74.2k.

The lower it goes, the more satisfied we should be as it gets closer and closer to midrange.

I had some questions when I do go long again. So that's the level I want to see at least as it stands, it sits at 66.5k.

Any alternative would be a close above our key level of 76k we pointed out at the time, to go long as a backup in case we get front run completely.

Don't think that is happening however. Every time I mentioned an FOMC reversal in my post history, and every time we see over excitement into both positions and the leadup into it, which we did see, we get a decent countertrend such as we are seeing now.

I know you are all tired of me talking about the FOMC reversal, as if it's the only thing on the planet.

But it's key in this instance, especially given how frothy the market was into our 76k key level as well as afterwards when getting closer to FOMC.

Quite sad about the short we fumbled at 73.7k regarding execution. It even ended the win streak. A clear example of how analysis can be spot on but execution slipping can cost.

I apologize for that one, would have been great to book another win.

But my aim is always to keep you on track as soon as possible. Safe to say, completely holding off on longs ever since 74.2k (since the quoted post) despite my bullish bias, is as on track as it gets.

So, still waiting my turn as the drop develops further, still don't think it is over yet.

However, don't get it twisted thinking I am bearish. Because I am not. As I do look to get long again. Long stands for buying. And buying should only be done when you are bullish.

This range eventually resolves to the upside even if it takes a while to break out and above our 76k key level.

I'll be here to get you through that, until, we actually break out. But until then, it's just one of those times to be patient before we can time our long entry again.

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC

Account doubled in 1.5 months (5% risk per trade on average) ✅

Here's how I did it (secrets to trading philosophy revealed)

Alright, just doubled my account from trading the range so far since start of Feb. And, to many of you, that should be to no surprise, because these trades are all built on the backbone of our macro range masterplan since the very day it started, of calling the bottom in live time (Feb 6), range high, and range low.

That range is still holding more than 1 month later. And in alignment, we have simply continued to trade it so far without failure.

Many of you have been able to replicate a large part of that success since I share (almost) all of my entries and exits live, telling you exactly when to get in, and when to get out.

But regardless, even if you copied all my moves, doesn't necessarily mean you doubled your account. That's exactly why I often get asked how much I exactly make, because there is one parameter I don't often talk about, which is how much I risk per trade in exact sense.

And while I don't like to reveal PnL numbers too often to not draw unwanted attention, I can share relative numbers since risk is related to just that, regardless of your size.

After all, risk is personal, and should be treated that way.

Besides, it's treated as too holy. There is way too much emphasis on having an exact defined risk, and misinterpreted as needing a stoploss in an exact location (market makers love to hunt you), so that you can plan your exact risk and know exactly how fast your account will grow and exactly when you can retire.

In reality, trading is quite different, but it's a good kind of different. Because planning retirmenent like that, to any critical mind, is nothing but a pipe dream.

So this all leads to revealing a part of my trading philosophy, to help you avoid such traps and continue your journey in the right direction and especially not the wrong direction.

Keep in mind, my philosophy is personal, and is often considered an unpopular opinion. It certainly is not for everyone. But if you have been liking my trades, enjoy how they feel and the stress free aspect of it as well as the real (as real as it gets) results they bring, then you're welcome in advance for the sneak peek in my trading philosophy I'm sharing here.

#1 Win rate is more important than RR

Unpopular opinion number 1 indeed. Because only high RR's look flashy and clean on social media. Only 10 RR+'s seem as if the trader exactly knows what he's doing. And it's very effective for selectively sharing posts too.

In reality though, going for 10RR+ trades means no partials at all before hitting 5RR say, which means your trade could run to 6RR, hit all your targets except your most ambitious ones, and still result in a loss.

So, even while your edge is working well, you still probably eat many losses before seeing the winning effect of your edge. That gap is frustrating because it means you have to sometimes wait days/weeks (multiple losing trades) before seeing results, which is also detrimental if you want to test a new edge (which may not be an edge in the first place).

Instead, partials earlier, reduces your RR, and increases win rate because you already eliminate. If your 6RR or 7RR still hits, then you still take home 3RR or so net, instead of -1RR.

This allows for steadier growth, allows you to see pretty quickly if you are doing a good job, the very next 1 or two trades, allows you to steer and adjust quickly, and by principle of risk optimisation, also allows you to risk more, and so your account ends up growing faster.

It also allows you to redeploy partials if price retraces locally, and it still keeps you winning even if your final target isn't hit.

You have all seen how I pinpoint entries quite exact, but then sometimes we don't get final target, or get front run, but still walk home with the win.

Finally, it also allows you to keep runners which increase drastically on big trending moves. Since, if you go for a 10RR+ trade, I assure you once you hit 10RR without having taken much partial, you are very tempted to close all (I mean congrats, you just hit a homerun).

But if price runs further, you feel unexposed and so you feel the strongest emotion in trading: FOMO whereas if you keep runners, you still end up with a 50RR plus runner sometimes, getting an average return of 10RR anyways, whilst keeping your high win rate, the irony.

Instead leaving runners always keeps you exposed, especially when executed well in alignment with your high timeframe idea.

There are some more reasons, but let's keep this post not too lengthy and move on to the second unpopular opinion:

#2 Fixed position sizing - variable risk, is better than fixed risk - variable position sizing.

Another very unpopular opinion. "No defined risk, no trade", "no SL, no trade", "no invalidation, no trade".

The single biggest misunderstanding by far, is that a stop loss is the same as an invalidation. It's not.

So instead of telling your broker (crypto exchange) exactly where you force yourself to sell, either directly (with a stoploss order), or, indirectly.

Indirectly as in: with a higher position size i.e. telling your broker your stoploss/liquidation is closer, or vice versa, lower position size, telling your broker your stoploss is further away, and yes, the AI is very good at finding your forced selling point nowadays.

Instead, using a fixed position size (say always 2x of your account), leaves the broker completely in the unknown.

On top, it also allows you to locally monitor on set intervals whether to get in or to get out. Sometimes, you get out beyond analytical invalidation, sometimes, before your analytical invalidation, on average usually around it.

And because you use fixed position size, your invalidation width determines risk. Keep that consistent, and so will your risk be approximately.

My results

So I just laid out my philosophy. You know me, I don't leave it at that, we actually have been calling all these moves step by step, and they have led to these results.

Closing 6 wins in a row, but in the graph, a steady increase due to partials and all other elements of my exact philosophy, mostly reaching my final target (about 6-8 RR away from entry/inval), with partials, ending mostly around 2-3RR on average after fees per trade.

And with an SL width mostly 1-3.5% wide, and a fixed position size of 2x or 3x leverage (you already know), that results in a variable risk per trade ranging 3 - 8% approx.

On average around 5% risk per trade give or take, and with 6 trades closed, 0 losses, 6 wins, that ends up in 1.12^6 = 1.97 x or about a double on the account.

Say you have not been risking my amount and say go for 1x on account, then average risk using my method is less, say 2.5%, then you might have ended up with: 1.06^6 = 40% gain in 1.5 months, very good indeed.

Even if you missed a trade entirely: 1.05^6 = 34%, still amongst the top 100 traders in the robins cup.

Summary

So my philosophy, assuming accurate analysis allows you to:

➡️Have way more winners
➡️Have way less losers
➡️Risk more
➡️Allow runners
➡️Stress out less for being front run on your target and still losing
➡️Stress out less about getting close to target 5 times before hitting it on the 6th
➡️Stress out less about micromanaging your trade because the market is volatile
➡️Etc, etc etc.

There of course is more to it, but without a doubt, here is a big (the biggest) step on the path towards...

the dream of profitable and stress free trading.

Enjoy.

[Tips Excel @gudanglifehack]

BREAKING: Claude can now run your entire social media strategy like a $500/hour social media manager. For free.

Here are 7 prompts you should be using right now:

Save this before it goes viral.

[Menny @Mantide11]

https://t.co/i13TOOmZ8X

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Jew_Yorkorican @GladesAI Scammer son of a fucking bitch motherfucker! Hitler was right!

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Jew_Yorkorican Jew bastard thief piece of shit

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Jew_Yorkorican @GladesAI This jew thief. I guess Hitler was right.

[TMoneyCooks @tmoneycooks]

Added to my bag of $Beans here.

Classic Meme & Teams Been Pushing for over a year.

Real Community's and Real Memes deserve to win.

GWKVEeU49wnoAjSxdWK861SZUD6ewTWMwcKiiTE6UZE7

[Menny @Mantide11]

@astronomer_zero Astro check dm please! URGENT

[Menny @Mantide11]

@ggcripto Ma che cazzo di ragionamenti fai sei proprio un coglione

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Jew_Yorkorican @GladesAI Scammers

[Menny @Mantide11]

@CallumMeppy Thanks you son of a bitch

[Menny @Mantide11]

@Vinayapr23 can you give some updates? I see you are claiming fees more than once a day, so can you please inform us what is your plan? Can you be more communicative?

[TMoneyCooks @tmoneycooks]

Worldstar covered this story on their instagram.

India is directly working on a resolution.

Beware, when they take action it could spark national outrage. We will see this all over the news. Think Harambe.

It could happen at any moment

$elephant

https://t.co/xYyjRgz8F4