Marc - NATB

Political writer at:

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

This is excellent news for Kettering.

[Rosie Wrighting MP @rosie_wrighting]

It’s the honour of my life to represent my home.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

Finding some of the analysis of these results to be quite shocking, actually. I'm not a Green voter, but when you have as many seats as Reform, surely you warrant as much importance?

[Alex Wickham @alexwickham]

99% of seats declared

Labour 410
Tories 119
Lib Dems 71
SNP 8
Reform 4
Green 4

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@Beyond_Topline Have always loved reading your analysis, Josh. Writing it, keeping up with it, I know myself, is exhausting, and I wish you the best for your next venture - DMs are open if you'd ever like to keep in touch :)

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

I'm assuming Sunak has his voter ID tucked neatly away in his pocket somewhere... Or that'd be really embarrassing, wouldn't it?

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@Number10cat The question is, Larry, who would you prefer to live with?

#nationwantstoknow

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

Still a masterpiece.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

A particularly big problem and one of the first that'll greet Labour [alongside the issues over Tata Steel] if/when they enter government.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@AdamBienkov National service pledges and "bold plans" aside, I'm probably a bit more concerned about what Sunak is doing to address the ongoing crisis in the prisons and probationary service which is happening... well, right now, actually, having been left to fester for years.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@AdamBienkov National service pledges and "bold plans" aside, I'm probably a bit more concerned about what Sunak is doing to address the ongoing crisis in the prisons and probationary service which is happening... well, right now, actually, having been left to fester for years.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

Considering the amount of working parents who try to find this work/life balance on a daily basis - not just Fridays - I'm not entirely sure how much of a 'gotcha' line this is.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

👀

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW MRP: Labour 99% Certain To Win More Seats Than in 1997

Labour on Course to Win 484 seats.

The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition.

Probabilistic seat count:
LAB 484
CON 64
LD 61
SNP 10
RFM 7
PC 3
GRN 3

34,558 interviews conducted online and on the telephone

https://t.co/KJmLymP0lh

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@PolitlcsUK Racism and homophobia aside, I'm also curious about these comments made in relation to the legalities of Reform's campaign expenditure in Clacton:

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@krishgm The only thing extraordinary about it is that he's alienated a number of voters that probably agree with the language that he has spent his entire time as Prime Minister attempting to cultivate.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@AdamBienkov Fondly remembering when Sunak called out Robert Jenrick's language for what it was.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@PolitlcsUK The Reform Party is an absolute hive for the far right and racists, and Conservative Party policy has been designed to cultivate that support.

He can't complain about it now that it's been made so evident. It was always there.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@PolitlcsUK As interesting as it might be to hear Sunak's take on this, I don't remember him being so vociferous on calling out the language of the far right when it was being used to his advantage. Braverman, grooming gangs. Jenrick, cannibalisation. Islamophobia report, whitewash.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@johnestevens The whole thing is a win-win situation for him. If he wins, he gets to be an MP for Clacton for a bit until the Standards Commission begins looking into his interests which, ultimately, will lead to him resigning and heading to the US where he was going to go a month ago anyway.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@mrjamesob Point being that most people who are racist will not outwardly tick the 'Yes I'm racist' box because they fear the shame that accompanies it. If they can do so in secret, however, believing that it comes without consequence, then yes, they will say it.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@mrjamesob Farage condemning racists for being racist will alienate some racists who are more quiet about being racists. The difference is, the activist who said racist things was 'caught' saying it when usually those who would agree would do so in secret. That's usually how racism works.

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@peterjukes Basically, Labour should look at the US as either a lesson and/or a crystal ball into what awaits if they take their eye off the ball.

[Also fundamentally the reason they really should not be under-estimating Clacton]

[Marc - NATB @MarcNATB]

@peterjukes It comes with a warning that if the UK follows the trajectory of the US [as it has at times], then Labour must avoid the same pitfalls as Biden, and when Labour say 'Change.' - not the word, that full-stop the most important part of their campaign - they must mean it.

Or else.