On Wednesday Bitcoin settled at 84,455. Tonight it settled at 81,288, down 3.7% in two days.
Our poll leaned yes, 58% of 454 votes. The paper market leaned no, 66%, on just six bets. The market was right this time. One question proves nothing.
Never be too sure. Risk management is for the days you feel certain: 1% at risk, a stop on every trade, discipline.
Learn it on paper first: https://t.co/txZUbf8swj
HYPER STREET ODDS
Bitcoin above $82,000 on Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 UTC?
The street says 41% yes (5 bets, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
SETTLED, Sat 24 Oct
Bitcoin above $82,000? NO (street 33% yes)
Ether above $2,400? NO (street 45% yes)
Gold above $4,020? NO (street 41% yes)
The S&P 500 above $7,625? NO (street 47% yes)
Tomorrow's questions are open, paper money: https://t.co/ZfvUd2DKLy
Who pays when a trade goes wrong? Isolated margin: the trade can lose only its own margin. Cross margin: the whole account stands behind it. Same fall, two bills. Hyper Street Facts, no. 4. Learn it on paper first: https://t.co/iNKRIt3Tc9
HYPER STREET ODDS
Bitcoin above $81,500 on Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UTC?
The street says 41% yes (2 bets, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
THE HYPER STREET JOURNAL
Saturday, October 24, 2026
THE WEEK: Oil +4.4%, Gold -4.1%, Ether -2.3%.
ETHER SLIDES 1.9% AS THE STREET HOLDS ITS BREATH
Ether fell 1.9% over the last 24 hours to 2,368, the biggest move of the day at the bank.
MOOD: Fear & Greed 48, neutral. Crypto (https://t.co/nL3EcXdXLy) 51, neutral.
WE ASKED NIKA, JUNIOR TRADER AT HYPER BANK, about "Netanyahu seeking blockchain plan to prepare for possible sanctions":
"Netanyahu wants a blockchain plan in case sanctions hit Israel. Crypto is a new idea for that, so I will wait and see if the big prices agree before I form a view."
NEXT: Fed interest rate decision (FOMC), Wed, Oct 28.
Full edition: https://t.co/3WSjjm3MWO
Game characters. Not financial advice.
THE HYPER STREET JOURNAL
Saturday, October 24, 2026
BLACK THURSDAY, 1929, 97 YEARS ON.
On October 24, 1929 panic selling hit Wall Street: a record 12.9 million shares changed hands, and the bankers who stepped in could only slow it. The crash of 1929 had begun.
THE FOUNDER.
Mr. Hyfeller lived through October 1929 with one rule: never risk what you cannot afford to lose. While the street was wiped out, he kept his capital, and with it he opened Hyper Bank. The rule is still on the wall of every floor: a stop on every trade, one percent at risk, a target worth the risk. Greed is how you get poor.
Full edition: https://t.co/3WSjjm3MWO
Game characters. Not financial advice.
SETTLED, Fri 23 Oct
Bitcoin above $82,000? NO (street 34% yes, X 58% yes)
Ether above $2,400? NO (street 41% yes)
The S&P 500 above $7,700? NO (street 51% yes)
Tomorrow's questions are open, paper money: https://t.co/ZfvUd2DcW0
You set a stop at 1% and lost 2.5%. A stop is not a price: it is an order to sell at the next price available once your level is touched. When the price jumps, there is no one in between. At 1% risk a bad jump costs 2.5%. At 10% it costs 25%. That is why the rule is 1%. Hyper Street Facts, no. 3. Learn it on paper first.
HYPER STREET ODDS
Will the FOMC keep the federal funds target range unchanged at its 2026-10-28 decision, announced by 18:00 UTC?
The street says 63% yes (1 bet, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
THE HYPER STREET JOURNAL
Friday, October 23, 2026
OIL SOARS 3.9% AS GREED RETURNS TO HYPER STREET
Oil rose 3.9% over the last 24 hours to 102.37, the biggest move of the day at the bank.
MOOD: Fear & Greed 61, greed. Crypto (https://t.co/nL3EcXdXLy) 50, neutral.
WE ASKED LEA, RISK MANAGER AT HYPER BANK, about "Renewables Boom Pushes Australia’s Gas Power to Quarter-Century Low":
"Australia's gas power is falling as renewables grow, which hits gas and oil demand over time. Oil is up 2.4% today on $1,000 that is about $24 gained, so the desk keeps stops tight."
NEXT: Fed interest rate decision (FOMC), Wed, Oct 28.
Full edition: https://t.co/0QjBs2cNTw
Game characters. Not financial advice.
@knowRowan Fair question. The line was 41% from five paper bets, now 34% from six, so it is thin: we only just launched. The 360 votes in the poll are the bigger sample (58% yes). The more people bet, the more the number means, so come back and add yours. It settles at 20:00 UTC.
HYPER STREET ODDS
Bitcoin above $82,000 on Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 UTC?
The street says 41% yes (5 bets, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
SETTLED, Thu 22 Oct
Bitcoin above $84,000? NO (the street had 51%, X said 50%)
Ether above $2,475? NO (the street had 42%)
The S&P 500 above $7,725? NO (the street had 56%)
Tomorrow's questions are open, paper money: https://t.co/ZfvUd2DKLy
At 10x the price only has to fall 10% before the exchange closes your trade. At 100x, 1%. Bitcoin moves about 2% on a normal day. That is why the rule is 10x at most, and a stop on every trade.
HYPER STREET ODDS
Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds target rate at its FOMC decision on 2026-10-28?
The street says 41% yes (1 bet, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
THE HYPER STREET JOURNAL
Thursday, October 22, 2026
ETHER SLIDES 2.9% AS THE STREET HOLDS ITS BREATH
Ether fell 2.9% over the last 24 hours to 2,401, the biggest move of the day at the bank.
MOOD: Fear & Greed 50, neutral. Crypto (https://t.co/nL3EcXdXLy) 68, greed.
WE ASKED JOHN, TRADER AT HYPER BANK, about "Bitcoin corrects below $82K after Tesla Q3 results, KOSPI falls":
"Bitcoin slipped under 82K, down 2.2% today. Crypto mood still says greed at 68. Fear is not here yet, so no shopping. Stops on, Lea is watching."
NEXT: Fed interest rate decision (FOMC), Wed, Oct 28.
Full edition: https://t.co/irCd2xCYC7
Game characters. Not financial advice.
SETTLED, Wed 21 Oct
Bitcoin above $82,000? YES (the street had 60%)
Ether above $2,400? YES (the street had 65%)
The S&P 500 above $7,700? YES (the street had 50%)
Gold above $4,130? YES (the street had 40%)
Tomorrow's questions are open, paper money: https://t.co/ZfvUd2DKLy
Trading is hard. Ten losses in a row at 1% leave you 90% of your account. At 10% they leave you 35%. That is why the rule is 1% a trade. Hyper Street Facts, no. 1. Learn it on paper first: https://t.co/iNKRIt3Tc9
HYPER STREET ODDS
Bitcoin above $84,000 on Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 UTC?
The street says 48% yes (1 bet, paper money). Your call:
Settled by our own prices. https://t.co/T3gFpP9Pna
THE HYPER STREET JOURNAL
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
ETHER JUMPS 2.6% AS THE STREET HOLDS ITS BREATH
Ether rose 2.6% over the last 24 hours to 2,473, the biggest move of the day at the bank.
MOOD: Fear & Greed 54, neutral. Crypto (https://t.co/nL3EcXdXLy) 63, greed.
WE ASKED NIKA, JUNIOR TRADER AT HYPER BANK, about "Crypto rises with Asian tech stocks, zcash extends gain after setting upgrade date":
"Crypto is up 2% with Asian tech stocks, and zcash has set an upgrade date. Is this the breakout everyone talks about? I will wait for the trend to agree before I touch it."
NEXT: Fed interest rate decision (FOMC), Wed, Oct 28.
Full edition: https://t.co/bjOPc00MI0
Game characters. Not financial advice.
@david1989_zhu Good thoughts, and we will take them on board: a cap on open positions and on the total risk across them, so correlated trades cannot quietly become one big one. Thank you for sharing. Responsible trading is the whole idea here, and we mean to push it.
The Hyper Street Journal: a daily paper written from live prices, with a Fear & Greed Index for the whole street and for every market, and the dates that shake prices. Read it, then trade it with paper money at Hyper Bank. Free.